Earlier quoted context omitted.
There's currently no technological path for fusion to be cheaper than fission. It would require a technological breakthrough that we have not yet imagined. And already, solar plus storage is cheaper than new nuclear. And solar and storage are getting cheaper at a tremendous rate. It's hard to imagine a scenario where fusion could ever catch up to solar and storage technology. It may be useful in places with poor sola…
> It would require a technological breakthrough that we have not yet imagined. Maybe, but not necessarily. The necessary breakthrough might have been high-temperature superconducting magnets, in which case not only has it been imagined, but it has already occurred, and we're just waiting for the engineering atop that breakthrough to progress enough to demonstrate a working prototype (the magnets have been demonstrate…
If we started building a fusion commercial scale plant today (ie started by planning, permits, environmental assessments, public consultation, inevitable lawsuits, never mind actual construction and provisioning) it'd come online in what? 10 years? 15 years? 20 years?
Want to deploy more batteries? It can be online in months. And needs no more construction than a warehouse.
Financially fusion requires hundreds of billions, committed now, with revenue (not returns) projected at 10 years away (which will slide.) Whereas solar + storage (lots and lots of storage) requires anything from thousands to billions depending on how much you want to spend. We can start tomorrow, it'll be online in less than 2 years (probably a lot less) and since running costs are basically 0, immediate revenue means immediate returns.
Of course I'm not even allowing for fusion being "10 years" from "ready". It's been 10 years from ready for 50 years. By the time it is ready, much less the time before it comes online, it'll be redundant. And no one will be putting up the cash to build one.