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AI outperforms law professors in Stanford Law study

law.stanford.edu

141–150 of 384 posts

Re: AI outperforms law professors in Stanford Law study

#141
While they provided the questions that professors and LLMs were asked to respond to, they don't include any of the answers from either the humans or the LLMs, so there's no way to independently verify that the LLMs actually returned "better" answers.

Given the number of responses the professors were asked to rate (200 each), they probably graded them the same way that bar exam responses are graded: quickly and superficially. Not surprising that LLMs achieved higher scores in this scenario, since they excel at producing superficially nice answers that don't hold up under scrutiny.

Also...unless statistics has changed in the past 2 decades, the math in the charts doesn't math. That's probably why they're leaving out the actual numerical data. I also wouldn't be surprised if we learn in the coming days that the charts were AI generated.

Re: AI outperforms law professors in Stanford Law study

#142
post #7

As a software engineer I have some intuition for what the risks are of letting agents do some tasks vs others. I don't have a similar intuition calibrated for what could go wrong when asking AI to draft a legal document. Some things seem harmless, i.e. drafting a will, but I don't really know- our legal system is notoriously rife with footguns.

This is why I can’t see how college grads are going to survive the AI apocalypse. domain experts driving LLMs are super powerful because they can spot where they make mistakes. Juniors don’t have that insight and the LLMs then cost them productivity.

> domain experts driving LLMs are super powerful because they can spot where they make mistakes

I don’t know if that’ll be true for long. I just had my colleague who’s a very competent engineer IMO hand me a frontier model vibed PR to review (after reviewing it himself, he claims) which contained random variable assignments, conditionals that do nothing, etc. He’d never do such a thing before. People become too comfortable and get confirmation bias as well.

Re: AI outperforms law professors in Stanford Law study

#143
post #7

As a software engineer I have some intuition for what the risks are of letting agents do some tasks vs others. I don't have a similar intuition calibrated for what could go wrong when asking AI to draft a legal document. Some things seem harmless, i.e. drafting a will, but I don't really know- our legal system is notoriously rife with footguns.

To give you some example of what can happen if you use AI in legal battle you can look at Valve vs Rothchild case [1].

TL;DR Its never a good idea and it will bite you.

1. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/valve-wins-trial-against-pate...

Re: AI outperforms law professors in Stanford Law study

#145

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think that within a few years, most lawyers will expect that clients will have run contracts through an LLM prior to sending them to outside counsel. Emails will be along the lines of: Please see attached contract we received from [counterparty]. ChatGPT says blah, blah and blah should be revised. What do you think? Is there anything else that we should change?

Right. That will reduce workload for the lawyers. But will their fees then go down? I'm kinda worried that if I don't give them the LLM produced legal docs for review they will just use the LLM themselves and then charge me for the work the LLM did :-) It's bit like with doctors, you'll want a second opinion, if you can afford it.

TBD. Probably depends on whether what you're paying for is access to their lawyer-level LLM, which they would run it through, or for actual expertise.

Probably for important deals, detailed human review will be expected.

Maybe the real value-add will be the insertion of language that LLMs won't be able to figure out, but which will be favorable for the side that inserted them.

Re: AI outperforms law professors in Stanford Law study

#146

I find this study quite suspect. I'd have to dive deeper but there's definitely significant alarm bells that should be going off for anyone reading. Figure 2 (page 6) screams problems. There's only 16 professors (3k comparisons each?!?!) and the professors are all over the place. That's very high variance, suggesting the study has no meaningful statistical power. Poor instructor 16 can't catch a break lol There's als…

Independent of whether it has any meaning (because the entire paper might be a bit iffy), I find it curious that Instructors 3 and 8 have the lowest harmfulness rates, quite a bit lower than even the LLMs, but not the highest preference rates. Harmfulness anticorrelates with preference, but not perfectly. Some amount of charisma appears to be a factor even in selections by professionals?

Re: AI outperforms law professors in Stanford Law study

#149
post #7

As a software engineer I have some intuition for what the risks are of letting agents do some tasks vs others. I don't have a similar intuition calibrated for what could go wrong when asking AI to draft a legal document. Some things seem harmless, i.e. drafting a will, but I don't really know- our legal system is notoriously rife with footguns.

> drafting a will

Such a document may not make a difference to the person that eventually will have died, but it can make or break the life of generations to come in countries that are so heavily optimized for dynasty building like the US.

Re: AI outperforms law professors in Stanford Law study

#150

I'm surprised Stanford Law would go along with this over-reaching press release title. How about "For common first-year contracts-law questions, law professors preferred AI-generated answers to professor-generated answers"

The revised title is spot on. It's odd to me how academics are trying to sound like top research labs' CEOs trying to pump valuations by overreaching claims.
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