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Zillow to stop flipping homes, loses more than $550M, lays off 25% of staff

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141–150 of 476 posts

Re: Zillow to stop flipping homes, loses more than $550M, lays off 25% of staff

#141
post #113

Good riddance, I hope this company burns to the ground The software developers working for this company knowingly tried to make algorithms to flip and profit off of something that should be a human right Replacing carpets and painting walls, trying to flip for a 20% profit, the people running Z must be geniuses As a millennial looking at 2 bedroom flats selling for £575k (780k usd, not far from a million dollars) in…

In defense of Zillow, they weren't looking to buy a "portfolio" of houses - they bought as many as they sold, and didn't have any net negative effect on housing supply. Yes, they're profiting off of a bad situation, but they're not the cause of it. Bev from the local council's planning department, as well as Michael Caton's horrific propaganda piece, has done more damage than every flipper combined.

They were trying to act as a market maker, providing liquidity for a price. Nothing wrong with that.

Re: Zillow to stop flipping homes, loses more than $550M, lays off 25% of staff

#142

Don't worry black rock ( look them up on yahoo finance) with 20 trillion dollars stolen from the american people via the privately owned federal reserve will buy up all the houses in America.

BlackRock manages the assets of pensions and 401ks. They are literally in the business of making returns for the middle class.

Re: Zillow to stop flipping homes, loses more than $550M, lays off 25% of staff

#143

Crazy. I recently sold a condo to Opendoor for significantly more than I would have even thought to list it for. When I negotiated with Opendoor after their initial offer, I pointed out a recently sold condo (days before, in similar condition, layout and finishes) in the same complex that sold for much higher than Opendoor offered. Within hours Opendoor came back matching that same selling price. The kicker? It was a…

Very much like the $5000 books on Amazon where the algorithms are anticipating flipping an existing listing. Congrats on winning this round! The next step might be interesting which would be to go back and re-purchase the Condo once the price corrects to the 'real' price and bank the difference. I have read this article and the one before it and it sounds very much like some folks who fell in love with their own idea…

Yea this is super interesting

Re: Zillow to stop flipping homes, loses more than $550M, lays off 25% of staff

#144

Crazy. I recently sold a condo to Opendoor for significantly more than I would have even thought to list it for. When I negotiated with Opendoor after their initial offer, I pointed out a recently sold condo (days before, in similar condition, layout and finishes) in the same complex that sold for much higher than Opendoor offered. Within hours Opendoor came back matching that same selling price. The kicker? It was a…

reminds me of some bots on amazon someone pointed out a while back. Basically the only two sellers of some obscure book are two bots with competing algorithms that keep slowly increasing the price.

Re: Zillow to stop flipping homes, loses more than $550M, lays off 25% of staff

#145
post #7

This is kind of a big deal in the real estate sector. The only reason that Zillow would sell everything right now is if they believed that the carrying costs of the properties until they (eventually) sell would eat all of their profits. They must be seeing flashing red signs across the board that there's a slowdown in the market and that scenario is exactly what will play out if they don't exit quickly. There's no wa…

>They must be seeing flashing red signs across the board that there's a slowdown in the market and that scenario is exactly what will play out if they don't exit quickly.

Only for flipping. The real value was buying during the pandemic and holding as housing supplies starts tightening up.

Re: Zillow to stop flipping homes, loses more than $550M, lays off 25% of staff

#146

Big ups to hedge fund short seller Jim Chanos for calling this one way back in 2019. https://twitter.com/WallStCynic/status/1192663938720292864 Steve Eisman, the short seller who was Mark Baum in 'The Big Short' also predicted this in 2019. https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/08/big-short-investor-steve-eis...

Chanos has been net-long for a while now and I wouldn't be surprised if Eisman isn't too.

Re: Zillow to stop flipping homes, loses more than $550M, lays off 25% of staff

#147
post #113

Good riddance, I hope this company burns to the ground The software developers working for this company knowingly tried to make algorithms to flip and profit off of something that should be a human right Replacing carpets and painting walls, trying to flip for a 20% profit, the people running Z must be geniuses As a millennial looking at 2 bedroom flats selling for £575k (780k usd, not far from a million dollars) in…

Zillow basically bought homes, repainted them, then sold them. Why is this so villainous?

Re: Zillow to stop flipping homes, loses more than $550M, lays off 25% of staff

#148
post #92

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> house prices have a fundamental ceiling, and it is determined by the size of the monthly payment that banks will allow the typical homebuyer to assume when approving a loan. In the more irrationally-hot markets, why assume that housing is even being purchased on a mortgage by your average home-buyer, rather than being purchased cash-in-hand by a private or corporate investor looking to park wealth they've already g…

Because the real estate sector is like 30-40 trillion. 2007 was the result of a massive infusion of debt by unsophisticated retail "investors" who bid prices up far higher than even their rental value. Lending standards dont allow this today. If big institutional money is going to cause a frenzy it would need to be irrational money managers that somehow clear their purchases through a panel and none of them say anyth…

According to this article[1], large investment companies accounted to 16.1% of all single family home sales in the US in Q2. I'm not an analyst. But, I would think that would be plenty of extra demand to influence the price?

Re: Zillow to stop flipping homes, loses more than $550M, lays off 25% of staff

#149

Crazy. I recently sold a condo to Opendoor for significantly more than I would have even thought to list it for. When I negotiated with Opendoor after their initial offer, I pointed out a recently sold condo (days before, in similar condition, layout and finishes) in the same complex that sold for much higher than Opendoor offered. Within hours Opendoor came back matching that same selling price. The kicker? It was a…

I suspect the 'AI software' running these companies is using linear regression to predict housing prices and one of the inputs is the price of similar houses nearby.

In fairness, I would think humans include nearby home prices as one of their parameters as well.

Re: Zillow to stop flipping homes, loses more than $550M, lays off 25% of staff

#150

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's unclear to me how much visibility Zillow really had, since, AFAIK, they don't have access to MLSs in the areas where they buy and sell.

I don't know the exact percentage of properties not in Zillow but in the MLS, but it is a very small amount. Zillow changed the game when it came to us non-Realtors(R) having access to housing price data. So much so, that some housing economist types have noted what appear to be permanent changes in months of active inventory (eg https://www.piggington.com , who analyzes San Diego's market) I don't think it's hyperbo…

About that last point, Redfin has access to the regional MLSs. I imagine they have a more complete dataset.

My understanding is that Zillow relies on realtors to add their listings, so that means, maybe-it-happens, maybe-it-doesn't, entry errors, maybe-it's-updated, maybe-it's not...

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