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Cognition (Devin AI) to Acquire Windsurf

cognition.ai

141–150 of 447 posts

Re: Cognition (Devin AI) to Acquire Windsurf

#141
post #91

Unpopular, controversial take: there should be an LSP extension that lets CLI agents, like Claude Code show diffs in the editor, and also one for completions, and sending snippets back to the CLI. That, by itself, would obliterate the entire value of Windsurf or Cursor or whatever. The fact that Google has this kind of money and spends it on dubious "talent" (though none of these people are known in the community) is…

Unpopular, controversial take...

Could you please avoid juicing a random comment this way?

Re: Cognition (Devin AI) to Acquire Windsurf

#142
post #2

Important context from the tweet: > This transaction is structured so that 100% of Windsurf employees will participate financially. They will also have all vesting cliffs waived and will receive fully accelerated vesting for their work to date.

Not important, marketing speak unless it comes with numbers. "We'll split 100% of $10 across every employee" is just as much a possibility as the windfall their PR team has convinced you of.

Re: Cognition (Devin AI) to Acquire Windsurf

#143

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"overfunded" is a weird way to talk about a tech company that is incredibly profitable.

Revenue is a funding source. Companies with too much money sometimes made really dumb decisions with that money. The fact that one division of Google is wildly profitable does not exempt other parts of the company from criticism of their financially dubious choices.

Net profit can't be used as a measure of both "funding" and "value generation" while saying that a company is "overfunded" because it doesn't provide enough "value". Come back to your senses.

Re: Cognition (Devin AI) to Acquire Windsurf

#144
This is the logical, satisfying, and probably best conclusion to an un-ideal and optically terrible situation all parties were placed in.

First, OpenAI wanted to acquire Windsurf. Terrific move! Win-win for OpenAI (who needs more AI product) and Windsurf (for the deal price). But this fell apart because Windsurf didn't want the IP to go to Microsoft (which imo should not have been not a big deal, especially if you knew what would have happened next). Big loss for all parties for this to have fallen apart.

My biggest question still is why not continue on as an independent company? Perhaps losing access to Claude doomed signups; perhaps employees/investors had a taste of an exit and still wanted it; perhaps due to fiduciary duty to maximize returns; perhaps their growth stalled due to the announcement? In any case, the founders got a similarly equivalent deal from Google, and were arguably wise to pursue it.

But Google's Corp Dev team here is the most maddening. Why not fully acquire the entire company, instead of doing the same "acquihire and license" deal that was done to Character AI, Adept, Scale, etc.? Risk of FTC antitrust review is a thing, but Google's not even competitive in the coding market, so I doubt there is a review (though I do hear that all acquisitions by large tech companies these days are reviewed by default). If there's anyone to blame in this situation, it's the FTC and Google for pursuing this strategy, instead of a full acquisition. Win-win for Google (for the team) and Windsurf (for getting a similar acquisition price, but liquid!).

Imo, the founders did a good job ensuring that close to the $3B acquisition price was reflected in the $2.5B Google deal--all existing investors and vested employee/equity holders are paid out; the company also retained $100M which was suspiciously similar to the amount needed to pay out all unvested employee/equity holders [1]. So theoretically the remaining company could pay accelerate vesting, then pay out the cash to their remaining employees, and then shut down, to give everyone the same exit as an acquisition, or better. This might have been the best scenario, because the brand damage to Windsurf as an IDE that happened over the weekend was pretty close to unrecoverable for them as an independent company.

But instead, the company leadership decided to field acquisition offers for the remaining company and IP, and got one from Cognition. (I'm actually surprised this acquisition isn't under FTC review; it's more plainly an agentic coding company acquiring a competitor agentic coding company). In taking the offer, it reinforces that the Windsurf IDE will continue to exist, that they have a R&D team backing the IDE again, and can marry Windsurf's enterprise sales chops with Cognition's product [3]. Win-win for both Cognition and Windsurf.

So overall, win-win-win all around, except for OpenAI, Varun's public reputation (imo, undeserved), and startups hiring employees (who might think they might not get a proper exit) [2].

[1] https://x.com/haridigresses/status/1944406541064433848

[2] https://stratechery.com/2025/google-and-windsurf-stinky-deal...

[3] https://x.com/russelljkaplan/status/1944845868273709520

Re: Cognition (Devin AI) to Acquire Windsurf

#145

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The dot-com was a bubble because investors pulled money and belief at the first sign of trouble. The landscape has changed dramatically now. Investors and VCs have learnt if we stick with winners and growth companies, the payoffs are massive. We also have more automatic, retail and foreign money flowing into the market. Buy the dip is a phenomenon that didn't exist at the scale it is now. Pre-2015 if Big Money pulled…

It is foolish to compare to the dot com boom and bust. At least when that bubble burst we still had the global broadband internet that it built. When this bubble bursts, we'll have next to nothing to show for it.

Nothing except massive data centers full of GPU compute resources paid for by VC money. Wait, that's actually pretty similar...

Re: Cognition (Devin AI) to Acquire Windsurf

#146

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If VCs knew what they were doing, they'd have real jobs

There are always shitty 20% operators in every industry. They won't make money and get weeded out. Delusional to apply this to top operators (and at the same breath complain about Rich getting Richer)

I have yet to be pleasantly surprised by the alleged collective wisdom of Wallstreet. I would hope that you are right, and that our corporate masters are smarter than I give them credit for, but I'm not going to hold my breath

Re: Cognition (Devin AI) to Acquire Windsurf

#147
post #60

Let this be a learning lesson in judging these deals based on partial information. Kudos to the Google, Windsurf, and Cognition teams for keeping all of these deals under wraps until announcement (OpenAI could learn something...), but even so it's likely that we the public will never learn every detail of what transpired. I've seen a lot of harsh, misguided takes over the past few days, like that the Windsurf founder…

You're talking like the founders orchestrated this deal to cognition all along.

that's absolutely not the case. they ejected and the remaining executive team dealt with the sale over the weekend.

Re: Cognition (Devin AI) to Acquire Windsurf

#149

Uhh so where does the 2.4B go to? For the "licensing" rights but without equity to Windsurf? Does the whole 2.4B get distributed amongst the talent that Google acquired or is it shared amongst all Windsurf employees?

Windsurf employees left behind by their executives get none of that Google money. It went to the selfish exec team and a few top employees that abandoned their teams and projects for Google's cash, and what didn't go to those selfish jerks went to Windsurf's investors. The rank and file that were abandoned by their leadership got totally screwed. Startup executives will never again be trusted to deal fairly with the people who spend their opportunity trying to make that particular startup work rather than some other, or simply going to work for an incumbent. This deal probably did more damage to the tech startup ecosystem than anything I've seen in my 25 years in Silicon Valley.

Re: Cognition (Devin AI) to Acquire Windsurf

#150
post #113

I think the amount of turmoil around these deals is giving more weight to the possibility that we’re in a massive bubble thats quite divorced from any kind of fundamentals. Sooner or later the bubbles gonna burst.

The dot-com was a bubble because investors pulled money and belief at the first sign of trouble. The landscape has changed dramatically now. Investors and VCs have learnt if we stick with winners and growth companies, the payoffs are massive. We also have more automatic, retail and foreign money flowing into the market. Buy the dip is a phenomenon that didn't exist at the scale it is now. Pre-2015 if Big Money pulled…

OP didn't reference the dot-com bubble though...
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