Live data from Hacker News

Tesla cuts prices as Model 3 deliveries narrowly miss estimates

bloomberg.com

161–170 of 267 posts

Re: Tesla cuts prices as Model 3 deliveries narrowly miss estimates

#161

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I don't know what he's done to earn my trust, or any investor's. The ~20x ROI since IPO has made many people trust him. Tesla itself is a marvelous success, with no established car maker able to match them yet. It is far more likely that your personal dislike of him is making you see a distorted reality.

> with no established car maker able to match them yet. The Hyundai Kona EV is cheaper, has good range, and outperforms new model Teslas in 24-hour efficiency (interestingly finishing second to the original Tesla Roadster): https://insideevs.com/hyundai-kona-electric-gets-shockingly-... https://electrek.co/2018/12/23/tesla-roadster-24-hour-electr... Teslas are among the least reliable cars you can buy. If you want hi…

The last time this came up, many people said that the primary reason to buy a Tesla was for Autopilot, which I have not yet heard of another manufacturer with an equivalent product.

I think another advantage Tesla has is the Supercharger station access.

Re: Tesla cuts prices as Model 3 deliveries narrowly miss estimates

#162
post #148
post #22

Earlier quoted context omitted.

At $50B Market Cap, Tesla should be delivering at least $2B Annual profits. It's clear Tesla has run through higher margin demand. There aren't many people in the world who can afford a $50,000 car. Tesla is a niche market car, but priced as a mass market (like iPhones) product. Expect Tesla's sustainable profit to be around $500 Mil per year and it's share price must be cut in half to justify that

>>At $50B Market Cap, Tesla should be delivering at least $2B Annual profits There is no rule like that on a growth stock. You don't value growth stock on a P/E ratio, but some measure of future discounted cashflows.

tesla already has a market cap bigger than both ford and gm. you have to believe tesla is going to be the sole major north american car manufacturer in the near future to think tesla is a growth stock

Re: Tesla cuts prices as Model 3 deliveries narrowly miss estimates

#163

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Competition has been arriving for quite a while though. Having just bought a Tesla, I can tell you I'm starting to appreciate more than just intellectually the huge network of chargers and other infrastructure that company has laid out. It's not perfect but anyone else wanting to play in this market will need the same, and Jaguar is in no position to do it. I don't think anyone at Tesla is losing any sleep over Jagua…

I live in a nice part of LA and I see as many iPace's as Teslas, and the iPace has only been available for about 3 months locally. And the iPace owners are absolutely glowing in their reviews of the car in a way I've never heard Tesla owners get. Indeed--while most Tesla owners I know talk their heads off about the charging network[1], they tend to be defensive about the actual quality of the car itself in ways that…

Tesla has the highest consumer satisfaction rating and brand loyalty of any car maker [1]

[1] https://electrek.co/2017/12/21/tesla-tsla-tops-customer-sati...

Re: Tesla cuts prices as Model 3 deliveries narrowly miss estimates

#164
post #155

"Automaker sold 63,150 Model 3 in the fourth quarter" - [and this is only in North America] What Tesla has achieved is truly unbelievable and it is kind of hilarious to see HN meltdown and Tesla bashing. To give you a perspective on how much of a gigantic scale this is, BMW only sold 99,000 3/4 series in the US in all on 2017 [1]. Tesla is a carmaker who only sold ~100 vehicles in 2011. It is amazing how much of Tesl…

"appreciated" ... its a company , its a business. I dont appreciate it because Im not a customer. I hope their customers do appreciate it, why buy their product otherwise.

It seems like Tesla is either the inventor of the new wheel or an awful sweat shop for engineers. I happen to just think its a company that better make profit for its investors.

And Elon is just another business man. How much more appreciation does Tesla deserve?

Re: Tesla cuts prices as Model 3 deliveries narrowly miss estimates

#165
post #155

"Automaker sold 63,150 Model 3 in the fourth quarter" - [and this is only in North America] What Tesla has achieved is truly unbelievable and it is kind of hilarious to see HN meltdown and Tesla bashing. To give you a perspective on how much of a gigantic scale this is, BMW only sold 99,000 3/4 series in the US in all on 2017 [1]. Tesla is a carmaker who only sold ~100 vehicles in 2011. It is amazing how much of Tesl…

Nope, that's just the U.S. sales figures for BMW (says so in the link). You need to add the European sales of the 3-series (129,000) and 4-series (64,000) with the China figures (123,000) to get a bit closer to the global figure of 415,000 cars for both 3/4 series.

Re: Tesla cuts prices as Model 3 deliveries narrowly miss estimates

#166
post #155

"Automaker sold 63,150 Model 3 in the fourth quarter" - [and this is only in North America] What Tesla has achieved is truly unbelievable and it is kind of hilarious to see HN meltdown and Tesla bashing. To give you a perspective on how much of a gigantic scale this is, BMW only sold 99,000 3/4 series in the US in all on 2017 [1]. Tesla is a carmaker who only sold ~100 vehicles in 2011. It is amazing how much of Tesl…

Meanwhile, Toyota, which is only at 3x the market cap of Tesla, sold >2,200,000 vehicles in Q4. It ships more combined battery capacity in its hybrids, then Tesla does in its EVs.

Re: Tesla cuts prices as Model 3 deliveries narrowly miss estimates

#167
post #155

"Automaker sold 63,150 Model 3 in the fourth quarter" - [and this is only in North America] What Tesla has achieved is truly unbelievable and it is kind of hilarious to see HN meltdown and Tesla bashing. To give you a perspective on how much of a gigantic scale this is, BMW only sold 99,000 3/4 series in the US in all on 2017 [1]. Tesla is a carmaker who only sold ~100 vehicles in 2011. It is amazing how much of Tesl…

Nope, that's just the U.S. sales figures for BMW (says so in the link). You need to add the European sales of the 3-series (129,000) and 4-series (64,000) with the China figures (123,000) to get a bit closer to the global figure of 415,000 cars for both 3/4 series.

Yes, you are right. Edited post

Re: Tesla cuts prices as Model 3 deliveries narrowly miss estimates

#169
post #148

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>>At $50B Market Cap, Tesla should be delivering at least $2B Annual profits There is no rule like that on a growth stock. You don't value growth stock on a P/E ratio, but some measure of future discounted cashflows.

tesla already has a market cap bigger than both ford and gm. you have to believe tesla is going to be the sole major north american car manufacturer in the near future to think tesla is a growth stock

While we can argue whether the $50B market cap is too much, i was only commenting on a hard rule around valuation and earnings for a company in growth mode. I mean, I haven't looked at the P/E ratios but I bet Amazon's will look out of whack compared to Walmart's

Re: Tesla cuts prices as Model 3 deliveries narrowly miss estimates

#170
post #166
post #155

"Automaker sold 63,150 Model 3 in the fourth quarter" - [and this is only in North America] What Tesla has achieved is truly unbelievable and it is kind of hilarious to see HN meltdown and Tesla bashing. To give you a perspective on how much of a gigantic scale this is, BMW only sold 99,000 3/4 series in the US in all on 2017 [1]. Tesla is a carmaker who only sold ~100 vehicles in 2011. It is amazing how much of Tesl…

Meanwhile, Toyota, which is only at 3x the market cap of Tesla, sold >2,200,000 vehicles in Q4. It ships more combined battery capacity in its hybrids, then Tesla does in its EVs.

Toyota was founded in 1937, so it has a 80 year head start. I didn't say anything about market cap, but Toyota's is not valued as a growth stock.
Post reply on HN