Earlier quoted context omitted.
Don't forget that the original Leaf pack was only 24 kWh. So if you assume a ~1000 full-equivalent-charge-cycles lifespan, then the large Gen2 62 kWh pack will live 2.5 times longer than an original 24 kWh pack. If you average 3.5 miles/kWh, the 24 kWh battery will be expected to last somewhere around 84,000 miles. While the 62 kWh pack will last for 217,000 miles. https://coolienergy.com/lfp-vs-nmc-batteries-the-sci…
Why would you only assume 1000 cycles? Is the chemistry that bad? The LFP battery on my balcony is rated for 5000 cycles iirc.
Depth of discharge and charge rate affect LFP specifically in such a way that if you keep them a good margin above cutoff voltage, relatively cool (60C and under, and do 1C and lower charging you can get 10,000 cycles per their data sheets. The same sheets will also list lower cycle counts for harder use that lines up with the standards used for earlier cells. Basically I think we’ll find a lot of gently to moderately used hardware will last a long time.
Whatever a believable use case looks like will probably end up on those data sheets and it wouldn’t surprise me if we see 15,000 and 20,000 cycles advertised for cells intended in low charge and discharge use cases (probably not cars but maybe home energy storage).
My Taycan has an ongoing battery issue relating to LG Pouch cells but its construction rather than composition that is the culprit. The same compositions from LG in prismatic and cylindrical models, the only models they sell now, so far haven’t been a mess for car makers.