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Is Sora the beginning of the end for OpenAI?

calnewport.com

141–150 of 207 posts

Re: Is Sora the beginning of the end for OpenAI?

#141

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> There will always be a market for it, wherever there is a mismatch between desire for and access to sexual activity. Attractive people in sexually fulfilling relationships still look at porn. It's just human.

>Attractive people in sexually fulfilling relationships still look at porn. How do you know those relationships are "sexually fulfilling"?

I, uh, have a friend, who tells me watching porn with their partner once in a while, can be pretty hot.

Re: Is Sora the beginning of the end for OpenAI?

#142

"It wasn't that long ago that Sam Altman was still comparing the release of GPT-5 to the testing of the first atomic bomb , and many commentators took Dario Amodei at his word when he proclaimed* 50% of white collar jobs might soon be automated* by LLM-based tools. A company that still believes that its technology was imminently going to run large swathes of the economy, and would be so powerful as to reconfigure our…

They might be forced to do so because the current inference pricing is not really covered by the 20$ monthly fee. Who knows what they have promised to the investors and the real cashflow is hard to be certain about with the circular nature of cross-investing between the biggest players.

Re: Is Sora the beginning of the end for OpenAI?

#143

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Absolutely! And don’t kid yourself into thinking you are immune from this either. You can find support of basically anything you want to believe. And your friendly LLM will be more than happy to confirm it too! Honestly it goes right back to philosophy and what truth even means. Is there even such a thing?

People forget that critical thinking means thinking critically about everything, even things you already think are true because they fit into your worldview.

Let alone the hordes who think "critical thinking" just means disagreeing with things.

Re: Is Sora the beginning of the end for OpenAI?

#144
post #48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Just yesterday I saw a Sora-generated video that purported to be someone filming a failed HIMARS missile failing and falling on stopped traffic and exploding on the 5 in Camp Pendleton on Saturday. (IRL they were doing some kind of live-fire drill and it did actually involve projectiles flying over the freeway.) While there were some debris instances IRL the freeway was completely shut down per the governors orders a…

> I can easily generate videos suitable for reels using my GPU and those programs don't (visibly) watermark. Curious what you used. I have an RTX 5090 and I've tried using some local video generators and the results are absolute garbage unless I'm asking for something extremely simple and uncreative like "woman dancing in a field".

A quick search found this example 18 second video generated on 3090: https://old.reddit.com/r/StableDiffusion/comments/1kp5jb8/da...

I am pretty sure what you want is doable on a 5090 with some effort but it will not be just a text prompt to video. More like input key frames as images and interpolate video between them.

Re: Is Sora the beginning of the end for OpenAI?

#145
post #69
post #57

I could see Sora having a significant negative impact on short form video products like TikTok if they don’t quickly and accurately find a way to categorize its use. A steady stream of AI generated video content hurts the value prop of short form video in more than one way… It quickly desensitizes you and takes the surprise out that drives consumption of a lot of content. It also of course leaves you feeling like you…

Do people on the dopamine drip really care how real their content is? Tons and tons of it is staged or modified anyways. I'm not sure there's anything Real™ on TikTok anyways.

It certainly seems there are some who don't care.

You always get the "who cares if it is fake" folks and even on reddit folks will point out something is AI and inevitably folks "who cares".

But I'm not sure how many people that is or what kind of content they care or don't care about.

Re: Is Sora the beginning of the end for OpenAI?

#146
post #132

Earlier quoted context omitted.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yellow_journalism has been a thing for a very long time.

Right, by which standard truth has never been a shared grounds of discussion. I think that there's a big difference between "some people lie" and "there's no agreement on shared truth."

That has nothing to do with generated videos though.

Re: Is Sora the beginning of the end for OpenAI?

#147
post #137

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's not beside the point.you can lie with words, you can lie with cartoons and drawings and paintings. You can lie with movies. We will collectively understand that pixels on a screen are like cartoons or Photoshop on steroid.

Marconi demonstrated radio in 1895 and the first broadcast radio station started in 1920. By the 1930s Adolf Hitler was routinely using the medium to broadcast vile propaganda about Jews and others which lead to the holocaust in the 1940s. About 40 years later the Rwandan genocide took place and many scholars attribute a preceding radio-based propaganda campaign as playing a key role in increasing ethnic violence in…

It was easy to spread lies through print and through good old fashioned word of mouth too. No radio needed.

And apropos radio, the War of the Worlds radio drama in 1938 is know to have made quite some afraid that it's real. And plenty of people collected money in communist Hungary for the sake of the enslaved Isaura (protagonist of a Brazilian soap opera). But most people adjusted and understand that radio dramas are a thing, movies are a thing, and will adjust to the fact that pixels on a screen are just that.

Re: Is Sora the beginning of the end for OpenAI?

#148
post #145
post #69

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Do people on the dopamine drip really care how real their content is? Tons and tons of it is staged or modified anyways. I'm not sure there's anything Real™ on TikTok anyways.

It certainly seems there are some who don't care. You always get the "who cares if it is fake" folks and even on reddit folks will point out something is AI and inevitably folks "who cares". But I'm not sure how many people that is or what kind of content they care or don't care about.

I mean, it's entertainment content. It's like saying a movie is fake, they are actors playing roles. Of course. Who cares?

Re: Is Sora the beginning of the end for OpenAI?

#149
post #148
post #145

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It certainly seems there are some who don't care. You always get the "who cares if it is fake" folks and even on reddit folks will point out something is AI and inevitably folks "who cares". But I'm not sure how many people that is or what kind of content they care or don't care about.

I mean, it's entertainment content. It's like saying a movie is fake, they are actors playing roles. Of course. Who cares?

Depends on if the content is expected to be real or not.

Re: Is Sora the beginning of the end for OpenAI?

#150

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> There will always be a market for it, wherever there is a mismatch between desire for and access to sexual activity. Attractive people in sexually fulfilling relationships still look at porn. It's just human.

>Attractive people in sexually fulfilling relationships still look at porn. How do you know those relationships are "sexually fulfilling"?

> How do you know those relationships are "sexually fulfilling"?

You either believe what people report, the clearly-stated position on erotic material of the American Association of Sexuality Educators, Counselors and Therapists (1), or you can just imagine in your head what you think other people’s sex lives are like and just believe whatever you come up with.

1. https://www.aasect.org/our-mission.html

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