Live data from Hacker News

How Waymo outlasted the competition and made robo-taxis a real business

fortune.com

141–150 of 415 posts

Re: How Waymo outlasted the competition and made robo-taxis a real business

#141

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The economies of scale you get by packing people in larger vehicles mostly have to do with the cost of fuel and staffing. Trains (and train-like options such as metros) are vastly more efficient than cars in number of people moved per unit of time per area used. That might not be a big deal in suburbia, but in dense inner cities it's one of the most important drivers of public transport.

Autonomous vehicles could chain up or drive really close together and achieve similar space efficiency. Also, if you look at a train track. It's mostly empty space with a train passing occasionally. Very different than a well used road. And autonomous vehicles could collaborate to counter any congestion. What makes trains efficient has more to do with the cost of energy and drivers than anything else. Both of those g…

That "train passing occasionally" holds the equivalent of hundreds of cars.

A random crappy light rail line will do the equivalent of 5 lanes of traffic (each direction). A serious subway more like 20.

https://visual.ly/community/Infographics/transportation/solu...

Even if you run cars with no distance between the bumpers you'll still need room for changing lanes, crossing and the line.

Re: How Waymo outlasted the competition and made robo-taxis a real business

#142
post #82

Earlier quoted context omitted.

A human driver's not going to stop a gang of hooligans from throwing a Molotov their way.

But they would. For one thing, a human would just drive away. For another, a mob would have no reason to attack a broke-ass taxi driver, while they have every moral justification to attack a $3T gigacorp built on surveillance capitalism.

Maybe the Tutsis had autonomous vehicles or were tools of surveillance capitalism? You can never be too sure right? After all, their attackers as you make clear must have had "every moral justification" to kill hundreds of thousands of people right ?

Re: How Waymo outlasted the competition and made robo-taxis a real business

#143
post #112

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What I’m really looking forward to is when autonomous taxis can run a net profit —- including maintenance and upgrades —- at which point, instead of letting Waymo take all the vehicle profit in the world, I want to start an autonomous taxi company and then find an appropriate legal construction/shenanigan to give ownership of the company to the cars! The philosophical dilemmas would easily make the initial investment…

Glossing over the part where you try to tell a judge a company should be owned by its assets, why do you think the 'autonomous' in autonomous cars means they would also be able to do hiring, planning, assign work etc?

I'm guilty of thoughts about autonomous companies. They don't require AI necessarily, just a formula to hire reliable humans. One could short cut to the gedankenexperiment by assuming the company owner is a p-zombie[0]. It would boil down to the same thing without scaring the humans. Even the judge would have to accept it.

edit: What to do when people get brain chips?

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Philosophical_zombie

Re: How Waymo outlasted the competition and made robo-taxis a real business

#144
post #3

I just left a version of this in another thread—I live in Phoenix and now take Waymo regularly, and it seems like we're close to a world in which most people take self-driving cars most of the time, crash rates plummet, and these kinds of articles come to resemble articles from 1910 about horse-related problems. Humans suck at driving: https://jakeseliger.com/2019/12/16/maybe-cars-are-just-reall... Waymos avoid many…

I disagree.

Phoenix has the perfect climate for self-driving cars.

It will require a major technological leap in order for them to succeed in the "real world" (fog, rain, snow, etc).

Re: How Waymo outlasted the competition and made robo-taxis a real business

#145
post #143

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Glossing over the part where you try to tell a judge a company should be owned by its assets, why do you think the 'autonomous' in autonomous cars means they would also be able to do hiring, planning, assign work etc?

I'm guilty of thoughts about autonomous companies. They don't require AI necessarily, just a formula to hire reliable humans. One could short cut to the gedankenexperiment by assuming the company owner is a p-zombie[0]. It would boil down to the same thing without scaring the humans. Even the judge would have to accept it. edit: What to do when people get brain chips? [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Philosophical_z…

Ah wishful thinking. Got it.

Re: How Waymo outlasted the competition and made robo-taxis a real business

#146

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I have kids and don't like Taxis, but I'm not sure I entirely agree with your take. The idea of a humanless Taxi showing up to my house sounds way more appealing to me. I can take my time to get car seats in and kids buckled, without feeling the pressure to hurry from the human driver. I don't have to feel like my kids misbehaving are going to annoy a human driver, or get me a bad review in Uber/Lyft. I don't have to…

How do you make sure there isn’t human semen or worse on the seats on which you and your children will sit? At least with taxis driven by humans you knew that there was someone making sure that won’t happen that often, but with driverless taxis all bets are off.

Do you think that Waymo doesn't have cameras inside the car?

Re: How Waymo outlasted the competition and made robo-taxis a real business

#147
post #48
post #3

I just left a version of this in another thread—I live in Phoenix and now take Waymo regularly, and it seems like we're close to a world in which most people take self-driving cars most of the time, crash rates plummet, and these kinds of articles come to resemble articles from 1910 about horse-related problems. Humans suck at driving: https://jakeseliger.com/2019/12/16/maybe-cars-are-just-reall... Waymos avoid many…

The olfactory problem with waymos is that if someone gets in one dirty or foul smelling there isn't a driver to kick them out. Waymos are starting to get more ridership and some of those people are going to be absolute pigs. I gave feedback to Waymo about a recent ride where the entire car smelled like a fat, unwashed ass and the best case scenario there is that they took the car out of rotation immediately, the ride…

Need to add some smell sensors to the inside of the car, as well as the cameras

Re: How Waymo outlasted the competition and made robo-taxis a real business

#148
post #3

I just left a version of this in another thread—I live in Phoenix and now take Waymo regularly, and it seems like we're close to a world in which most people take self-driving cars most of the time, crash rates plummet, and these kinds of articles come to resemble articles from 1910 about horse-related problems. Humans suck at driving: https://jakeseliger.com/2019/12/16/maybe-cars-are-just-reall... Waymos avoid many…

I disagree. Phoenix has the perfect climate for self-driving cars. It will require a major technological leap in order for them to succeed in the "real world" (fog, rain, snow, etc).

Disclosure: I work for Waymo.

We handle both dense fog and heavy rain on the latest vehicles. The best blog post is probably https://waymo.com/blog/2021/11/a-fog-blog/ but you can find a lot of videos in the rain.

Snow and very cold weather is a challenge for sensor cleaning. We've done some testing in both NYC and Buffalo (https://waymo.com/blog/2023/11/road-trip-how-our-cross-count...) to collect data.

Re: How Waymo outlasted the competition and made robo-taxis a real business

#149
post #82

Earlier quoted context omitted.

A human driver's not going to stop a gang of hooligans from throwing a Molotov their way.

But they would. For one thing, a human would just drive away. For another, a mob would have no reason to attack a broke-ass taxi driver, while they have every moral justification to attack a $3T gigacorp built on surveillance capitalism.

They don't have any such moral justification, and they do attack broke-ass taxi drivers despite having no justification for that either (just substitute, e.g., "small locally owned shop" for "taxi driver" in the London riots).

Re: How Waymo outlasted the competition and made robo-taxis a real business

#150

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I've said this on HN before as well, but I've turned into a full-on Waymo evangelist (Los Angeles user here). Couple of things to add to Jake's comment... The driving experience itself is on par with the "best" drivers I've ever ridden with (things like stopping at actual stop signs, for instance, and not racing from one traffic light to the next, and being courteous to bikes and pedestrians), not to mention just the…

Honest question out of curiosity, since you seem genuine and open to discussion… I agree with all of your points about Waymo vs. Uber-like ridesharing—the average Uber ride is so much less safe that it’s hard to argue for. But I also agree with your aside about the growing isolation of society—the longer term implications of every event, meal, and errand being separated by autonomous journeys are staggering. So the q…

If you're already inclined towards isolation, like I am sometimes, driverless taxies will help with that. But if you're inclined towards going out and doing things, which I also am sometimes, there are few incentives more alluring than a fast and cheap way to get from point A to point B. If labor and gasoline are removed from the equation there's no reason rides can't be ridiculously cheap, and spending $20 on a round trip instead of $80 lowers one of the biggest barriers for going out (at least in urban areas and/or when drinking/drugs are involved).
Post reply on HN