Earlier quoted context omitted.
> The only thing YC has to do is produce a portfolio of companies that looks good enough that other VCs invest into that. This is completely disconnected to building viable businesses, as they just don't have to be the ones that are left holding the bag, and as an accelerator they are in the best position to do that. That's really short term thinking. It might work for a class or two, but eventually VCs will realize…
A question that has probably been answered, but... In a hits business, does quality picking matter? You want to avoid adverse selection, but beyond that - isn't it just about scale?
Originally, at small scale, you need to pick hits better than others (or get lucky).
Next, you want to scale large enough that you can make enough bets to amortize individual bet risk across a large portfolio.
Then, once you're over that scale, you need to be back in the business of picking hits more reliably than the next VC.