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China is the manufacturing superpower

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Re: China is the manufacturing superpower

#151

Forgive my ignorance, but how does a country with a strong military turn that into GDP? I don't understand how military > manufacturing in terms of GDP. In my mind, manufacturing > military, but my knowledge of economics isn't great.

GDP includes government spending. If a country spends a lot of money on military, that reflects in GDP figures.

Re: China is the manufacturing superpower

#152
post #57

One thing people are not aware of and am curious of how big it really is: China manufacturing laundry. Essentially, goods are manufactured in China, then laundered to a third-party country and then exported to the US/EU. This come in two flavors, legal laundry where the local manufacturer satisfies the conditions; and illegal one where bribes are paid to pass goods. > https://antidumping.vn/eu-chinabike-duty-hits-ind…

[deleted]

Re: China is the manufacturing superpower

#153

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don’t think it’s necessarily so clear that Chinese foreign policy has really paid off yet. Chinese loanmaking to foreign countries has mostly gone bust, with many loans basically in default. While it’s true that Western development agencies were not lending to these projects, they mostly weren’t doing so because they were doubtful of the business cases of said projects and the likelihood that the government could a…

> Chinese loanmaking to foreign countries has mostly gone bust, with many loans basically in default. As America (or the world bank/imf as a proxy for american capital) can attest, calling in these loans is a great way to make a lot of enemies.

The problem in China's case, is that there's a lot of evidence that China doesn't even care whether or not it's paid back. One, the loans were given often in dollars. Which China found itself with a surplus of the past few decades. With no convenient way of ridding themselves of those dollars without significant pain, Chinese strategists hit on the brilliant plan of "loans". Two, and more importantly, the loans were used to finance Chinese influenced infrastructure projects.

So for instance, most of the African loans financed things like ports, and roads, and bridges, and trains, etc. Well when you look at the map of the "where" and the "what", it's easy to see the "why". All these bridges, roads and trains lead to the ports. Sure, this allows African countries to move their resources, and sometimes even finished products manufactured in these nations, to ports for delivery to "international clients". (Read, "China"). But tell me this, will the Africans own the freighters? No. The Africans will move massive amounts of products and resources to their ports, likely in the EAC, then China will pick up all that bounty and move it to China.

Sounds a lot like "harvesting" doesn't it?

There's one case where the Chinese definitely don't care whether the loan is repaid or not. They only care that all the bridges, roads and trains financed by the loan go to the ports. In fact, I don't know if the Africans realize it, but they'll be paying the Chinese more than the value of the loan just by using the rail and roads. The entire infrastructure system they've built only facilitates one thing, moving resources and products to the ports.

Is it good for Africans? Absolutely. A much better deal than they used to get when the West and Russia used assassinations and proxy wars to ravage the place. But let's not pretend it's about helping Africa. It's, at root, about an extremely low risk method of helping China by "loaning" money to others.

Re: China is the manufacturing superpower

#154
post #96

Earlier quoted context omitted.

A reduction in the space of possible allocations of resources isn’t good. It is good for any particular set of parties insofar as it hurts some other set of parties more than themselves. This is neither complicated nor controversial.

>A reduction in the space of possible allocations of resources isn’t good. I would personally like to eliminate allocations of resources that put me out of business and wreck the country. >It is good for any particular set of parties insofar as it hurts some other set of parties more than themselves. There's a huge misunderstanding in here somewhere. Most people don't think of their own welfare in terms of a negative…

> I would personally like to eliminate allocations of resources that put me out of business

So would travel agents, real estate agents and car dealerships.

Just because a change in allocation of resources or production would end businesses / jobs doesn't necessarily make it a bad thing.

I'm not arguing whether this specific policy is good or bad, but mainly that the argument don't do it because "it would cost jobs somewhere" doesn't mean something is a bad policy. Just about every change in the economy costs jobs somewhere. The question is: Does it create more jobs (or higher standard of living) in other places to make up for it?

Re: China is the manufacturing superpower

#155

Forgive my ignorance, but how does a country with a strong military turn that into GDP? I don't understand how military > manufacturing in terms of GDP. In my mind, manufacturing > military, but my knowledge of economics isn't great.

GDP includes government spending. If a country spends a lot of money on military, that reflects in GDP figures.

That's correct, but it's not that material. The US GDP is about $27 trillion, the military spending is about $1 trillion, or about 3% of the GDP.

Re: China is the manufacturing superpower

#156

Forgive my ignorance, but how does a country with a strong military turn that into GDP? I don't understand how military > manufacturing in terms of GDP. In my mind, manufacturing > military, but my knowledge of economics isn't great.

In the old days a country would use its military to conquer or subvert other countries to setup exploitative trading relationships.

For example the opium wars.

Nowadays the empire works via its currency that allows it to buy real goods and assets for something it can create for free with little constrain.

Of course the exploitive nature of the “exorbitant” privilege is controversial; and some economists would argue that it does not exist at all.

Re: China is the manufacturing superpower

#157
post #57

One thing people are not aware of and am curious of how big it really is: China manufacturing laundry. Essentially, goods are manufactured in China, then laundered to a third-party country and then exported to the US/EU. This come in two flavors, legal laundry where the local manufacturer satisfies the conditions; and illegal one where bribes are paid to pass goods. > https://antidumping.vn/eu-chinabike-duty-hits-ind…

Both Canada and Mexico are guilty of this. For years they would import products and do some light assembly and label it as Made in Canada or Mexico. Since Canada gives China Most Favored Nation status, importers can avoid duties and export into the USA since there is a Free Trade Agreement(NAFTA). It took a while for US Customs to crack down on this but it finally did and they now pay very close attention to where th…

Is the problem Canada and Mexico, or is it corporations and business elites exploiting loopholes and abusing the system? Manufacturing in Canada was destroyed by competition in China.

The root issue is the unchecked market power of businesses and the complete lack of repercussions for corporations and business elites that destroy industries, social systems, and deplete natural resources—without accountability for long-term consequences.

Re: China is the manufacturing superpower

#158

this is amazing and filled with facts that i wish everyone arguing the point that china cant overtake U.S. in economy or world superpowers would read. The facts are there, there is not much hiding around the corner, all of the true indication is in front of us. Yes. the article states U.S. still holds the title for world superpower by military size and capabilities. That's not to say that china cant catch up in no ti…

You're showcasing the "false equivalence" fallacy - you're comparing apples to oranges.

1) Autocracies are fundamentally unstable and need extreme violence to prevent dissent and dissolution. Autocrats basically steal from people at the bottom who in turn are less incentivized to give their best performance. Democracies are much more stable due to acceptance by most people who live in them and much more fair sharing of profits.

2) Due to their inherent instability, autocracies have a very high incentive to fake numbers.

With this background, I think your arguments are for the trash can.

Re: China is the manufacturing superpower

#159
post #132
post #115

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As a Singaporean, I have not seen this. Do you have any proof?

Look around from a rooftop, do you see many factories with smoke coming out of chimneys?

Yes: https://maps.app.goo.gl/1ZDRiQdhr3Ngf5qP6

I'd not be surprised if this activity is quite limited in Singapore given that they have been under a tight microscope lately. Money laundering used to be their business but now they are rich and make money "legitimately" and within the "international" framework.

Re: China is the manufacturing superpower

#160
post #14
post #3

Huh. For all the claims that US manufacturing is down, it does seem that if we adjusted per-capita it's on par with China based on the figures presented here, which I really didn't expect to see I'm no expert and of course I have no clue if it even makes sense to measure per-capita manufacturing share, and also assume a lot of other factors matter here - what kinds of things we're manufacturing, how much those produc…

You might be surprised to learn that manufacturing is larger industry in the US than our tech industry, or that our domestic oil industry is even larger. America produces more oil than any other country. America was the world's factory for over a century. This dominance only ended around 2010, when China took the lead. It was our advantage to lose, and it was the result of deliberate political action. We offshored ma…

If you think that autocratic regimes enrich the common workers, I have a bridge to sell to you.
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