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Cybersecurity looks like proof of work now

dbreunig.com

151–160 of 230 posts

Re: Cybersecurity looks like proof of work now

#151
"Security economy: to harden a system we need to spend more tokens discovering exploits than attackers spend exploiting them. To harden a system you need to spend more tokens discovering exploits than attackers will spend exploiting them." - This feels similar to missile defense dilemma. Spending 2M$ missile to attack a 20k$ drone.

Re: Cybersecurity looks like proof of work now

#152
post #76

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I mean, often, yep. The real reason why they are unhappy with you having an unsupported browser is simply that it's much harder to reason about or enforce policies across bespoke environments. And in an enterprise of a sufficient scale, the probability that one of your employees is making a mistake today is basically 1. Someone is installing an infostealer browser extension, someone is typing in their password on a p…

"The real reason why they are unhappy with you having an unsupported browser" I tend to encourage Firefox over Cr flavoured browsers because FF (for me) are the absolute last to dive in with fads and will boneheadedly argue against useful stuff until the cows come home ... Web Serial springs to mind (which should finally be rocking up real soon now). Oh and they are not sponsored by Google errm ... 8) I'm old enough…

> Web Serial

why in the absolute fuck would I want random web pages to be able to control all the devices connected to my computer?

Re: Cybersecurity looks like proof of work now

#153
post #8

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Tokens can also be burnt on decompilation.

> Tokens can also be burnt on decompilation. Prediction 1. We're going to have cheap "write Photoshop and AutoCad in Rust as a new program / FOSS" soon. No desktop software will be safe. Everything will be cloned. Prediction 2. We'll have a million Linux and Chrome and other FOSS variants with completely new codebases. Prediction 3. People will trivially clone games, change their assets. Modding will have a renaissan…

I think if prediction 1 is true (that it becomes cheap to clone existing software in a way that doesn't violate copyright law), the response will not be purely technical (moving to thin clients, or otherwise trying to technically restrict the access surface to make reverse engineering harder). Instead I'd predict that companies look to the law to replace the protections that they previously got from copyright.

Obvious possibilities include:

* More use of software patents, since these apply to underlying ideas, rather than specific implementations.

* Stronger DMCA-like laws which prohibit breaking technical provisions designed to prevent reverse engineering.

Similarly, if the people predicting that humans are going to be required to take ultimate responsibility for the behaviour of software are correct, then it clearly won't be possible for that to be any random human. Instead you'll need legally recognised credentials to be allowed to ship software, similar to the way that doctors or engineers work today.

Of course these specific predictions might be wrong. I think it's fair to say that nobody really knows what might have changed in a year, or where the technical capabilities will end up. But I see a lot of discussions and opinions that assume zero feedback from the broader social context in which the tech exists, which seems like they're likely missing a big part of the picture.

Re: Cybersecurity looks like proof of work now

#154
post #53

There's still the question of access to the codebase. By all accounts, the best LLM cyber scanning approaches are really primitive - it's just a bash script that goes through every single file in the codebase and, for each one and runs a "find the vulns here" prompt. The attacker usually has even less access than this - in the beginning, they have network tools, an undocumented API, and maybe some binaries. You can d…

On that latest episode of 'Security Cryptography Whatever' [0] they mention that the time spent on improving the harness (at the moment) end up being outperformed by the strategy of "wait for the next model". I doubt that will continue, but it broke my intuition about how to improve them [0] https://securitycryptographywhatever.com/2026/03/25/ai-bug-f...

I think you took away the wrong lesson from that podcast:

I think there is work to be done on scaffolding the models better. This exponential right now reminds me of the exponential from CPU speeds going up until let’s say 2000 or something where you had these game developers who would develop really impressive games on the current thing of hardware and they do it by writing like really detailed intricate x86 instruction sequences for like just exactly whatever this, like, you know, whatever 486 can do, knowing full well that in 2 years, you know, the pen team is gonna be able to do this much faster and they didn’t need to do it. But like you need to do it now because you wanna sell your game today and like, yeah, you can’t just like wait and like have everyone be able to do this. And so I do think that there definitely is value in squeezing out all of the last little juice that you can from the current model.

Everything you can do today will eventually be obsoleted by some future technology, but if you need better results today, you actually have to do the work. If you just drop everything and wait for the singularity, you're just going to unnecessarily cap your potential in the meantime.

Re: Cybersecurity looks like proof of work now

#155

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Can confirm. Matching decompilation in particular (where you match the compiler along with your guess at source, compile, then compare assembly, repeating if it doesn't match) is very token-intensive, but it's now very viable: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46080498 Of course LLMs see a lot more source-assembly pairs than even skilled reverse engineers, so this makes sense. Any area where you can get unlimited…

Has anyone used an LLM to deobfuscate compiled Javascript?

yes, but it requires some nudging if you don't want to waste tokens. it will happily grep and sed through massive javascript bundles but if you tell it to first create tooling like babel scripts to format, it will be much quicker.

Re: Cybersecurity looks like proof of work now

#156
The problem with the security researcher industry is that it is infested with self promoters who talk about methodologies and tools but have never written any secure software themselves. Or any software at all, as the GitHub accounts from some of these geniuses show.

Of course those are attracted to new tools and AI shill institutes like AISI (yes, the UK government is shilling for AI, it understands a proper grift that benefits the elites).

Security "research" is perfect for talkers and people who produce powerpoint graphs that sell their latest tools.

You still can sit down and write secure software, while the "researchers" focus on the same three soft targets (sudo, curl, ffmpeg) over an over again and get $100,000 in tokens and salaries for a bug in a protocol from the 1990s that no one uses. Imagine if this went to the authors instead.

But no, government money MUST go to the talkers and powerpointists. Always.

Re: Cybersecurity looks like proof of work now

#157
post #94

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah, it's token intensive but worth it. I built a very dumb example harness which used IDA via MCP and analyzed/renamed/commented all ~67k functions in a binary, using Claude Haiku for about $150. A local model could've accomplished it for much less/free. The knowledge base it outputs and the marked up IDA db are super valuable.

Do you have the repo example?

I did something similar using ghidramcp for digging around this keyboard firmware, repo contains the ghidra project, linux driver and even patches to the original stock fw. https://github.com/echtzeit-solutions/monsgeek-akko-linux

Re: Cybersecurity looks like proof of work now

#159

It looks like proof of work because: > Worryingly, none of the models given a 100M budget showed signs of diminishing returns. “Models continue making progress with increased token budgets across the token budgets tested,” AISI notes. So, the author infers a durable direct correlation between token spend and attack success. Thus you will need to spend more tokens than your attackers to find your vulnerabilities first…

Knowing nothing about cybersecurity, maybe the question is whether it costs more tokens to go from 32 steps to 33, or to complete the 33rd step? If it’s cheaper to add steps, or if defense is uncorrelated but offense becomes correlated, it’s not as bad as the article makes it seem. For instance, if failing any step locks you out, your probability of success is p^N, which means it’s functionally impossible with enough…

This is not like adding one bit of randomness to improve security: this was a model system which required 32 steps to break in if I understood correctly.

It is not that one would design a system in this manner because you'd never design a loophole in no matter the steps it takes to get there: it is just a benchmark.

Re: Cybersecurity looks like proof of work now

#160
post #53

Earlier quoted context omitted.

On that latest episode of 'Security Cryptography Whatever' [0] they mention that the time spent on improving the harness (at the moment) end up being outperformed by the strategy of "wait for the next model". I doubt that will continue, but it broke my intuition about how to improve them [0] https://securitycryptographywhatever.com/2026/03/25/ai-bug-f...

This is basically how you should treat all AI dev. Working around AI model limits for something that will take 3-6 months of work has very little ROI compared to building what works today and just waiting and building what works tomorrow tomorrow.

This assumes AI model improvements will be predictable, which they won’t.

There are several simultaneous moving targets: the different models available at any point in time, the model complexity/ capability, the model price per token, the number of tokens used by the model for that query, the context size capabilities and prices, and even the evolution of the codebase. You can’t calculate comparative ROIs of model A today or model B next year unless these are far more predictable than they currently are.

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