Earlier quoted context omitted.
I think it will be Tesla. Regulatory pressures for them just lifted, and they move faster than all the other driverless companies, courtesy of Elon's fairly hardcore mode of operation. It may not be a perfect driving solution (probably 1:1 teleoperator to car in the beginning), but their go to market speed is undeniably better than Waymo et al. Waymo, Cruise, etc have to map out an entire region and have long rollout…
Maybe I'm missing something but are there any current regulations that make it difficult to operate? My understanding was that in many states, it's mostly just paper requirements and not any strict testing, etc.
GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house
161–170 of 692 posts
Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house
#162Earlier quoted context omitted.
That's a "GM's business model" problem, which is again a GM problem. The top-selling EV maker in the US doesn't have any dealerships, so clearly it's not an insurmountable problem. GM just hasn't prioritized surmounting it.
Business model enforced by the government.
Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house
#163Earlier quoted context omitted.
This rebuttal is fine, i guess, but to answer your final question: At least 1645 deaths if your government is british. I forget the US numbers, but globally you can kill upwards of 30,000 people with unproven and empirically fatal technology.
Really, you are arguing that I get to kill 1645 in the UK before I have to show any scientifically rigorous evidence? I get to do 1645 drives and kill the passenger every time before anybody cares? That is not only insane, but empirically false in the USA as people cared very greatly about Cruise injuring people during the development process. You have to be answering the question: “Assuming we already know for a fac…
Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house
#164Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house
#165Earlier quoted context omitted.
The MB Drive Pilot only works at ridiculously low speeds (under 40 mph), on select highways, no sharp turns, no weather, no construction zones, lanes clearly visible, etc. It's laughable to compare it against FSD which works everywhere. FSD has been flawless when driving on such easy conditions for years.
Are you assuming MB Drive Pilot couldn’t also work pretty well outside of its design domain? This argument is always so silly because it’s just an argument about the correct way to build a safe control system (i.e. with guaranteed performance characteristics in a defined operational domain) versus the incorrect way to do it (just kinda work over an ambiguously defined set of conditions and hope you don’t kill too man…
Yes,that's a suppressed fact, not an assumption. It just follows the car in front. Check my other comment.
Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house
#166Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house
#167I'm not sure I want autonomous vehicles to work. It would, inevitably, lead to more cars in cities. Probably faster cars. Both are the opposite of what we need; it isn't just about safety.
Who decides "what we need"? I say "we" do - ie, if people want to buy autonomous cars, then that's what's going to happen. Incidentally if there's a large number of autonomous cars available in a fluid and efficient market, that would probably mean fewer people need cars in total.
Baked in to this is the assumption that the operation of markets are democratic, but they are not. A very small number of people decide where investments go, what tech to design, and what to buy. The alternative - public transit focused infrastructure, is not available to buy in small quantities. Huge investments have to be made before anyone can “vote with their wallet” on public transit. And similarly, billions have to go in to AV development before anyone can buy in to it. And those with more money always have more “vote” in a “vote with your wallet” scenario. Fifty percent of the people in the US have so little money as to make their votes nearly meaningless in such a scenario. That’s not “us” making a decision that is very much certain people making that decision.
Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house
#168Earlier quoted context omitted.
And when you go to Tesla for a test drive, they first thing they do is shove it into auto-cruise or whatever they call it whether you want to or not! At least that is what happened to me when I test drove one 10 years ago. Maybe they don't do that anymore.
Wow that must have been a wild experience 10 years ago! Today, I think they should do this. It is rare I need to touch the wheel or pedal these days and people should experience it.
While SuperCruise is a highway only system, riding in a friend's car with it was pretty much a non-event.
Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house
#169Frankly, I think Tesla is going to win this. The new self-driving is remarkably good. Based on this alone, I estimate (actual) level 5 self driving in 2-3 years. I'm convinced that the lidar sensors are essentially unnecessary and the vision-only strategy is basically going to work and be much cheaper in the process.
Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house
#170> GM said in a statement that “... an increasingly competitive robotaxi market” were the reasons for the change. Isn't there basically Google/Waymo and then, seemingly much further behind, Tesla Cybertaxi, Amazon/Zoox, and Uber/Yandex? Cruise allegedly has one of the most sophisticated autonomous driving platforms, and GM's Super Cruise (if they share any tech) is comparable to Tesla FSD. Strange that they would bow…
It does seem strange but when one considers that the CEO of one of these competitors spent ~$260M to help elect the next President and he will have his ear on matters of autonomous car regulation, maybe not so strange.
If future autonomous car regulations are influenced by Musk and end up being lax and favour the technological approach that Tesla has taken, then GM/Cruise may have made significant irrelevant investments to solve issues that are no longer relevant, and this puts them on poor footing in the new competitive landscape.
It's possible they're bowing out early on the assumption that this will no longer be a competition that they can win.