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How did the gold standard work?

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Re: How did the gold standard work?

#141
post #124

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Because the backing of a state provides a veneer of credibility to the currency that your own say-so doesn't. Like, barter economies built on trust still exist and if that's what you want, knock yourself out. But at some point you want to pin down how many chickens your bedroom dresser is worth, which means you need a token to represent a value, which means you need someone or something to provide backing for the tru…

States actually have a very hard time giving credibility to their currency. You see, the problem is that governments are too powerful: they can not make promises that they can't break. In contrast, private companies have it much easier. They can use plain old contracts to bind themselves. Eg Amazon could issue physical notes and promise to redeem then in eg USD on demand. (Wal-Mart could issue tokens they promise to…

The original pitch was "why does the government have to be involved in currency". You're proposing a hypothetical world where Amazon is a fractional reserve bank, but seemingly subject to no regulations that make it a fractional reserve bank -- because otherwise we're bank in the world where it's operating more or less as a government, except no longer even indirectly accountable to voters -- but also presumably there still exists a state that's regulating Amazon's balance sheet to enforce the trust of the balance sheet. So it still boils down to that the state's monopoly on the use of force is what guarantees the balance sheet is what guarantees the currency.

In some bizarre ancap reality where there are multi-trillion dollar rug pulls because there's no stock regulation and every company uses their stock to leverage themselves into an unregulated fractional reserve bank and we also have some other third party non-governmental market maker scrip converting institution that tells you how many BezosBucks to a YahooYuan, then yes, I guess you have a world where no state is backing the currency. I would argue that the institutions that govern this process would still become quasi-sovereign.

I don't really accept the Scottish retail bank note system as being non-state backed. For at least the last 200 years there has been some kind of regulatory linkage between the apparent retail bank note and the backing of a sovereign state. I can't speak to the deeper history here, but whether or not there exists song legal- or regulatory- jiu-jitsu, at some point somewhere down the stack a government is guaranteeing it.

Re: How did the gold standard work?

#142
post #138

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Which Bitcoin paper are you talking about? (Do you mean the original white-paper that introduced bitcoin?) I'd be very curious about any such proof comparing different crypto-currencies. I can't imagine how that one would work. Do you mean a mathematical proof?

Yes, in the original bitcoin paper. The blockchain with the longest proof of work is always the real one, given multiple competing blockchains. That’s literally the whole point of blockchains. It’s like Highlander, there can only be one.

That's not a proof in the paper. That's a definition of how the system is works.

And it's only part of the procedure for how to choose between different competing capital-B Bitcoin chains. It doesn't say anything about comparing different coins.

Re: How did the gold standard work?

#143
post #124

Earlier quoted context omitted.

States actually have a very hard time giving credibility to their currency. You see, the problem is that governments are too powerful: they can not make promises that they can't break. In contrast, private companies have it much easier. They can use plain old contracts to bind themselves. Eg Amazon could issue physical notes and promise to redeem then in eg USD on demand. (Wal-Mart could issue tokens they promise to…

The original pitch was "why does the government have to be involved in currency". You're proposing a hypothetical world where Amazon is a fractional reserve bank, but seemingly subject to no regulations that make it a fractional reserve bank -- because otherwise we're bank in the world where it's operating more or less as a government, except no longer even indirectly accountable to voters -- but also presumably ther…

> The original pitch was "why does the government have to be involved in currency". You're proposing a hypothetical world where Amazon is a fractional reserve bank, but seemingly subject to no regulations that make it a fractional reserve bank -- because otherwise we're bank in the world where it's operating more or less as a government, except no longer even indirectly accountable to voters -- but also presumably there still exists a state that's regulating Amazon's balance sheet to enforce the trust of the balance sheet. So it still boils down to that the state's monopoly on the use of force is what guarantees the balance sheet is what guarantees the currency.

No regulation, apart from standard contract law.

Just like, eg, a shoe factory by and large doesn't have special shoe regulation. And we don't say that the government is particularly involved in producing shoes.

I am not arguing against any taint of government at all here. Just that government need be involved no more than in the production of shoes or any other widget.

Why does Amazon need to be subject to voters? They are subject to control by shareholders and the whim of consumers.

The Scottish banking system of the 19th century was close to what I describe. The current Scottish system ain't. (Similar for the Canadian system.)

Governments were emphatically not backing these. That's part of why they worked: customers and business partners were incentivized to keep an eye on their bank's balance sheet.

I don't get your argument about the (quasi) sovereignty? Amazon already issues gift cards today, and what I describe could evolve gradually from there (with some loosening of regulations) without Amazon acquiring anything like sovereignty in the process.

See also how mobile phone service providers got into financial services in many poor countries. That development was at first completely unplanned by the companies and driven by customers trading airtime vouchers (or rather the codes on them) as if they were money. Later on the companies added the ability to transfer balances.

No sovereignty involved; unless you have a very expansive definition of that concept?

> In some bizarre ancap reality where there are multi-trillion dollar rug pulls because there's no stock regulation and every company uses their stock to leverage themselves into an unregulated fractional reserve bank and we also have some other third party non-governmental market maker scrip converting institution that tells you how many BezosBucks to a YahooYuan, then yes, I guess you have a world where no state is backing the currency. I would argue that the institutions that govern this process would still become quasi-sovereign.

I'm not sure how you do rug pulls in this setting? There's still normal contract liability; and Amazon would contractually promise to redeem their notes in a base unit that Amazon doesn't control.

(You can also have pure fiat systems, were Amazon backs are not redeemable in anything else. But historically, customers only accepted private notes redeemable in some outside money.)

As an aside: in practice these sort of systems also work without a government enforcing things. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hawala for an example of similar systems. (But let's not discuss that too much; I only wanted to make the weaker claim that money-printing doesn't need special regulation, and can be treated like any other general industry.)

Re: How did the gold standard work?

#144
post #119

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm not so sure that this is true, but I do agree that as of this moment it is so. The key thing you are looking at is (capital goods at time 1 / currency at time 1 ) / (capital goods at time 2 / currency at time 2). Under a gold standard, mostly this means deflation with some periods during a gold rush rapidly going the other way. It becomes better to hoard gold and do nothing, and as you hoard the value rises furth…

> So what you see is people hoarding capital goods. owning capital goods isn't hoarding, since that implies you are not making use of it (like a squirrel would "hoard" nuts, which over time would rot). Capital goods are doing something productive - or the capital is misallocated and is losing you money. Too much misallocation would indeed cause problems, but every owner of capital is incentivized to allocate their ca…

There's a fundamental difference - nobody created land, and the value that you are capturing is of your neighbors producing it. You can buy an empty plot of land, do nothing on it, and then sell it for double you bought it for 10 years later. Someone else could have had a use for that land. That's obviously hoarding. It doesn't rot.

Stocks are less egregious for this trait as it's just zeros and ones, but the fact remains that if you want to hold value, you must invest in something. For a typical person who just wants to store their labor and not make a bet, they are unable to. Back in medievil times when population and productivity were flat, the money supply was flat, and there was no need to invest to store. There's nothing other than politics saying that it can't be true again today, the math just might be trickier, but I think we can handle that.

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