Earlier quoted context omitted.
The credit is only changing by 3,750 on January 1, it’s not hitting zero. $7,500 On or before December 31, 2018 $3,750 January 1 to June 30, 2019 $1,875 July 1 to December 31, 2019 That’s not to say the low battery range Tesla 3 will be out by June 30th, but the difference is not dramatic. You can argue how ‘real’ that gas savings is, but gas is not free and it’s going to be more relevant when someone is buying a use…
So it will be $44k+ in July (vs the stated 46k). I stand corrected... If they can get the low battery range Tesla to mid 20s then we'll be talking. But if it is in the mid to upper 30s then the numbers don't really add up and the vehicle remains a luxury.
PS: The fuel savings is massive which will push up resale prices and directly save their original owner money. Saving 20+k over 15+ years and several owners is not the same as a lower sticker price, but it’s far from meaningless.