Earlier quoted context omitted.
I would wait. I'm an licensed inactive General Contractor. If 14 months ago, they were building them for $450,000, I'd wait. I'd shop around for another contractor too. A young guy starting out, might save you a lot. (There's no way to verify he knows what he's doing though.) If you are some what handy, it's not that difficult to owner build your own house. That is if you get the blueprints past the town's council. G…
If I may ask, what are your thoughts on BuildZoom? If I go through them can I be more certain about quality work? I have heard many horror stories of people who had houses built and the builders made terrible mistakes. The person having the house built had to micromanage them and kept finding bad mistakes, like "forgetting" to put insulation in walls before the drywall, putting a window in the wrong spot, or putting…
Lumber crash leads to 'blowout' sales as prices crater
141–150 of 553 posts
Re: Lumber crash leads to 'blowout' sales as prices crater
#142"If high prices held you back from building, you are in luck, as the tables have now turned" Except... many builders will find some other reason/excuse where prices are high to keep prices high. We were looking at building a house - talked to builder last November and... looking at $470-$480k range (ballpark estimate). Lumber was going higher, but we'd reduced the house plan size. Lumber kept going up... and up... Th…
who has all this money to spend? everywhere everything is so expensive. i make a ton, and this doesn't add up. nothing about home prices seems to add up.
Napkin math suggests that it’s a reasonable payment for those >=$170k annual income, which is very common in software in the USA.
Re: Lumber crash leads to 'blowout' sales as prices crater
#143Earlier quoted context omitted.
Perhaps they were just quotation marks rather than scare quotes and they genuinely wanted to show how wild the price fluctuations have been. Cynicism abounds on the internet, but people are still sometimes genuine.
Thanks. I'm legitimately quoting, but also prefer use of more specific terms like "tripled" or "fives times more expensive" etc. than common dramatic headlines words like "crushed", "slammed", "blasted", "surged".
Re: Lumber crash leads to 'blowout' sales as prices crater
#144Earlier quoted context omitted.
I don’t understand your comment and scare quotes, do you think a quadrupling in price of a commodity is not skyrocketing? That’s a cool website thank you for sharing it.
those aren't scare quotes. they're just quotes.
Re: Lumber crash leads to 'blowout' sales as prices crater
#145Earlier quoted context omitted.
I like the chart, but it's exactly what the article indicated, no? Article indicated It went up to 3 times the price and is now down to pre rocket prices. Charts seem to agree?
I wouldn't define "returning to historic norms" as "cratering". Would you define a plane landing smoothly on a runway, even after a steep dive, as "cratering" the runway?
Re: Lumber crash leads to 'blowout' sales as prices crater
#146Multi-year chart of lumber prices puts some of these "skyrocketing" and "cratering" headlines in perspective: https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/lumber
When I click on the 25Y and 'all' views, it definitely looks like a hockey stick.
Ergo the popular narrative of lumber prices has been accurate.
Re: Lumber crash leads to 'blowout' sales as prices crater
#147Earlier quoted context omitted.
Ehh I think it would be irresponsible to use all my savings like that, plus you need to buy the land to build on and pay for your current place
You still end up owning the house, so it's more of a conversion in savings. And you'd probably be paying it off over time, with the help of ongoing income, if the mortgage rate isn't super high. Land depends on where you go, no comment there, but keeping up payment on your current place during construction just means you end up paying for 21 years of housing on a 20 year mortgage, or 31 years of housing on a 30 year…
Re: Lumber crash leads to 'blowout' sales as prices crater
#148Earlier quoted context omitted.
I don’t understand your comment and scare quotes, do you think a quadrupling in price of a commodity is not skyrocketing? That’s a cool website thank you for sharing it.
No, that’s not really skyrocketing if your point of reference is other volatile things (stocks, crypto currencies, etc).