I think one of the most interesting papers I read this year was Hartshorne & Germine, 2015, "When does cognitive functioning peak? The asynchronous rise and fall of different cognitive abilities across the life span": https://doi.org/10.1177/0956797614567339 There are lots of good bits, such as: 'On the practical side, not only is there no age at which humans are performing at peak on all cognitive tasks, there may n…
Apologies for pasting all of this, but the excerpt has always stuck with me. It seem correct. Are there alternative explanations other than mental processing speed and so on? (For example, later in life, you're less likely to be in a position to do the same sort of work. But that seems to have been tested by e.g. the institute of advanced study.) As far as I can tell, this section might be one of those facts that peo…
However, as of 2011[1] the mean age of physics Nobel winners at the time of their achievements across the entire period of the award was 37.2 and since 1985 the mean age was 50.3.
According to the same paper, by the year 2000, Nobel-level achievement in physics before age 40 was only 19% of cases. It also appears that awards in chemistry and medicine are similarly increasing in mean age.
Is this dispositive? Certainly not. Maybe the Nobel committee prefers to award old scientists because of some unknown bias?
However, it does indicate that high achievement is both possible and normal in middle age and beyond.