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Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality

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161–170 of 360 posts

Re: Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality

#161

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's interesting that they leave things at 18-59. Do they later stratify into 18-28, 29-38, 39-48, 48-58?

Looks like they do, yes. > A stronger association was observed among individuals aged 18 to 29 years, although the underlying reasons remain unclear and warrant further investigation.

[deleted]

Re: Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality

#163
post #77
post #37

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The increase in myocarditis from the vaccine is well-documented. (And very small.) COVID causes myocarditis too (even for young people unlikely to die from COVID itself), at much higher rates. So you only need a 20% chance of contracting COVID for the vaccine to be net positive in the least obviously positive age group.

non-scientific but every young person I know has had covid at least twice.

I am not a physician, but I expect that decades hence we will see the health effects of repeated Covid infections. I'm guessing specifically around cardio health and dementia risk.

Re: Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality

#164

I've been using this prompt on articles that generate debate. Like microservices, or jwt's. It brings up some interesting points for this article... Look at this article and point out any wording that seems meant to push a certain viewpoint. Note anything important the author leaves out, downplays, or overstates, including numbers that seem cherry-picked or lack context. Clearly separate basic facts from opinions or…

Thank you!

Re: Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality

#165
post #5

Unfortunately, I don't think any additional evidence will convince vaccine skeptics of the safety of mRNA vaccines

I think people throw these accusations around way too broadly.

There is a small subset of weirdos who think the Covid/mRNA vaccines contain microchips or were designed kill off some percentage of the population.

But I think there's another, much larger group who might care a lot about their health to the point where they don't even drink from plastic bottles, and who when presented with a novel vaccine which was developed and rolled very quickly were hesitant...

Rightly or wrongly, I think these health-conscious people were concerned during Covid by mainstream media orgs frequently broadcasting what can only be described as pro-vax "propaganda"[1], and in some cases state compelled vaccination.

I'm very pro-vax, but I remember at the time (2021) being a bit torn on what I should do. I was in my twenties and already contracted Covid. Did it really make sense for me to take a vaccine when my risk was so low and there were some reports that young men were suffering from myocarditis post-vaccination?

I guess what I'm saying is that I think most reasonable people who may have initially been nervous about the vaccine can look at data like this and feel much more comfortable with the risk profile today. This is exactly the kind of data a lot of people (including myself) wanted when their governments were trying to force them to take these newly developed vaccines.

In my mind it's those on the extreme pro-vaccine and extreme anti-vaccine side in 2021-2022 that were the ones lacking critical thought. The reality was that as a society given the absence of long-term data like this, we were taking a calculated risk. Because even if mRNA vaccines slightly increased all-cause mortality that wouldn't mean the vaccine rollout was a bad thing... Similarly chemo probably great for you either and I'm sure people who undergo chemo unnecessarily suffer from increased morality risk. But if you have cancer or if you're in the middle of a pandemic risk calculations change a little.

[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mq76QSlRiPo

Re: Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality

#167

is it not possible that the kind of person who would've had negative side effects from an mrna vaccination already died from covid itself prior to wide rollout? presumably anyone who had any sort of minor illness during covid would be predisposed to get the vaccine, whereas anyone both lucky enough to be spared of that and ignorant of the vaccine would have their own illness due to the way this was designed. in addit…

These are fair questions. I guess I'd first say that there were studies on reactogenic/immunogenic effects coincident w/ the original rollout. But perhaps more importantly, this study conditions on the time frame, meaning that it applies to all participants, and should thus not affect the risk ratio. I think knowing the current hazard risk ratio is more scientifically/medically valuable than the previous one (even if I'm skeptical that it has changed significantly for reasons other than noise)

Re: Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality

#168

Earlier quoted context omitted.

VAERS cannot be used to establish causality; it cannot correctly be used in the way in which they are purporting to use it[1]. 1 = https://www.kff.org/quick-take/fda-memo-linking-covid-vaccin...

I respectfully disagree. VAERS can absolutely be used to establish causality when followed by proper expert investigation (which is exactly its purpose as a signal-detection system). The IOM has relied on VAERS data to confirm causal links in 158 vaccine-adverse event pairs, including rotavirus vaccine and intussusception. Here, FDA career scientists conducted that follow-up: they reviewed 96 child death reports and…

Where is that expert finding published?

As far as I have read about the ACIP decisions they didn't actually provide any real data to support this conclusion.

Re: Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality

#169

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Are they lying about the deaths? I'm not following.

They aren't lying , in the sense that "Hitler provided free food, transportation, and housing to Europe's Jews" isn't technically a lie . They are using a technically correct piece of data to deeply mislead you. Other pieces of data readily available to us reveal the sleight of hand.

Okay, let's run a proof by contradiction.

Assume you're right: VAERS is useless for causality and the 10 deaths are not real or not proven.

What possible benefits does RFK Jr. get from dramatically restricting a vaccine using data he knows is meaningless and will be shredded in 24 hours by every fact-checker and cardiologist on HN/Twitter/younameit?

If he just wanted to scare people for no reason, the rational move is to keep repeating “VAERS proves nothing” and change zero policy. That costs nothing and keeps everyone happy. Instead he’s taking massive heat, angering the entire medical establishment, and shrinking the childhood schedule.

Inventing a fake danger out of junk data brings him zero benefit and enormous political cost. That only makes sense if the internal FDA review actually found something real and alarming.

Re: Covid-19 mRNA Vaccination and 4-Year All-Cause Mortality

#170
post #49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This study demonstrates that it benefits the individual (and therefore the population).

No it doesn’t. I’m not trying to make a point about vaccines, just that the study is a population study and so shows benefits on average to a population. If the vaccine killed 1/100 people (again I don’t believe this but it’s the internet) but made the other 99 immune to dying over the 4 years, it would look really good on average even if it was directly responsible for the deaths of 1%.

But this ignores the other counterfactual (what would happen to the 1/100 people had they not received the vaccine).
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