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'AI' Is Supercharging Our Broken Healthcare System's Worst Tendencies

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Re: 'AI' Is Supercharging Our Broken Healthcare System's Worst Tendencies

#151

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The gap between rich and poor is growing at increasing pace, just like the gap between rich and mega-rich is. If you went completely hungry yesterday, nearly starved to death, but today you get enough calories that you feel less pain so you can at least stand up and walk around a bit, while you watch your brother stuff his face with so much cake he has to puke 3 times to make room for more, to then play frisbee with…

> The gap between rich and poor is growing at increasing pace, just like the gap between rich and mega-rich is. Why the hell should that matter? If the system wanted to keep poor people poor, won't the poverty rate stay the same? Thats the assertion I was countering. Why keep moving the goalpost? But I will play along: > If you went completely hungry yesterday, nearly starved to death, but today you get enough calori…

> Let's say your brother worked 10 times more than you (80 hrs) and smarter than you while you stayed in bed and watched TV all day on his dime.

And you accuse me of moving goalposts? You're not worth my time at any hourly rate.

Re: 'AI' Is Supercharging Our Broken Healthcare System's Worst Tendencies

#152
post #143

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why not? Symptom overlap springs to mind. Both anxiety and reflux can present 90% of the common symptoms of a heart attack. Get a reflux specialist when what you needed was a cardiologist and you're fucked. Labor costs also spring to mind. I can only imagine the look on some hospital administrator's face when the proposal to triple headcount comes across their desk.

Presumably you would structure such a medical system such that lower level practitioners would know enough to know when to escalate to an MD. 90% of medicine is stuff like people going to the doctor with the flu to get a sick note to stay home from work and instructions to rest and drink fluids. I don't think you need an MD for that.

We already have that structure to an extent. Much primary care for minor problems is delivered by a PA or NP. They are trained to escalate to an MD when necessary, although due to lack of training sometimes they miss things that an MD would have caught.

Re: 'AI' Is Supercharging Our Broken Healthcare System's Worst Tendencies

#153
post #87

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The problem is that "skilled healthcare" is essentially a cartel which uses artificial scarcity to increase the price. You can see the counter-example in Cuba, which has an incredibly high number of MD's per capita compared to other countries, and achieves very good healthcare results, especially in the context of other metrics of development and economy. There are so pitifully few health care practitioners compared…

Artificial scarcity? Maybe. There aren't but so many households with children that fit inside the venn diagram of can afford med school, has the intellectual capacity and bloody-mindedness to actually finish med school, and is interested in going to med school.

Sending more students to medical school wouldn't help. Every year there are already students who graduate with an MD but are unable to practice because they don't get matched to a residency program. The first thing we need to do is get Congress to increase Medicare funding for graduate medical education programs (or find another way of funding those).

https://savegme.org/

Re: 'AI' Is Supercharging Our Broken Healthcare System's Worst Tendencies

#154
post #152
post #143

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Presumably you would structure such a medical system such that lower level practitioners would know enough to know when to escalate to an MD. 90% of medicine is stuff like people going to the doctor with the flu to get a sick note to stay home from work and instructions to rest and drink fluids. I don't think you need an MD for that.

We already have that structure to an extent. Much primary care for minor problems is delivered by a PA or NP. They are trained to escalate to an MD when necessary, although due to lack of training sometimes they miss things that an MD would have caught.

> due to lack of training sometimes they miss things that an MD would have caught.

It goes the other way as well. My aunt is an RN and she loves to tell the story about the time that a doctor was in such a rush one time she had to call his attention to the fact that his patient was dead.

Re: 'AI' Is Supercharging Our Broken Healthcare System's Worst Tendencies

#155
post #87

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The problem is that "skilled healthcare" is essentially a cartel which uses artificial scarcity to increase the price. You can see the counter-example in Cuba, which has an incredibly high number of MD's per capita compared to other countries, and achieves very good healthcare results, especially in the context of other metrics of development and economy. There are so pitifully few health care practitioners compared…

Artificial scarcity? Maybe. There aren't but so many households with children that fit inside the venn diagram of can afford med school, has the intellectual capacity and bloody-mindedness to actually finish med school, and is interested in going to med school.

I mean arguably subsidizing med school would be a pretty sensible thing for a government to do if it wanted to increase the number of doctors. The other elements of the venn diagram can't be modified I agree, but affordability of med school doesn't have to be there

Re: 'AI' Is Supercharging Our Broken Healthcare System's Worst Tendencies

#156

I'm not sure I understand why AI is supposed to make anything better, at least under the regulatory regime we have right now. 1. AI doesn't do anything new. It's just human thinking done better in the best case scenario. So the plus side is that we may come up with ideas that a human might have come up with 10-15 years later. However, a lack of ideas is not the problem we face at all. We have solutions to nearly ever…

Right now, the only products I've seen leveraging LLMs are the tools from Nuance[1] that fill in physician notes. Arguably this is not an improvement; physician notes are already an incomprehensible garble of cut-and-paste content (often from other systems).[2] But at least it is unlikely to negatively impact patient care. So far, AFAICT, the drive is to cut costs by saving the time the physician spends with the EHR.…

Can we be sure that those intermediated notes aren't just hallucinating what it thinks the doctor wants to write down?

How do you verify that what gets written down really is what the doctor wanted? How do you automate that to protect yourself against LLM hallucination?

Re: 'AI' Is Supercharging Our Broken Healthcare System's Worst Tendencies

#157
post #142

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah I'm not convinced. I've worked adjacent to the healthcare and pharma industries most of my adult life and I can tell you the complexity of the human body beggars belief. You aren't going to run the equivalent of a coding bootcamp for healthcare and get good results.

Not all of medicine is dealing with the full complexity of the human body. A lot of it is applying wrote knowledge to essentially follow a flow-chart to map a set of symptoms and details about the patient to a diagnostic / treatment plan. Doctors are trained to not deviate from medical orthodoxy, and for instance it's been studied that if doctors are told another doctor has already come to a given conclusion about a…

Yeah. Would you like to review a graph over time of medical outcomes in the US based on this approach to healthcare (we see you minute clinic)? Hint: there's a reason we consistently rank dead last when compared to other industrialized nations.

Re: 'AI' Is Supercharging Our Broken Healthcare System's Worst Tendencies

#158
post #143

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why not? Symptom overlap springs to mind. Both anxiety and reflux can present 90% of the common symptoms of a heart attack. Get a reflux specialist when what you needed was a cardiologist and you're fucked. Labor costs also spring to mind. I can only imagine the look on some hospital administrator's face when the proposal to triple headcount comes across their desk.

Presumably you would structure such a medical system such that lower level practitioners would know enough to know when to escalate to an MD. 90% of medicine is stuff like people going to the doctor with the flu to get a sick note to stay home from work and instructions to rest and drink fluids. I don't think you need an MD for that.

You've literally described the current healthcare system in the US. Minute Clinic/NPs/PAs providing front line care. It doesn't appear to be working well based on how our country's healthcare system ranks against other industrialized nations.

Re: 'AI' Is Supercharging Our Broken Healthcare System's Worst Tendencies

#159
post #154
post #152

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We already have that structure to an extent. Much primary care for minor problems is delivered by a PA or NP. They are trained to escalate to an MD when necessary, although due to lack of training sometimes they miss things that an MD would have caught.

> due to lack of training sometimes they miss things that an MD would have caught. It goes the other way as well. My aunt is an RN and she loves to tell the story about the time that a doctor was in such a rush one time she had to call his attention to the fact that his patient was dead.

Here's a fun question: would that be due to gross inattention on the doctor's part or gross overwork due to patient/provider ratios being skewed into bizarro world by cost-cutting measures on the part of the hospital?

Re: 'AI' Is Supercharging Our Broken Healthcare System's Worst Tendencies

#160
post #148

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What part of healthcare provided rote by untrained individuals at the behest of a LLM sounds like a solution to anything?

So for example, a treatment plan might look like this: 1. Go to a GP and explain symptoms 2. GP orders some tests based on symptoms 3. GP refers you to a specialist based on test results 4. Specialist orders more tests 5. Specialist analyzes results and orders more tests, or prescribes treatment plan 6. Check in with specialist in weeks or months to evaluate results and update treatment It seems to me that for many c…

"with minor downsides" ...
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