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Uber sells self-driving unit in deal that will push Aurora’s valuation to $10B

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Re: Uber sells self-driving unit in deal that will push Aurora’s valuation to $10B

#161
post #135
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It may not be the strategy, but it is definitely the only reasonable path to profitability where the drivers will make at least a reasonable income and the cost of a ride is competitive with a cab. Either ways, next year is pretty close. Perhaps I'd be proven wrong.

Only because they have burned so much VC. Both Uber and Bolt charge like normal taxi companies in Stockholm and can therefore afford to pay their drivers at the same time as making a profit. And as far as I know Bolt is basically already profitable, they just copied Uber's business but reduced the administration costs and did not blow a ton of cash on self driving cars. Having their HQ in Tallinn rather than SF also…

Hard to pay your execs and engineers insanely bloated Tech salaries on Taxi profit margins. It's a bubble ready to pop.The guy saying they will profitable in the next year is delusional.

Re: Uber sells self-driving unit in deal that will push Aurora’s valuation to $10B

#162
post #33

I don't understand the current state of self driving cars. First we have tesla which already has a self driving car. They were the first to build one and now everyone is playing catch up, or are they? Waymo has been building something for a really long time too but I have no idea how close they are to an actual product. Now there is this new company that gets a bunch of money to build something. It feels to me like t…

[ https://medium.com/unikie/self-driving-cars-2020-and-beyond-... ] helped me understand the major players in self driving vehicles and what they're upto. Tesla does not use Lidar as a cost savings measure, and only uses camera output to determine how the car drives. It is unknown if this is enough to account for enough permutations of traffic, but they're calling it full self driving while using car owners as paying…

>Tesla does not use Lidar as a cost savings measure

I think it is less about cost saving and more about getting to the root of the problem. According to Elon's statements, Lidar is a crutch and since the AI will eventually have to be good enough to remove the crutch, remove it an the get go and save learning how to use the crutch. This is similar to his reasoning about EVs. Since we will eventually have to have petroleum free cars, Lets remove them as early as possible.

Re: Uber sells self-driving unit in deal that will push Aurora’s valuation to $10B

#163
post #6

Wasn't Uber's whole money losing strategy based on the vision that one day they'll use their self-driving cars to get the driving done for cheaper?

No matter who makes the driverless cars, they will still need a network to run those cars on. I think Uber/Lyft area better off allowing thirdparty self-driving cars on their network. Waymo on other hand is trying to build its own network, but that is going to be extremely expensive proposition.

IMHO being the only one with self-driving car technology would be a much better moat than having 'a network'

London has Uber, Bolt, Kapten, Ola, Viavan, Hailo, Wheely, Xoox and that's just a single city - so the ride-hailing-app tech isn't a moat. A self-driving-car business doesn't need any drivers on board, so driver recruitment isn't a moat. And Google already have Google Maps on a big fraction of phones, so app installation is scarcely a moat.

Of course Google will have plenty of opportunities to shoot themselves in the feet, so it's certainly not a done deal.

Re: Uber sells self-driving unit in deal that will push Aurora’s valuation to $10B

#164
post #33

I don't understand the current state of self driving cars. First we have tesla which already has a self driving car. They were the first to build one and now everyone is playing catch up, or are they? Waymo has been building something for a really long time too but I have no idea how close they are to an actual product. Now there is this new company that gets a bunch of money to build something. It feels to me like t…

As someone who worked in the industry, there are a couple of different approaches, incredible amounts of hype, and disappointing amounts of progress to fully autonomous vehicles. * Tesla driver assistance features that they market as self-driving features. You need a driver that is alert and monitoring the vehicle because it can return control to the driver without warning. * Waymo has launched limited L4 pilot in th…

Are you concerned that lack of progress could lead to a sort of "self-driving winter," like the AI winters experienced in the past?

Re: Uber sells self-driving unit in deal that will push Aurora’s valuation to $10B

#165

This self-driving system promise keeps getting delayed! It looks to me this is a case of a donkey led by a carrot on a stick (investors are the donkey here). What I never understand is what happens when a new situation that the system did not previously train for happen? what if this situation is deadly? Will all the Uber cars decide to jump off a cliff because of a wrong signalization or bad weather? What will the T…

I am convinced that it takes another 100 to 200 years before we really have smart self driving cars. Maybe it will never happen as I think it will be much more likely that we have self flying drones before long before. Airspace being regulated heavily and thus much more predictable for a machine.

Re: Uber sells self-driving unit in deal that will push Aurora’s valuation to $10B

#166

This self-driving system promise keeps getting delayed! It looks to me this is a case of a donkey led by a carrot on a stick (investors are the donkey here). What I never understand is what happens when a new situation that the system did not previously train for happen? what if this situation is deadly? Will all the Uber cars decide to jump off a cliff because of a wrong signalization or bad weather? What will the T…

> What I never understand is what happens when a new situation that the system did not previously train for happen?

This happens to human drivers all the time, and humans are really bad drivers even in situations that have happened before.

I fully expect AI drivers to be safer than human drivers.

Re: Uber sells self-driving unit in deal that will push Aurora’s valuation to $10B

#167

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[ https://medium.com/unikie/self-driving-cars-2020-and-beyond-... ] helped me understand the major players in self driving vehicles and what they're upto. Tesla does not use Lidar as a cost savings measure, and only uses camera output to determine how the car drives. It is unknown if this is enough to account for enough permutations of traffic, but they're calling it full self driving while using car owners as paying…

>Tesla does not use Lidar as a cost savings measure I think it is less about cost saving and more about getting to the root of the problem. According to Elon's statements, Lidar is a crutch and since the AI will eventually have to be good enough to remove the crutch, remove it an the get go and save learning how to use the crutch. This is similar to his reasoning about EVs. Since we will eventually have to have petro…

Sometimes you need a crutch because your legs are not up to the task of walking. And the only way to recovery is to use them

Re: Uber sells self-driving unit in deal that will push Aurora’s valuation to $10B

#169
post #72

Signals the end of the self driving delusion, at least for 10-20 years.

I wish! The self driving delusion is more than alive and kicking. It’s just that the hype is moving from the vertically integrated options (Waymo) to the disaggregated ‘stack’ players (Luminar, Scale, Aurora)

Perhaps you mean comma.ai and not scale.ai?
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