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Good ideas do not need lots of lies in order to gain public acceptance (2008)

blog.danieldavies.com

141–150 of 228 posts

Re: Good ideas do not need lots of lies in order to gain public acceptance (2008)

#141
post #106

I'm not sure. Don't underestimate the power of inertia. I bought an EV last year and it's definitely been a "good idea" for me. Luxurious ride, fuel costs a tenth, doesn't stink. Seems such an obvious upgrade it slightly confuses me take-up hasn't been quicker among people who like me can charge at home.

Sometimes good ideas just have to fight habit

Re: Good ideas do not need lots of lies in order to gain public acceptance (2008)

#142
post #111

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> it slightly confuses me take-up hasn't been quicker among people who like me can charge at home No big mystery: a) most people keep cars for 20 years or more, b) most people don't buy new cars - they're too expensive.

What‘s the source for the 20 years? Seems unlikely to me. b) You can also buy used EVs. I bought one last year, 2 years old, for 56% of the original price.

My source is just personal observation, but I'm clearly not far off:

https://www.scrap-car-dealers.co.uk/latest-news/post/average...

> As of 2025, the average age of a scrapped car in the UK is between 16 and 20 years old!

...

> You can also buy used EVs.

True, but you're quite limited there since good EVs have only been around for a very small number of years. Maybe you can get an old Tesla for not too much but that's pretty undesirable for obvious reasons.

Re: Good ideas do not need lots of lies in order to gain public acceptance (2008)

#143

The flip side is that good ideas with honest framing often lose to bad ideas with better marketing. Being right isn't enough if you can't communicate it and most people don't have the patience to evaluate the honest version.

You still need rhetoric, timing, emotion and narrative. But I'd say the lesson is "good ideas need good communicators" not "good ideas need lies"

Re: Good ideas do not need lots of lies in order to gain public acceptance (2008)

#144

This is what scares me the most about AI. You have a handful of really big companies trying to outdo each other as they race to implement it and deploy it as quickly as possible. To try and justify their outrageous capital spending on data centers; they are incentivised to exaggerate its current capabilities and also what it will be capable of 'soon'. There is no time to evaluate each step to make sure it is accurate…

When companies are spending that much capital, they almost can't help becoming unreliable narrators about what the technology can do right now versus what they hope it will do in two or three years

Re: Good ideas do not need lots of lies in order to gain public acceptance (2008)

#145
post #111

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What‘s the source for the 20 years? Seems unlikely to me. b) You can also buy used EVs. I bought one last year, 2 years old, for 56% of the original price.

My source is just personal observation, but I'm clearly not far off: https://www.scrap-car-dealers.co.uk/latest-news/post/average... > As of 2025, the average age of a scrapped car in the UK is between 16 and 20 years old! ... > You can also buy used EVs. True, but you're quite limited there since good EVs have only been around for a very small number of years. Maybe you can get an old Tesla for not too much but that…

If most people kept cars for 20 years, and the secondhand market exists, then by the time an average car is scrapped it must be substantially over 20 years old.

Re: Good ideas do not need lots of lies in order to gain public acceptance (2008)

#146
post #15

Having worked in public advocacy advertising, I’d frame it like this: “Good ideas don’t need lies” is a compelling ideal but in practice, public acceptance isn’t a reliable signal of truth or societal benefit. It depends on incentives, narratives, and how information is presented. History shows that even harmful or suboptimal ideas (like coal power) can gain widespread support if presented persuasively, while genuine…

I think you just reinforced the articles point. Coal power needs lots of lies to justify it, as per your own statement. That is in fact because coal energy is a terrible idea . It has 0 upsides compared to renewable alternatives, and is on the whole worse than even other non-renewable alternatives. If you have to lie to make it sound good, that's probably because it isn't actually good

You can turn it around. If stopping using coal is a good idea then all that should be needed it present the facts and all the people will cheer and support stop using coal - if not it means stopping using coal is a bad idea?

Re: Good ideas do not need lots of lies in order to gain public acceptance (2008)

#147
post #54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think we’re still talking past each other. I’m not arguing that any specific idea is good. My point is just that public acceptance itself isn’t reliable evidence either way: ideas can gain support (or fail) for reasons other than their actual merit.

That's true. The inversion of the quote is that good ideas require lies to lose public acceptance. Well, there's a lot of lies flying around lately. So it happens.

[deleted]

Re: Good ideas do not need lots of lies in order to gain public acceptance (2008)

#149
post #132
post #117

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This feels irrelevant - it's not an idea about which lots of lies are being told in favor ? (quite a lot of .. misapprehensions against, though)

Yes. It's a good idea, therefore should not need lots of lies, indeed lots of lies aren't told, and so the idea should just catch on of its own strength? But it doesn't seem to and I'm identifying that as due to inertia. You may disagree

The contrapositive of "Good ideas do not need lots of lies told about them in order to gain public acceptance" is not "good ideas will succeed without any messaging at all".

Re: Good ideas do not need lots of lies in order to gain public acceptance (2008)

#150
post #106

I'm not sure. Don't underestimate the power of inertia. I bought an EV last year and it's definitely been a "good idea" for me. Luxurious ride, fuel costs a tenth, doesn't stink. Seems such an obvious upgrade it slightly confuses me take-up hasn't been quicker among people who like me can charge at home.

EV marketing in the US is super dumb.

We get these ads emphasizing the luxuriousness, the status, the high-tech, the exclusivity of EVs. Meanwhile... BYD.

Surely it can't be entirely conspiracy to bludgeon the public with messaging that EVs are premium goods and ICEVs are for the mass market.

Could it be that the maxim should really be something like "bullshit too often and too greedily and you forget how to sell something that sells itself"...?

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