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ChatGPT Is a Gimmick

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Re: ChatGPT Is a Gimmick

#161

These “AI is a gimmick that does nothing” articles mostly just communicate to me that most people lack imagination. I have gotten so much value out of AI (specifically ChatGPT and Midjourney) that it’s hard to imagine that a few years ago this was not even remotely possible. The difference, it seems, is that I’ve been looking at these tools and thinking how I can use them in creative ways to accomplish a goal - and n…

Yeah, it’s misplaced frustration at the surrounding overhype. I always imagine the authors would be vocal advocates if they “discovered” the service & no one else knew about it.

The frustration is quite valid. The overhype is not only misleading, but it's used to artificially inflate valuations. The entire industry is driven by hype to attract investors with the hope everyone will cash out one day. No AI company has turned a profit yet.

This isn't to say that the technology can't be useful, but that the hype around it is exhausting. This bubble is much bigger than the dot-com one, and the effects when it bursts will be far worse.

Re: ChatGPT Is a Gimmick

#162
post #11
post #8

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think you missed the entire point of the article. They're not saying that AI cannot be useful in the way you describe. They're saying that too many people are using it as a shortcut to producing verbiage that mimics the outcomes of learning, missing out the valuable things that come from the process of learning.

Is there any evidence to suggest more people are cheating now that there is AI than before, or is everybody just flipping out because the cheaters have changed tactics?

It's almost always good to ask about what evidence we have.

I'd say that our prior should be that there's more cheating. My logic:

Almost any good or service gets consumed more when its price drops (especially if quality also goes up). Cheating has gotten massively cheaper in terms of effort: you no longer have hire a ghostwriter for your essay, or laboriously plagiarise passages from the literature yourself.

Re: ChatGPT Is a Gimmick

#163
post #158

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So basically, you are happy because AI could replace a human for cheap? I mean sure, from a purely profit oriented point of view it's good but you need to realize the human being replaced isn't feeling too good about it. Especially when the AI works because it has used input from works of people like him. The people possessing the capital for AI are pretty happy about the results for sure but they need to think about…

No, that isn’t an accurate description of what I wrote. In my situation there were no humans being replaced, because I didn’t have the budget to spend thousands of dollars hiring illustrators to make images or academics to review my writing. No one lost work because of AI, but I was able to create new value by using AI. That’s pretty much the pattern of every new technology, from photography replacing portrait painte…

I agree that you don't see it as accurate but only because you are engaged deeply in self-deception.

You say you didn't have the budget, which basically means, "human illustrator is too expensive for the value I get out of it". From this we could infer that either the value actually created is extremely low or that you want a larger share of profit or that there is a market problem.

Yet you said you created value with AI. This does mean that even though the finished work may not have a broad commercial value with a price that is relatively easy to figure out, it does have value, at the very least for one person. You may not be able to make money off it but that's not very relevant, people do all kinds of things where they spend a lot of money on things that mostly (and sometimes only) create value for themselves.

So, it is pretty clear that you value having an artwork but it's just that you are unwilling to pay the price of a human who has the skill and put in the time would require. If a human illustrator could produce the artwork at the same price (close to zero) you would take it without much more consideration.

And this is exactly where your "point of view" is extremely dishonest. You are acting as if having to artwork at all is the same thing as having an AI artwork. It is absolutely not. And you pretend this doesn't affect the illustrators. Sure, there is no direct link, but what you just did is redefine the value of artwork in the market as close to zero as possible. Over time many more people will make the same choice, because they "figure out" that paying an illustrator is too expensive (regardless of if they have the means or not) and they go with AI. Over time, the illustrator job market dries up and soon enough you won't find a lot of them if at all.

The irony is that AI cannot exist without the previous work of the illustrator, the only reason it has been able to produce artwork for so cheap is because it could use a massive amount of past work without either paying for it. If AI companies had to charge people not just for the capital of compute, power and R&D but also for the value of all the works they have ingested, suddenly the AI wouldn't look so good purely on price.

But I guess it's nothing new under the sun, people are willing to exploit the labors of others the moment they get an imbalance of power in the form of capital.

Your examples are pretty bad; they are hardly comparable. Photography is not a strict equivalent to portrait painters. Those still exist and they still sell their craft to rich people; it's just that it's much less popular, (especially for new rich types) or they sell paintings of some other people/things. At 20yo I had a friend who made and sold large scale painting (usually 1to1) to rich people, for example he had a sexy rendition of "Little Red Riding Hood" (had it in our colocation living for a bit) which he sold for 12K. His work cannot be replaced by photography, it's not an equivalent at all, and of course he is not getting replaced by AI any time soon.

Even if we agree that photography replaced portrait painters it is still not comparable at all. First of all, photography still needs a human operator and there are still a lot of skill/knowledge involved even with modern technology. And we want to pretend to have relative equivalency, you need a physical output, which involves more humans and cannot be fully replaced by AI.

As for widespread literacy, I have a hard time seeing the parallel. It's something that we decided to teach to all humans, in order to make like fairer, the equivalent would be to teach all humans how to be an illustrator not to replace them with an AI. On top of that you take a weirdly specific and reductive definition of the world. It's not like if letter writers were a very widespread job and it's not like if it doesn't exist in some other form. If you take a look at many "social work" type of jobs, plenty of them do exactly the same kind of work: they write/correct/enhance CVs, letters of recommendation and the likes for people whose literacy isn't very good (and unlikely to ever improve). This is just one example, there are many more if you don't take a narrow-antiquated definition.

But I guess they should get replaced by AI as soon as possible. And the problem is not just that they are getting replaced, it's that the profit from the value created goes in the pocket of the capitalist controlling the AI tools and to some extent to the people who can exploit the AI to "improve" their output without involving humans (so, like you).

The people getting replaced don't even get to see the value float around in their community/country, it just goes somewhere else entirely. In other cases of technological disruption, people could at least adapt and learn new skills; and the new technology usually created new types of jobs that were still constrained by physical/geographical limits.

AI has is currently pushed/exploited is nothing like we have seen before. It is much closer to theft than its defenders would like to admit and it's not even good enough to actually replace humans for jobs they typically don't like to do. But we surely are going to replace the interesting ones, like illustrations and writing. Having artwork and writing as expensive things was not a bug but a feature. In fact, one could argue that it had already become too cheap, in no small part because of IT, making it cheaper was not really a problem. But since profit can be made from it, it will happen, because the one profiterring will never have to pay for the externalities.

Now you may find AI useful, but don't kid yourself on ethics.

Re: ChatGPT Is a Gimmick

#166
post #162
post #11

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Is there any evidence to suggest more people are cheating now that there is AI than before, or is everybody just flipping out because the cheaters have changed tactics?

It's almost always good to ask about what evidence we have. I'd say that our prior should be that there's more cheating. My logic: Almost any good or service gets consumed more when its price drops (especially if quality also goes up). Cheating has gotten massively cheaper in terms of effort: you no longer have hire a ghostwriter for your essay, or laboriously plagiarise passages from the literature yourself.

That logic is the conventional wisdom, but I just want to know whether it's true empirically.
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