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Pelosi and a lifetime of trading

unusualwhales.com

141–150 of 192 posts

Re: Pelosi and a lifetime of trading

#141
post #41

The article never says this, but her husband, Paul, is a longtime investor / VC [1]. There’s obviously still a huge opportunity for leakage of information that Nancy Pelosi receives, but the trades don’t actually look suspicious nor requiring non-public information. There was some reporting on this issue more broadly when Senator Burr seemed to place trades directly due to coronavirus information, which included Pelo…

> the trades don’t actually look suspicious nor requiring non-public information. The purchase was made 1 month before this story[1] broke, which was a significantly market moving announcement. There's plausible deniability, of course. [1] https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/25/biden-plans-to-replace-gover...

Which purchase?

Re: Pelosi and a lifetime of trading

#142

Congress has some of the richest people in America. I’ve always been intrigued by that.

The country was founded by people who thought taxation without representation was worth fighting a war over, but also thought it completely obvious that they didn't mean representation for poor people (imagine! Poor people with a say in government!), so denied them the franchise. And of course there was the whole thing where it was legal for some folks to own other folks. But taxation (of rich people) without represe…

If given the choice I'd rather pay zero income tax than vote, which is how it was 250 years ago, given the number of people that don't vote I'm probably a majority.

Re: Pelosi and a lifetime of trading

#143
post #41

The article never says this, but her husband, Paul, is a longtime investor / VC [1]. There’s obviously still a huge opportunity for leakage of information that Nancy Pelosi receives, but the trades don’t actually look suspicious nor requiring non-public information. There was some reporting on this issue more broadly when Senator Burr seemed to place trades directly due to coronavirus information, which included Pelo…

> the trades don’t actually look suspicious nor requiring non-public information. The purchase was made 1 month before this story[1] broke, which was a significantly market moving announcement. There's plausible deniability, of course. [1] https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/25/biden-plans-to-replace-gover...

Sorry, which trade are you referring to? The Dec 22 TSLA options?

Assuming yes, the disclosure report [1] says it was 25 calls with a strike price of $500 with expiration of 3/18/22 (so another long dated option). Tesla's share price that day was ~$650 [2] and the value of the 500 call went up (from ~$200 to $400) but has come right back down to ~$200 [3]. They have not exercised / sold the options (visit [4] and search for Pelosi in Filing Year 2021).

[1] https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/public_disc/ptr-pdfs/202...

[2] https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history/

[3] https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA220318C00500000?p=TSLA22...

[4] https://disclosures-clerk.house.gov/PublicDisclosure/Financi...

Re: Pelosi and a lifetime of trading

#145
post #134

+56% vs the S&P's +36%. This does not look "suspicious", from a purely statistical point of view.

Especially considering this is a multiple testing issue. When checking a lot of politicians there is likely going to be someone who is doing really well, even if it's just by chance.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multiple_comparisons_problem

Re: Pelosi and a lifetime of trading

#146

This has been debunked over and over starting in 2012. Nanci Pelosi is not part of a crime family. Stop trying to claim otherwise. Snopes debunked this okay like 2 years ago. https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/nancy-pelosi-crime-family/

Ah yes, the fact checkers have spoken.

Re: Pelosi and a lifetime of trading

#147

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes, deeply suspicious, I was trying to split the difference and not get political. I think it’s terrible. Members of Congress should not be allowed to own, trade, or have anything to do with the stock market. I always heard a rumor that members of Congress are always richer when they leave than when they entered. That should really piss Americans off, but it doesn’t depending on which party is in power, and which pa…

I think they should be able to own an investment portfolio, but while they are in office (and perhaps after, if they engage in lobbying) it should be in a blind trust.

How do blind trusts operate? Surely you don't put in 4K of APPL shares and a couple of years later get back carrot futures or some thing.

Re: Pelosi and a lifetime of trading

#149
Writing regulation policy is one hell of a way to perform insider trading. Why is this legal?

"Most of Pelosi's gains are quite interesting, given the timing of her plays. For example, she was able to get into TSLA, DIS around stimulus news, NVDA before American Semiconductor funding was announced, among a long list of interesting picks. Mr. Whale leaves it to the reader to check her transactions and the news around her purchases (all available for free on the platform). She also timed the NFLX buys on June 18th perfectly. It was released on July 14th that NFLX is entering the videogame space, causing the stock to rally significantly."

Re: Pelosi and a lifetime of trading

#150

This has been debunked over and over starting in 2012. Nanci Pelosi is not part of a crime family. Stop trying to claim otherwise. Snopes debunked this okay like 2 years ago. https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/nancy-pelosi-crime-family/

This is not a credible response.
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