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Denmarks shuts down all schools, daycare facilities, universities, highschools

thelocal.dk

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Re: Denmarks shuts down all schools, daycare facilities, universities, highschools

#161

Post by rasz »

chasd00 wrote: post #49
unexpected wrote: post #37

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I disagree here. Denmark is acting proactively and shutting down schools for 2 weeks. This is a "rip the band aid off early" type of move. By shutting down everything for 2 weeks, they effectively self-quarantine during the entire incubation period and will dramatically slow the rate of the virus. China, on the other hand, did not do this, and they were forced to shut down schools for 6 months. These moves are HARD a…

for the two weeks as of day one of the changes. What if the virus shows up on day 15, the day after things return to normal? Will they stay shutdown for another two weeks?

>on day 15, the day after things return to normal

two weeks is when you will start entering really bad phase, not returning to normal. I am guessing ~100 dead in Denmark by April.

Re: Denmarks shuts down all schools, daycare facilities, universities, highschools

#162

Post by rasz »

slurms wrote: post #150
bcrosby95 wrote: post #22

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Probably best to shut them down too early or not at all. Grandparents tend to be relied upon as babysitters in time of need, so if you wait until transmission among school children is widespread your actions just delivered the virus to some of the most vulnerable populations.

My parents are elderly and my partner's parents live 150 miles away, and both work; We have no family that is able or willing to watch our child so we pay for care (and it's hugely expensive, over $2500/mo for center based care) My partner works as an RN, and I'm in software development. I've always taken the days off when our child is ill, it's logistically simpler, but I make 2X the salary so we have always said my…

Did you press one 0 too many there? You could hire private nanny for $2.5K/me.

Re: Denmarks shuts down all schools, daycare facilities, universities, highschools

#163

Post by sharken »

bitL wrote: post #61

About time... They might be able to reduce R0 < 1 and be done with the pandemics in 3-4 weeks. On the other hand, Spain and Germany are going to blow up next week, Italy-style.

Not sure i would use blow up to describe the situation. If you look at the Median age in Europe, the oldest population are found in Italy, Germany, Portugal and Greece, see https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php...

The mortality rate is still quite uncertain, either you believe the Chinese data (https://www.flattenthecurve.com/) or you can lean towards the South Korean data (https://www.cdc.go.kr/board/board.es?mid=a30402000000&bid=00...). The Korean data has half the mortality rate of that in China.

Bottom-line is that we are doing this to protect the elderly, so that the healthcare system won't be overrun. And in the process hopefully a vaccine or treatment will be introduced to counter the virus.

Re: Denmarks shuts down all schools, daycare facilities, universities, highschools

#165

Post by dv_dt »

solstice wrote: post #156
dv_dt wrote: post #72

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is an analysis if you just shutdown schools, if you send all but critical for food/power/utilities workers home and pay them, then the assumptions are completely different. I wonder what basically a 2-4 week vacation for an entire nation looks like.

Do you not have long vacations in the country you live/grew up in? (Sorry for sounding kind of snarky.)

In the US, nope. We don't even have short vacations or sick pay for a huge set of workers.
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