Live data from Hacker News

USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought

agweb.com

131–140 of 187 posts

Re: USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought

#131

Same region all the new data centers are being built. Unfortunately, humans can't eat data like they can wheat.

Shark attacks increase relative to ice cream sales. Unless you have some theory that correlates the two, that you're willing to share, we shouldn't entertain this.

> Unless you have some theory that correlates the two

I guess you meant something more like "shows a causal relationship"?

Because they're already correlated, which I thought was the point..

Re: USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought

#132

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I would appreciate tofu being cheaper than pork again.

It is...? H-mart + Wegmans has tofu at ~$2.5 for a 400g block. The cheapest bulk pork is at $2.6, but most portions / cuts sell at $4.

Costco has tofu for $1.50/block in my area.

Re: USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought

#133
post #45
post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

we live in a closed greenhouse system, the water just doesn't just disappear and most of the Earth is covered in it. Plenty of countries completely rely on desalination already, I think we'll be fine. I'm much more concerned about everyone becoming a moron from using AI. edit: cloud seeding too.

> Plenty of countries completely rely on desalination already Let's take Kansas... the largest producer of wheat in the US. https://www.statista.com/statistics/190376/top-us-states-in-... Kansas wheat crop down 38% from last year https://youtu.be/QjrhAXzEGDc Kansas cannot run on desalination plants ... there's no salt water. The gulf coast of Texas is 1000 miles away. While aquifers do regenerate (Groundwater levels…

We didn't get much snow in ND over the winter. Hasn't rained much this year either

Re: USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought

#134
post #35

Earlier quoted context omitted.

When China buys from someone else (Brazil - nobody else has significant soy bean surplus) that means whoever was buying from that someone else now needs to go to the US. The US also uses a lot of soy beans internally. Prices are down, but farmers are still selling soybeans and with careful management are making money.

Soybeans are a pretty stellar food for protein per calorie. And to stop misinformation in its tracks: > A March 2021 meta-analysis published in Reproductive Toxicology concluded that neither soy protein nor isoflavone intake significantly affects reproductive hormone levels in men. Analyzing data from 41 studies and 1,753 participants, the researchers found no statistically significant effects on testosterone or estr…

Downvoted even with a reputable link lol. It’s obviously true though. If soybeans could even semi-reliably affect hormone levels in either direction, trannies would be all over them.

Re: USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought

#135
post #81

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I suspect that many have switched over to other crops. On the margins. However most farmers consider their soil health and long term plans. All good farmers (especially the mega corps) will intentionally plant most crops not based on what they expect out of the market next year, but what their soil needs. Most fields will not produce well if you don't consider what was grown on it last year and in turn what you wan…

> Most fields will not produce well if you don't consider what was grown on it last year and in turn what you want to produce next year. I've never worked at a megacorp farm, but my observation is that the majority of farmers aren't thinking like this. Granted it might be different because the crops around me which are most commonly grown are wheat, barley, and hay. IDK the effects of soybeans/corn on soil and it's p…

What works is very regional.

Re: USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought

#136

Title claims "due to plains drought" but the article text largely attributes this to increased planting of soy for its lower fertilizer requirements (related to Strait of Hormuz).

Has the USA's potash supply been reduced due to strained relations with Canada? They are our top supplier, by far.

US and Canadian production is largely irrelevant to the price. These are world comodities. If worldwide production drops, prices rise. As with oil/gas producers, domestic potash producers are under no obligation to sell locally. If prices are higher in europe/asia/africa, that domestic potash will be loaded onto ships until domestic prices rise to match.

Re: USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought

#137

Title claims "due to plains drought" but the article text largely attributes this to increased planting of soy for its lower fertilizer requirements (related to Strait of Hormuz).

You are wrong and the drought attribution is correct: Winter wheat is the dominant variety in the U.S. and is (and is projected to be further) down due to drought. "a severe drought in the U.S. Plains has curbed production of hard red winter wheat, the largest variety grown in the U.S... The USDA projected U.S. wheat production in the 2026/27 season at 1.561 billion bushels, down from 1.985 billion in 2025/26, as a s…

> Winter wheat is the dominant variety in the U.S. and is (and is projected to be further) down due to drought.

Both drought and the fertilizer shortage (which, as the article notes, was too late to effect planting decisions but DID impact the costs, and thereby decisions on the applied quantities, of nutrients for the winter wheat crop this year) are impacting winter wheat yields.

Re: USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought

#139

Title claims "due to plains drought" but the article text largely attributes this to increased planting of soy for its lower fertilizer requirements (related to Strait of Hormuz).

At many of these publications the editor chooses the title, not the author. They know full well that most people will read the headline but not the article.

Sadly, this is very accurate.

Relevant example from today:

"The commodities guru who warned about silver falling now, is saying the hantavirus could do the same to oil"

Click later:

Guy is just hedging against losses.

I am genuinely starting to wonder how much of the trade swings are from algo trades reacting to headlines ( and subsequent ones reacting to content;p ).

Re: USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought

#140

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Finally waking up the US that oil dependence is a National Security issue Even worse, oil dependence is a competitive liability --- not an advantage. AI is energy intensive. And more expensive, carbon based based energy is a competitive disadvantage. A competitive disadvantage in AI is an economic issue --- which ultimately translates into a National Security issue. China leadership understands this. USA leadership i…

We're in an energy crunch, and Republicans think it is a good idea to cancel wind farms because they ruin the view.

They have defined themselves in terms of their opposition to causes favored by the left.

Many of these causes imply spending copious money that they are less well disposed to stuff in their pockets or give as tax breaks to their benefactors.

Others make good political ammunition for their uneducated base.

Post reply on HN