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Global warming: The state of the climate in 2016

economist.com

141–150 of 242 posts

Re: Global warming: The state of the climate in 2016

#141
post #32

Earlier quoted context omitted.

On a geological timescale we are in a cooling trend, but what non-biased source grants credence to the idea that CO2 and Methane aren't warming things right now in greater amounts? It seems entirely reasonable that anthropogenic climate change is a bigger deal than ice ages and we could prevent one.

Having a higher CO2 or methan level for 100 years is on a geological timescale a rounding error. There were times in earth history (vulcano eruptions, meteor impacts) where life had to face a rapid and drastic climate change. And we are still here.

[deleted]

Re: Global warming: The state of the climate in 2016

#142

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>The people voted in Trump Well no. The people voted in Clinton, and the Electoral College upweighted some votes and downweighted others in a way that favors Trump. The EC once had a distinct purpose, but right now just seems to give Republicans a structural advantage, to the ultimate detriment of Democrats and Democrat-leaners in small or rural states.

That how our Representative Democracy works. Each system has its own way of voting and counting; that's ours.

And if it creates a de facto one-party state?

Re: Global warming: The state of the climate in 2016

#143
post #69

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm glad I'm not the only one who thought this. No one has a solution for climate change that doesn't involve changing personal habits. People don't want to do that. Eating less meat or a carbon tax (i.e taxing the working poor) is not a solution. It's admitting defeat. People don't need to "believe in climate change". We simply need to build a solution that is much better than what they have available now. What that…

>Eating less meat or a carbon tax (i.e taxing the working poor) is not a solution. The poor emit disproportionately little CO2. A carbon tax mostly taxes industry.

What about China?

Re: Global warming: The state of the climate in 2016

#144

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Eating less meat or a carbon tax (i.e taxing the working poor) is not a solution. The poor emit disproportionately little CO2. A carbon tax mostly taxes industry.

What about China?

They're not poor. Across large parts of their land area, they're an industrialized country now. They have a middle class as large as the entire United States population. That said: most Chinese don't own cars, or eat meat with every meal, or live in 2000 ft^2 fully heated McMansions in cold terrain. In short, most of them live more ecologically efficient lifestyles by default.

Oh, and they instituted population control decades ago.

Nowadays, a poor country is probably somewhere in Africa or Southeast Asia. Not much of the world is "starving children everywhere" poor anymore.

Re: Global warming: The state of the climate in 2016

#145

"Convincing Mr Trump of this fact is now an urgent and daunting challenge." By appointing Myron Ebell to lead the transition at the EPA, Mr Trump has made it clear he's made up his mind. Personnel is policy.

It comes down to the DOD having a serious talk with Trump. They have been taking it just as seriously as the EPA.

Congress has been trying to put restrictions on the DoD prohibiting them from using any money to address climate change. For instance, the Navy wants to start preparing its bases for rising sea levels, but Congress is trying to stop that (the base preparation, that is, not the rising sea levels).

So even if the DoD makes some headway in getting Trump to change his mind, Congress will be right there to try to change it back. Considering Trump's history of public statements on climate change, I suspect that Congress will have the easier task in the struggle with the DoD:

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/26400729697001881...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/26401012910666547...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/26589529219124838...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/27062860981797683...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/31474447982120550...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/31625201619005440...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/31937728568793907...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/32678179234029977...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/32687452457652633...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/32687562896611737...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/33425433511658700...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/33842934264642355...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/33844829602251161...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/33897838163698483...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/34997329988905779...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/34997384522826956...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/40221753675195187...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/40442009511371571...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/40750593877475737...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/40801845136276684...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/40838030220644352...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/40897761692683059...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/40898378983081574...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/41215967404229427...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/41216206898987417...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/41653970209605222...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/41690900498484428...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/41781603510729932...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/41781839282623283...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/41854213789949132...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/42033388259746611...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/42281959312025600...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/42317918219810406...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/42722642498738585...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/42755669210957414...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/42841640628024115...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/42841832366016512...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/42895438291522355...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/43101867469544243...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/43539308838388940...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/43557404335461171...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/44081115128348672...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/45096479198597120...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/47566899392821248...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/48881360795875737...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/48882520918971187...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/48892600622528512...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/48938185135031910...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/49393581520704307...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/51224620396761907...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/52186235121857331...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/53510273583077376...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/56802153313171865...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/56838779892496384...

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/65338538152680652...

Edit: fixed tweet list order so they should be chronological

Re: Global warming: The state of the climate in 2016

#146
post #145

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It comes down to the DOD having a serious talk with Trump. They have been taking it just as seriously as the EPA.

Congress has been trying to put restrictions on the DoD prohibiting them from using any money to address climate change. For instance, the Navy wants to start preparing its bases for rising sea levels, but Congress is trying to stop that (the base preparation, that is, not the rising sea levels). So even if the DoD makes some headway in getting Trump to change his mind, Congress will be right there to try to change i…

Please don't post spammy messages like this on HN.

Re: Global warming: The state of the climate in 2016

#147
post #123

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I know. In the past whether it was a republican or a democrat administration, they have always taken the counsel of the DOD very seriously. But like many things after this consequential election, the country is in uncharted territory. The US has always had a president with past government leadership or military experience. U.S.C. Article Two, Section 1 needs changes but that won't happen with constitutional purists c…

I've seen lots of comparisons of Trump and Hitler, Mussolini, or Franco. Personally I'm seeing more parallels to Hugo Chavez. Chavez wrecked Venezuela in part by trying to "purge the insiders." That never works. Problem is that the insiders know everything and have all the skills and expertise. Chavez was a left-populist and Trump is a right-populist, but history seems to show similar outcomes for populists of any ty…

His babble about purging the insiders is all noise. Observe his list of likely cabinet picks.

Re: Global warming: The state of the climate in 2016

#148
post #11

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So what happens to the indigenous population of animals (polar bears are the first that come to my mind) when this happens? Do they just die out or are there groups trying to get them to safety?

Outside of captivity, where would it be safe for arctic animals?

How about the Antarctic? Save the polar bears and fix Gary Larson's biggest "Far Side" error at the same time.

Re: Global warming: The state of the climate in 2016

#149

Earlier quoted context omitted.

By all reports, Trump can't stay focused on any one thing more than a few minutes, whether it was 20 years ago talking to reporters, people working for him, whatever. So he's not likely to be the person who will care about a long term, non-immediate risk. I still can't believe someone like him can be president. If Jeb Bush had won, I would have been a little disappointed, but I would have gone to sleep and not worrie…

Honest question: do you think a person like you describe could have his record in business management? Reportedly he was almost bankrupt in the 90's and recovered a quite large fortune afterwards. While I'm not a big believer in the capitalist mythology that people get rich by their effort and skills, and I'm aware that luck plays a huge factor, I do suppose that there is a bare minimum of cleverness and focus needed…

This observation is basically the root of my entire hope that he isn't going to ruin the nation.

Re: Global warming: The state of the climate in 2016

#150

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Representative Democracy yeah. The people voted in Trump who now gets to appoint those positions.

>The people voted in Trump Well no. The people voted in Clinton, and the Electoral College upweighted some votes and downweighted others in a way that favors Trump. The EC once had a distinct purpose, but right now just seems to give Republicans a structural advantage, to the ultimate detriment of Democrats and Democrat-leaners in small or rural states.

No, they really didn't. The Electoral College is not some sort of state secret. Presidential elections have worked that way for over two hundred years. Complaining about the winner in the EC becoming President is like complaining that if we'd counted score by the number of strikeouts instead of runs, the Indians would have won the World Series. True, but so what? We don't count by strikeouts, we never have, and if the rules changed the teams would have played differently so you can't draw a useful parallel anyway.
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