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Interview with German Ventilator Manufacturer

spiegel.de

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Re: Interview with German Ventilator Manufacturer

#161
post #147

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But the legacy is still apparent.

that's somewhat disingenuous, taking away agency and ascribing it to other nations - some of which haven't done so great in their own coronavirus efforts. so that doesn't really make sense to me, at least not in the 21st century. in my experience, Germany is quite conservative (lagging behind in smoking bans, preferring cash over cards until the coronavirus hit), but wants to do the right thing (look at e.g. solar po…

It is only disingenuous if you take it out of context from the parent I was replying too.

Which said infrastructure has no legacy from that era and completely overlook the cold-war build up and associated facilities and infrastructure of that era born out of that period. Equally let us not forget that Germany was upto not long ago - curtailed in what it could invest in military and not having that burden saw a shift into area's they could and medical and industry did well. More so when in many parts they had a clean slate to build up from.

I'm sure many aspect you mentioned are true - , however the drive for solar was born out of a distrust in nuclear and saw a rise in coal plants - which still has an effect today upon the climate of Europe as many (near on all) are located upon the borders, so that issue shifted and needed to be addressed and solar/wind was the right logical direction for them. But then - NO country is perfect or doing it perfect.

But the Germans are trying and done wondrous progress in many area's, let us not forget when they reunified the impact upon their GDP was negligible - that in itself was impressive and whilst in some parts of Germany that legacy still has more of an impact socially, it's progressed a long way and probably more than other countries would of had they been in a comparable situation.

>(what is still there as a disparity between some western states and eastern states.)

Yes - that is a product of legacy.

Re: Interview with German Ventilator Manufacturer

#162
post #115

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I’ve wondered about this for a little while. Why does Germany have five times as many ICU beds than England? Until now, I’ve never heard a suggestion that England had fewer ICU beds than it needed generally, and assuming England and Germany use beds at the same general capacity, why on earth is Germany running five times more beds that it generally needs? (please don’t answer “for a case like this” unless you have so…

If you ever drove a German car after driving a British car you'll understand :) The standards for "it's good enough" are vastly different in these countries.

Why do you believe that vehicle quality is related to anything else? This seems like halo effect bias.

Re: Interview with German Ventilator Manufacturer

#163
post #81
post #78

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Insufficient by what measure? You're comparing against - it appears - the second highest spender in the world. There have been no cuts in NHS service. Sometimes I think I need to assign this to a keyboard macro because it's such a frequently repeated myth. The NHS has more funding now than it's ever had, it has been explicitly protected from budget reductions when every other government department has seen massive re…

NHS spending has not dropped, but it has not grown at the appropriate rate. There are various discussions that we could have about nursing numbers and junior doctor hours, but instead I'd like to provide one hard data point: Addenbrookes Hospital in Cambridge (technically Addenbrookes Hospital Trust, comprised of several hospitals on one site) is the largest hospital in the UK. For the tax year 2019/2020, the availab…

NHS spending has not dropped, but it has not grown at the appropriate rate

Yes, this is how such threads always go. It's a simple three step process:

1. Someone claims the NHS funding has been cut

2. I point out that's a lie, no such cuts have ever happened and in fact the budget has always gone up

3. Somebody else replies with: but it should have grown even faster.

The point I'm making is not about the correct level of healthcare spending, which is arbitrary and values-based as healthcare systems will consume however much money is given to them. Rather the persistent level of outright lying that accompanies any discussion of the NHS in Britain. It's absurd and quite obviously linked to a belief that misleading people is fine if it's for a 'good cause'.

But this behaviour has to stop. It isn't OK to lie even if the outcome might appear to be desirable (more political pressure for higher healthcare spending). People learn that they're being manipulated and support for the desired cause can collapse.

Having no money for CapEx is not how you maintain a health service long term.

I'll repeat this until I'm blue in the face. The NHS has more money now than it's ever had. Not only does the NHS have money for capex but it's been repeatedly allocated money specifically and only for capex, because NHS managers have a long history of preferring to divert spending on upgrades to other forms of spending - frequently salary increases.

It's bad management. The government attempts to combat this lack of forward thinking by earmarking of money specifically for upgrades (what you criticise here as "pots of money for very narrow purposes"). One of the first things Boris Johnson did is allocate a billion pounds to the NHS only for capex. Unfortunately it doesn't work:

https://www.hsj.co.uk/technology-and-innovation/exclusive-qu...

"Capital spending was particularly tight with only £150.3m spent from £354.1m of allocated funding ... funding to help NHS trusts to become more digitally advanced accounted for most of this capital underspend. The DH planned to spend £116.2m of capital on these trusts in 2016-17 – instead it spent nothing."

The idea the NHS doesn't have money for capex is just another piece of misdirection. It refuses to spend on upgrades even when central government is trying to force its hand, because it knows that the result is No 10 will blink and give up, which is what happens:

"The money was not allocated elsewhere but “as with all Department underspends, was available to offset pressures in other parts of the system”, she said."

Re: Interview with German Ventilator Manufacturer

#164
post #81

Earlier quoted context omitted.

NHS spending has not dropped, but it has not grown at the appropriate rate. There are various discussions that we could have about nursing numbers and junior doctor hours, but instead I'd like to provide one hard data point: Addenbrookes Hospital in Cambridge (technically Addenbrookes Hospital Trust, comprised of several hospitals on one site) is the largest hospital in the UK. For the tax year 2019/2020, the availab…

NHS spending has not dropped, but it has not grown at the appropriate rate Yes, this is how such threads always go. It's a simple three step process: 1. Someone claims the NHS funding has been cut 2. I point out that's a lie, no such cuts have ever happened and in fact the budget has always gone up 3. Somebody else replies with: but it should have grown even faster. The point I'm making is not about the correct level…

Inflation and population growth will force spending increases no matter what, and if the increases don’t track with those two variables, then service will obviously have to decline.

Doctor and nursing salaries are pretty low in the UK, if management is diverting capital expense money to salary increases, they are doing a poor job of it.

Re: Interview with German Ventilator Manufacturer

#165

Earlier quoted context omitted.

NHS spending has not dropped, but it has not grown at the appropriate rate Yes, this is how such threads always go. It's a simple three step process: 1. Someone claims the NHS funding has been cut 2. I point out that's a lie, no such cuts have ever happened and in fact the budget has always gone up 3. Somebody else replies with: but it should have grown even faster. The point I'm making is not about the correct level…

Inflation and population growth will force spending increases no matter what, and if the increases don’t track with those two variables, then service will obviously have to decline. Doctor and nursing salaries are pretty low in the UK, if management is diverting capital expense money to salary increases, they are doing a poor job of it.

Talk of cuts is a lie no matter how it's sliced.

https://fullfact.org/health/spending-english-nhs/

"Looking at the wider UK, the amount spent on health has been increasing over the long-term. That’s true whether it’s expressed in cash, cash adjusted for inflation, per person, or as a proportion of the size of the economy."

Population growth puts pressure on public services. The British people have been asking for reduction in population growth for a long time, partly out of concern for the state of the NHS, yet of course have been repeatedly denied by the EU and their own political classes. 4 years after voting to leave the EU largely to get a grip on the ever-increasing cost of public services they still haven't been allowed that.

Doctor and nursing salaries are pretty low in the UK

They're extremely high. The average pay for specialist consultants in the NHS is £120,000 or approximately 6x the average salary. This is dramatically higher than in say, Germany, where specialists earn 80,000 Euro on average. That's £71,600 or a bit less than 60%.

https://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=average%20salary%20for...

https://www.medscape.com/slideshow/2019-uk-doctors-salary-re...

if management is diverting capital expense money to salary increases, they are doing a poor job of it.

They've done an excellent job of it. From 2010:

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/health/news/8206972/Billion...

"Billions of pounds spent on improving NHS hospitals has mostly gone on staff salaries while productivity has fallen over the last decade, a key National Audit Office (NAO) report has found."

"Between 2000 and 2009 the NHS workforce grew from 1.1 to 1.4 million - almost a 30 per cent rise. That included an extra 12,500 consultants, whose average pay rose from £71,900 to £120,900 over the same period - a 68 per cent increase. Doctors' pay rose by 48 per cent, nurses' and midwives' by 36 per cent and managers' by 34 per cent"

Re: Interview with German Ventilator Manufacturer

#166
post #54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Cars are many orders of magnitude more complex than ventilators so it's not unimaginable. A ventilator is basically a motor/small turbine connected to a few sensors and air filters, all linked together with some fairly sophisticated software. The software can obviously be 'manufactured' at infinite speed. That leaves an assembly of pipes, valves and flow sensors - but only a few. Especially if you customise the machi…

Should still months to create the setup right? I see that it’s stated than not having any but it doesn’t serve the immediate need.

Probably not, no. Obviously if you want a machine as slick as the leading brands then yes, but nobody is requiring that.

Re: Interview with German Ventilator Manufacturer

#167

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Which funnily contradicts my experience as a German in the US (interesting how cultural perception differs). I've been told in very harsh words to go in line in the US several times, once in a line for the IKEA ferry to Manhattan where I was threatened to be left behind if I do not go to the back of the line. Once in the Metropolitan museum in NYC when I skipped the ropes of an empty queue and was told to go back and…

This is something I love about living in germany, actually. In the UK (where I was brought up) you're very used to the kind of absurd situations that develop from common sense not being applied to rules. If you talk to somebody in a position of authority, you absolutely expect them to pick the least reasonable, least constructive application of any rule they have at their disposal to ruin your day. I don't know why t…

I wonder if this might be part of the inspiration for the unique British sense of humor/comedy.

Re: Interview with German Ventilator Manufacturer

#168
post #81

Earlier quoted context omitted.

NHS spending has not dropped, but it has not grown at the appropriate rate. There are various discussions that we could have about nursing numbers and junior doctor hours, but instead I'd like to provide one hard data point: Addenbrookes Hospital in Cambridge (technically Addenbrookes Hospital Trust, comprised of several hospitals on one site) is the largest hospital in the UK. For the tax year 2019/2020, the availab…

NHS spending has not dropped, but it has not grown at the appropriate rate Yes, this is how such threads always go. It's a simple three step process: 1. Someone claims the NHS funding has been cut 2. I point out that's a lie, no such cuts have ever happened and in fact the budget has always gone up 3. Somebody else replies with: but it should have grown even faster. The point I'm making is not about the correct level…

Thank you for an actually well reasoned response with citations. You haven't persuaded me yet but I'll go and have a good read.

Re: Interview with German Ventilator Manufacturer

#169
post #160
post #71

There are already several simplified ventilator projects in the works: https://www.corovent.com/ https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.24.20042234v... ...

So, they have a prototype and are ready to produce 500. Impressive. And it looks like that each and every country is now designing and producing their own ventilator. Also, a lot of them outsourcing the design which is great. In unfortunate events people come together and do great stuff!

Right, they are also flying the parts and the people around in small passenger planes to speed up deliveries, and to keep key people from getting infected because of unnecessary travel. It's quite a project.

Re: Interview with German Ventilator Manufacturer

#170

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There may be enough toilet paper somewhere but it's not where people want it: on the shelves. People aren't rational actors, and by saying "they don't really need toilet paper", you're not solving the issue that is people seeing empty shelves for toilet paper, bread and soap and thinking that the system is failing. You don't want the public to become nervous, ever. Nervous people make terrible decisions. And for a go…

It doesn't really make sense to increase toilet paper production though. There's no long-term increased demand, so the problem will probably sort itself out in a couple of weeks once everybody who has been panic buying already has a stockpile.

The trust damage will be done by then. It's like a stock market crash because of some irrational behavior. Sure, "it'll sort itself out in a few months", but you'll have companies going under, mass layoffs etc by then.

Also, I don't know whether they'd actually need to increase production. According to super market chains, they have more than enough but it's in their storage centers and they have issues/aren't prioritizing getting it into the stores.

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