Scary this is just the beginning... a recession has not even started
Could you clarify? By any measure we're already in a recession today. I'm certainly no economist so maybe there is some other detail we're missing?
Stripe cuts internal valuation by 28%
141–150 of 235 posts
Re: Stripe cuts internal valuation by 28%
#142Earlier quoted context omitted.
I assure you, you will have no trouble selling Stripe stock at what its worth. There is a big appetite for Stripe shares in the secondary markets even if the company never goes public.
Stripe has "double trigger" RSUs, meaning you don't actually own them until after IPO + lockup period. There are tax advantages to doing it this way, but it means that a senior hire "getting" $200k/year can't sell on the secondary markets, and may be getting shares that they will never be able to sell for their supposed value.
Interesting. I've not heard of the term "double trigger RSUs" before. What are the tax advantage of this over regular options? Most companies have right of first refusal of secondary market sales of pre-IPO stock. If the goal was to prevent secondary market sales. What does "double trigger RSUs" provide that right of first refusal does not?
Re: Stripe cuts internal valuation by 28%
#143Earlier quoted context omitted.
I assure you, you will have no trouble selling Stripe stock at what its worth. There is a big appetite for Stripe shares in the secondary markets even if the company never goes public.
Many companies actually prohibit employees from selling shares to third party investors (including investors on marketplaces like EquityZen) without board approval.
Re: Stripe cuts internal valuation by 28%
#144That’s about 74 billion valuation. FYI.
PayPal's current market cap is ~$80B. Is Stripe actually worth only $6B less than PayPal?
Re: Stripe cuts internal valuation by 28%
#145$74B is still quite high for the current market
I don't know if I agree. Adyen is worth $45 billion euros (so $45 billion :) .) From their last annual reports, Adyen '21 GPV: $561B +70% YoY; Stripe '21 GPV: $640B +60% YoY but Stripe has ~2x take rate on Adyen because they are more PLG versus Adyen has many more enterprise customers. So $74b is probably about right or maybe even low?
Of course you are assuming that Adyen is somewhat fairly valued :) . That's the problem with comparative valuations IMO. If company A valuation = company B valuation and company A itself is overvalued, it doesn't mean they are both fairly valued,no?
Re: Stripe cuts internal valuation by 28%
#146Actually 28% is nothing. Most Fintech stocks are down ~75%, this company is still wildly overvalued
Stripe did $12B in revenue last year. If the valuation of $95B dropped 28%, that is $68B. That seems like a fair, if not quite low valuation of a fast growing SaaS fintech company with an excellent product.
Re: Stripe cuts internal valuation by 28%
#147Scary this is just the beginning... a recession has not even started
Could you clarify? By any measure we're already in a recession today. I'm certainly no economist so maybe there is some other detail we're missing?
Except we are not by the accepted definition of a recession (2 consecutive quarters of negative growth).
You can make the word mean something else, but then it’s kinda useless.
Re: Stripe cuts internal valuation by 28%
#148Earlier quoted context omitted.
Stripe has "double trigger" RSUs, meaning you don't actually own them until after IPO + lockup period. There are tax advantages to doing it this way, but it means that a senior hire "getting" $200k/year can't sell on the secondary markets, and may be getting shares that they will never be able to sell for their supposed value.
>"Stripe has "double trigger" RSUs, meaning you don't actually own them until after IPO + lockup period. There are tax advantages to doing it this way, ..." Interesting. I've not heard of the term "double trigger RSUs" before. What are the tax advantage of this over regular options? Most companies have right of first refusal of secondary market sales of pre-IPO stock. If the goal was to prevent secondary market sales…
The “double” trigger is the ipo requirement plus the usual time-vesting for stock grants
Re: Stripe cuts internal valuation by 28%
#149If the verdict will be that developers can use any payment processor, Stripe is in for a huge market.
Re: Stripe cuts internal valuation by 28%
#150Earlier quoted context omitted.
PayPal's current market cap is ~$80B. Is Stripe actually worth only $6B less than PayPal?
That’s a good question. People in tech all know Stripe, but outside this circle, PayPal and even Square have far superior brand recognition. If you ask my family members what Stripe is, they would shrug.
PayPal and Square both have a strong B2C presence. PayPal has B2C offerings focused around sending/receiving money. Square, while they don't have a strong B2C product, does spend a lot of time sticking their logo in your face every time you go to a merchant that uses Square.
By contrast, Stripe is an infrastructure company. The best parallel I can think of might be a company like Maersk (one of the world's largest container-shipping companies). Sure, you may not recognize the name if you're not in the space, but odds are that they do affect your day-to-day life as a consumer.