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Next stop: Miami

waymo.com

161–170 of 319 posts

Re: Next stop: Miami

#161

I'm so curious about how the internal dev teams feeling about all this scaling. Four cities across 3 states -- surely there are differences in road signs, lane markings, emergency procedures, etc. Let alone the sheer volume of data of doing hundreds of thousands of miles ever week! Massive kudos to them if they are able to do all this without things being aflame on the inside...

My understanding is they have to make extremely detailed maps of where they operate and at great expense, and everything sort of breaks when anything changes. So lots of work indeed!

Waymo doesn't rely on the maps to operate. It just helps with redundancy in case it's unable to see.

And it's just a matter of the cars driving through each of the streets and working with local authorities.

Re: Next stop: Miami

#162
post #97
post #85

Waymo is cool, but I have no idea how it is going to compete with the tsunami coming that is CyberCab. Tesla will be mass producing this smaller, cheaper vehicle like nothing else. Covering the entire country with self driving vehicles. I don’t know how Waymo can possibly compete with that. Their deployment by city is slow, their hardware is expensive, slown to produce, and not purpose built for self driving.

The bigger question is, how can Tesla with it's non-working "full self driving" compete with Waymo's working actual self-driving.

How about this?

Tesla’s latest FSD beat Waymo by 30 minutes. Same route and same time of day.

https://youtu.be/CfX8Lu9MHa0?si=cOYWNXjPiYP9R6L_

Re: Next stop: Miami

#163
post #101

Earlier quoted context omitted.

no it would save miami and the state and the federal government billions trirail frequency increases can be done overnight a greenway network can also be built quickly and cheaply metrorail extension would cost more but still less than it costs to build and maintain roads but they are too busy spending billions building even more car infra which will only make traffic and congestion even worse

> trirail frequency increases can be done overnight Increasing the frequency can't necessarily be done overnight, unless they actually have the spare rolling stock just sitting around along with all the workers needed to operate and maintain the increased usage and the spare budget to cover the increased operations costs. Otherwise, they need to find the money to procure the rolling stock, actually place the order, w…

yeah, all of which can be done overnight

Re: Next stop: Miami

#164
post #43

This is important if nothing else because Miami sees much more rain than SF and Phoenix: Miami: 57 in. ( https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/us-climate-normals/#dataset... SF: 25 in. ( https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/us-climate-normals/#dataset... ) Phoenix: 7 in. ( https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/us-climate-normals/#dataset... )

Also relevant, when it rains in Miami during the summer, it pours . As in, zero visibility for 15-30 minutes, then it's past. So if it can handle Miami tropical rain, it should be okay with all sorts of normal rain. Out of curiosity, what's Waymo's current production sensor suite mix? I'd assume lidar and radar would also be very unhappy with the surrounding space suddenly being ~10%(?) liquid water droplets.

Lidars perform very well in the rain [1].

[1] https://ouster.com/insights/blog/lidar-vs-camera-comparison-...

Re: Next stop: Miami

#165
post #101

Earlier quoted context omitted.

no it would save miami and the state and the federal government billions trirail frequency increases can be done overnight a greenway network can also be built quickly and cheaply metrorail extension would cost more but still less than it costs to build and maintain roads but they are too busy spending billions building even more car infra which will only make traffic and congestion even worse

> no it would save miami and the state and the federal government billions Have you ever looked at the local budget of a US transit authority? They typically lose $2+ per passenger trip, and get bailed out by the federal government. Mass transit is not going to save Miami any money for decades until ridership approaches Hong Kong levels. Unless you count passing on expenses to the Federal government as savings, and e…

lol the idea isn't to make money off transit, it's to save money on roads

roads cost more than transit - a LOT more, and motorists aren't paying anywhere near the cost of road construction and maintenance, they're (quite literally) free-riding subsidized trips on the taxpayer

traffic also destroys productivity, public health, life expectancy etc etc so costs money in many more ways than motorists not paying for them

Re: Next stop: Miami

#166

I'm so curious about how the internal dev teams feeling about all this scaling. Four cities across 3 states -- surely there are differences in road signs, lane markings, emergency procedures, etc. Let alone the sheer volume of data of doing hundreds of thousands of miles ever week! Massive kudos to them if they are able to do all this without things being aflame on the inside...

> Four cities across 3 states

This is actually a scale up to five cities across four states:

> ...which already provides over 150,000 trips per week across Phoenix, Los Angeles, San Francisco, and Austin

Which of course only adds to your point!

Re: Next stop: Miami

#167
post #42

That's an interesting choice for several reasons: 1. Literally nobody in Florida can drive. Nobody indicates. People run red lights. They speed on the hard shoulder to overtake someone else who is speeding slightly less; 2. There's a lot of things that come down to timing, like when the bridges are up on the Venetian and over the Miami River. You can also get trains blocking the entire of downtown; 3. It seems like t…

Yeah, I dunno if the team understands just how crazy Miami driving is. Maybe they'll restrict it to Downtown, Miami Beach, the Grove, etc to limit the chaos?

Re: Next stop: Miami

#168
post #85

Waymo is cool, but I have no idea how it is going to compete with the tsunami coming that is CyberCab. Tesla will be mass producing this smaller, cheaper vehicle like nothing else. Covering the entire country with self driving vehicles. I don’t know how Waymo can possibly compete with that. Their deployment by city is slow, their hardware is expensive, slown to produce, and not purpose built for self driving.

You are exactly right. Look at how you’re getting downvoted.

It’s so disappointing that this so-called tech community is so deranged because of their hatred of Musk so much that they’re not willing to look at the facts.

If it was any other company doing what Tesla is doing with their self driving, the comments here would be completely different.

Re: Next stop: Miami

#169
post #152
post #43

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Also relevant, when it rains in Miami during the summer, it pours . As in, zero visibility for 15-30 minutes, then it's past. So if it can handle Miami tropical rain, it should be okay with all sorts of normal rain. Out of curiosity, what's Waymo's current production sensor suite mix? I'd assume lidar and radar would also be very unhappy with the surrounding space suddenly being ~10%(?) liquid water droplets.

> So if it can handle Miami tropical rain, it should be okay with all sorts of normal rain. I feel like a lot of "How well does it handle rain?" comes down to how the roads are built and maintained (Huge puddles, proper drainage, etc) rather than about the car itself, as the car you could test by blasting it with water from different directions and amounts.

There’s also the question of how other drivers handle the rain. And I have to imagine it’s nontrivial to, on a test range alone, permute the full range of different surfaces’ handling characteristics under different precipitation conditions.

I wonder whether, like many human drivers, Waymos might be wont to pull over and wait out the short-but-extreme Miami squalls.

Re: Next stop: Miami

#170
post #51

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Did you know that almost every city believes this about their local drivers? I've gotten it in LA, Boston, NYC, DC, SF, Philly, Atlanta, and Austin. Adding Miami to the list.

Having lived in most of those cities and in Miami I can say Miami is definitely the most dangerous driving I've seen. And my car insurance company certainly seems to agree.

Most Americans don't understand that Miami is full of expats from the caribbean and latin america, some of whom may be here illegally, and so can't get a driver's license. They also may have grown up in places where they didn't get a drivers license or learn the rules. So they literally aren't supposed to be driving and never learned how. Because they can't legally drive a car, they buy a beater second-hand for cash, and it's never inspected, and of course falls apart and causes accidents. Add to that the crime in general, and yeah, insurance is $$$$$, and lots of crazy driving. (It's a minority of people, but enough that it creates more extreme outlier events than in most states)

Not to mention The Ticket Clinic, a private service to pay a small fee to get out of traffic court. I probably had 10 different traffic violations thrown out, for $80 a pop, when I grew up there in the 00's.

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