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The Crypto-Chernobyl

stephendiehl.com

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Re: The Crypto-Chernobyl

#151

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There exists no technology, and there has never existed any technology, that has such an abysmal rate of utility to waste as Bitcoin does. It is singularly inefficient in the history of mankind.

One man's waste is another man's treasure. Ultimately it is a black hole, the black hole that sucks all value from other monetary systems. It provides immutability, permanence and durability like no other data structure that has come before it. This takes a lot of energy. It is best to stop looking at "factories" and "mines" producing "waste", it is more akin to software running in data centers using available energy…

Gold provides better permanence and durability; and what immutability Bitcoin does provide is a bad thing rather than a good thing, because it prevents refunds in cases of fraud — something which you need to anticipate and be able to respond to in exactly the “trustless” environment which Bitcoin is supposed to enable.

And the environmental consequences of the network are not opt-in, they are born by us all even if we do not use the currency. Thus can energy be said to be wasted: it is bad for us all, not just the spender, when Gigajoules are spend when spending millijoules would have equivalent of better results.

> Knowing how many SHA256^2's my rivals can hash a second is also pretty useful information

For?

Re: The Crypto-Chernobyl

#152

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> It's not a fringe view: It still needs to be substantiated. > In the United States, adherence to the gold standard prevented the Federal Reserve from expanding the money supply to stimulate the economy, fund insolvent banks and fund government deficits that could "prime the pump" for an expansion. Argument by authority combined with argument by assertion. why do you think that devaluing people’s money and inflating…

Anything more than citations would be too much for a HN comment. There's more depth in the citations for the excerpt I linked. To oversimplify: Bitcoin has a limited supply, the majority of which is already held in too few hands, many of whom have a HODL attitude that prevents circulation. It also has transaction fees and technical obstacles that prevent circulation. How can Bitcoin ever be widely adopted as money wi…

> Fiat isn't perfect, but at least it allows concentration of wealth to be countered by issuing more fiat money, even if too much of that goes to the rich.

This leads to greater concentration of wealth. Since people don’t seem to understand that, we have this feedback cycle where policy leads to concetration of wealth, which cause people to advocate policies that lead to further concentration of wealth, over and over again. People need to break the cycke by realizing that printing money causes assets (held by the rich) to appreciate, and wages (earned by everyone else) to decrease in real terms.

Re: The Crypto-Chernobyl

#153

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> So what if it's scarce? So that allows it to be a medium of exchange with a stable number of outstanding units, which is an improvement over USD. > Why should I be transacting using a record of someone's solution to a useless math problem to begin with? People who want to transact don’t wonder why they need an exchange medium. > As for it "not depreciating," I claim that's because people believe it should go up, i.…

I understand why there needs to be a limited amount of any currency unit. It's because currency is for conducting transactions involving resources which are also limited. What I don't understand is why you think scarcity implies any sort of value. You do understand that there are plenty of things that are scarce that are essentially worthless, right? As well, I'm not questioning the need for an exchange medium. I'm q…

> What I don't understand is why you think scarcity implies any sort of value. You do understand that there are plenty of things that are scarce that are essentially worthless, right?

In this case, the value is as a unit of account that is (mostly) guaranteed to be, not just scarce, but have a hard limit on quantity. This links back to your first sentence, and people’s desire to be able to make several transactions or hold funds without depreciation.

> As well, I'm not questioning the need for an exchange medium. I'm questioning why a certificate that says someone solved a useless math problem is a valid exchange mechanism.

This also connects to your first paragraph. The simplest answer is that value is subjective and the people using it value it for that purpose.

> Suppose a magical genie snaps their fingers and suddenly, everyone's USD bank balance gets multiplied by 10. What happens then? People still value the things they were buying with USD yesterday the same, so, prices will just go up by a factor of 10. You can call that the USD depreciating, or you can call it the price of goods increasing. Those things are equivalent.

This is a good example. Now imagine what happens if when the genie snaps his fingers, all the white people in NY, DC, and SF have their bank balances multiplied by 10 and the rest of us don’t. What happens to prices of the things white people in ny/dc/sf buy? What happens to the profits of people who sell to them? What does the market look like for the rest of us, who are now competing with people who have 10x as much money for the same goods? Do you see now how the FED’s actions distort the economy and cause certain people to benefit to the detriment of others?

> One final question: do you take issue with my statement that the USD essentially is a blockchain-based digital currency? If so, how? If not, why bother with BTC?

USD are an electronic ledger but they aren’t a blockchain. BTC are desireable because of the hard cap on the number of units, which means that a person who holds BTC is protected from the risk of their currency being diluted by additional units.

> Oh, and you still haven't explained why BTC should be worth anything at all. I thought you were one of those "enthusiasts" who understood those things? Is there a reason you don't want to explain it to me so I can become an enthusiast as well?

Tbh I’ve explained it a few times and I’m not convinced that you’re actually interested in understanding. You’re spending a little too much time inferring things about me (incorrectly, mind you).

Re: The Crypto-Chernobyl

#154
post #151

Earlier quoted context omitted.

One man's waste is another man's treasure. Ultimately it is a black hole, the black hole that sucks all value from other monetary systems. It provides immutability, permanence and durability like no other data structure that has come before it. This takes a lot of energy. It is best to stop looking at "factories" and "mines" producing "waste", it is more akin to software running in data centers using available energy…

Gold provides better permanence and durability; and what immutability Bitcoin does provide is a bad thing rather than a good thing, because it prevents refunds in cases of fraud — something which you need to anticipate and be able to respond to in exactly the “trustless” environment which Bitcoin is supposed to enable. And the environmental consequences of the network are not opt-in, they are born by us all even if w…

Pretty hard to get your gold back in case of fraud too, especially if they have guns. This is a feature, not a bug. If you want chargebacks, use fiat credit cards. You can do special bitcoin tx's that allow escrow and return of funds, but that is beyond the scope of this point.

In general I do not want refund features at all, and think its Bitcoins strongest features and usefulness. It is this that gives it its value. No do overs. Permanence.

Gold also sucks because you cant transfer it globally in 10 minutes, move it trivially and takes up no space. Millijoules are insufficient to globally protect the ledger, sorry. If someone wanted to undo my transaction, they need Gigajoules to undo it. I don't think you quite understand what is required to protect a ledger. There is no waste. I'm sorry you don't feel the same way. Bitcoin doesn't care.

Re: hash speed? The physical attack price of infrastructure and energy allows a defender to calibrate their defense spend.

Re: The Crypto-Chernobyl

#155
post #151

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Gold provides better permanence and durability; and what immutability Bitcoin does provide is a bad thing rather than a good thing, because it prevents refunds in cases of fraud — something which you need to anticipate and be able to respond to in exactly the “trustless” environment which Bitcoin is supposed to enable. And the environmental consequences of the network are not opt-in, they are born by us all even if w…

Pretty hard to get your gold back in case of fraud too, especially if they have guns. This is a feature, not a bug. If you want chargebacks, use fiat credit cards. You can do special bitcoin tx's that allow escrow and return of funds, but that is beyond the scope of this point. In general I do not want refund features at all, and think its Bitcoins strongest features and usefulness. It is this that gives it its value…

> Pretty hard to get your gold back in case of fraud too, especially if they have guns.

In either case you need trust. That’s the point.

Thus “trustless” is not a benefit of BTC. Existing systems do literally everything else that Bitcoin can do, and more besides, only faster better and with less side effects.

> Millijoules are insufficient to globally protect the ledger, sorry. If someone wanted to undo my transaction, they need Gigajoules to undo it. I don't think you quite understand what is required to protect a ledger.

To me it appears that it is you who does not understand.

We don’t need the BTC ledger. It adds zero value. It solves no novel problem. There is nothing, at all, which it does uniquely well, including the claim made about it removing the need for trust, which is a false claim because it does no such thing.

> The physical attack price of infrastructure and energy allows a defender to calibrate their defense spend.

It does not help you calibrate. This isn’t Alice and Bob, nor is the the Cold War nuclear race. The BTC structural worry is any one group gaining more than half the total hash rate, when there are many competing groups. No individual can defend against a big group — just like old money, which again means you need to go back to exactly the kind of financial system we already have with simple non-blockchain ledgers kept by banks and accountants.

Re: The Crypto-Chernobyl

#156
post #155

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Pretty hard to get your gold back in case of fraud too, especially if they have guns. This is a feature, not a bug. If you want chargebacks, use fiat credit cards. You can do special bitcoin tx's that allow escrow and return of funds, but that is beyond the scope of this point. In general I do not want refund features at all, and think its Bitcoins strongest features and usefulness. It is this that gives it its value…

> Pretty hard to get your gold back in case of fraud too, especially if they have guns. In either case you need trust. That’s the point. Thus “trustless” is not a benefit of BTC. Existing systems do literally everything else that Bitcoin can do, and more besides, only faster better and with less side effects. > Millijoules are insufficient to globally protect the ledger, sorry. If someone wanted to undo my transactio…

From my perspective, the main objection you have toward this is that you do not find value in what this is. I assure you that I, and many others do. Are we all wrong? Are practical (in that they exist and work, today) solutions that solve others peoples problems wrong because you do not understand them?

I encourage you to let go of your preconceived notions and spend a few hours, days, months or years reading and experiencing it. Contribute code. Build something with it. Earn it. Spend it.

"My argument" Try this new novel technology, it solves problems for me, and many others. Its unlike anything we have seen before. Its a whole new field that is complex and touches on elements of game theory, economics, computer science and sociology. It's been working without fail for 12 years, with many years of innovation ahead. No signs of stopping, and captivating some of the best minds of our time. As it evolves, we learn more about ourselves and the nature of the things we build.

"Counter Argument": Nobody needs it. It doesn't work. It uses too much energy. You are wrong about all the things you have experience with. I do not have the imagination to see how this is useful to anyone. Existing things are better.

Cool dude.

re: calibrate. Check the certificate or the TLS connection to this website -- you may notice that SHA256 is used for certificate public key hashing/message authentication as a cryptoprimitive in the x509 encoding and ciphersuites. I encourage you to think of a thought exercise where a practical security metric of this cryptoprimitive might be useful and to whom.

I don't think we can convince each other of our positions.

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