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Ukrainian drone holds position for 6 weeks

defenceleaders.com

131–140 of 204 posts

Re: Ukrainian drone holds position for 6 weeks

#132

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What system I would rather have is irrelevant. What system you would rather have is irrelevant. The system that we have, and the systems we will have in the future, are emergent properties of human nature mixed with economic reality (energy/resource availability vs regional economic needs). Voting will not change it, nor will revolution. You’re welcome to try, but I will no longer waste my time on it. I have studied…

Regarding your commend on energy, I think it is actually an argument on my point that fighting wars is going to be even more absurd. If the world is running short of energy then fighting a war that further consumes energy without clear win will be viewed as absurd. If all wars will become a war of attrition between robots and economies, then fighting wars means no energy left for local economies to run across the glo…

Yes, you are correct about the effects, much as the Sea Peoples destroyed multiple civilizations at the end of the Bronze Age and lowered the world’s overall level of development. Or how the Mongol conquests destroyed Mesopotamian irrigation networks and early organized Chinese societies. Or the Thirty Years’ War that devastated European civilizations.

World Wars I and II would have had similar effects if it weren’t for rapid global technological advancement and industrialization at this time, which enabled more rapid recovery. Much of the cheapest energy has been extracted by now, so the next serious global war will reduce global carrying capacity. With all that entails.

Re: Ukrainian drone holds position for 6 weeks

#133

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Regarding your commend on energy, I think it is actually an argument on my point that fighting wars is going to be even more absurd. If the world is running short of energy then fighting a war that further consumes energy without clear win will be viewed as absurd. If all wars will become a war of attrition between robots and economies, then fighting wars means no energy left for local economies to run across the glo…

Yes, you are correct about the effects, much as the Sea Peoples destroyed multiple civilizations at the end of the Bronze Age and lowered the world’s overall level of development. Or how the Mongol conquests destroyed Mesopotamian irrigation networks and early organized Chinese societies. Or the Thirty Years’ War that devastated European civilizations. World Wars I and II would have had similar effects if it weren’t…

You don't think the absurdity of drone vs drone economic warfare coupled with the reduction in global energy will reduce the probability of future wars?

I actually think it will.

Because in the examples you gave, the world was not as connected. But look at what happening now, an economic bleed in one nation is impact the global economy in way that nobody even understands let alone predicts. You wage a war in Iran? alright, few weeks later people in Brazil can't have food because of shortage in fertilizer..US farmers increase prices by 40% because of the shortage, that causes riots in the US..we live in an extremely interconnected word and nothing short of a third global war would tear that system down.

We had nothing like this in the past, not the tech, nor the economies and the information system, that allows us to see what is happening.

The argument you are making is that it happened in the past with all these semi isolated empires therefore it would happen again. But the world we live is vastly different from the past. And I don't think your assertion hold into the future frankly, it is poorly defended.

Re: Ukrainian drone holds position for 6 weeks

#134

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>>We (as humans) are getting more strict about losing people's life. We don't allow genocide, we don't allow colonization and enslavement, at least the majority of nations agree that this is not acceptable. I downvoted because I don't find this quoted sentence true, realistic or even remotely plausible. I will repeat for the 4th time now that I don't understand why you seem to think that downvoting you means supporti…

[flagged]

Holy false dichotomy, batman!

Regardless of whether or not anyone does or doesn't understand your point or position, you're being very obtuse about this.

There are many other possible scenarios that could play out, and disagreeing with the idea that "wars will turn into video games" doesn't mean someone is in favor of genocide.

That is how children argue; please hold yourself to a higher standard.

Also, if you put obviously incorrect information in the same comment (which you absolutely did), you should expect to be downvoted.

Re: Ukrainian drone holds position for 6 weeks

#135

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes, you are correct about the effects, much as the Sea Peoples destroyed multiple civilizations at the end of the Bronze Age and lowered the world’s overall level of development. Or how the Mongol conquests destroyed Mesopotamian irrigation networks and early organized Chinese societies. Or the Thirty Years’ War that devastated European civilizations. World Wars I and II would have had similar effects if it weren’t…

You don't think the absurdity of drone vs drone economic warfare coupled with the reduction in global energy will reduce the probability of future wars? I actually think it will. Because in the examples you gave, the world was not as connected. But look at what happening now, an economic bleed in one nation is impact the global economy in way that nobody even understands let alone predicts. You wage a war in Iran? al…

If you understood history well, you would know that the Bronze Age collapse was actually very similar to what is happening today. Bronze Age empires relied on the tin supply chain, with much of it produced in Afghanistan. The tin trade was enormous and profitable for all involved, but a series of constant disruptions caused the supply chain to break down, ending economical bronze production. The crisis was initiated by natural disasters and climate change, while The Sea Peoples, internal civil conflicts, and the dawn of chariot warfare were the final straws that unraveled the trade networks. The rulers of the various Bronze Age civilizations were in communication and were aware of what was happening, but they were unable to coordinate to stop it.

You have too much confidence in people’s ability to identify a crisis across cultures and coordinate a collective response while accepting the often unequal costs that such a response would impose.

Re: Ukrainian drone holds position for 6 weeks

#136

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What system I would rather have is irrelevant. What system you would rather have is irrelevant. The system that we have, and the systems we will have in the future, are emergent properties of human nature mixed with economic reality (energy/resource availability vs regional economic needs). Voting will not change it, nor will revolution. You’re welcome to try, but I will no longer waste my time on it. I have studied…

Regarding your commend on energy, I think it is actually an argument on my point that fighting wars is going to be even more absurd. If the world is running short of energy then fighting a war that further consumes energy without clear win will be viewed as absurd. If all wars will become a war of attrition between robots and economies, then fighting wars means no energy left for local economies to run across the glo…

> If the world is running short of energy then fighting a war that further consumes energy without clear win will be viewed as absurd.

I think you have an unrealistic view of the rationality of people who go to war for stuff like this.

Re: Ukrainian drone holds position for 6 weeks

#137

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes, you are correct about the effects, much as the Sea Peoples destroyed multiple civilizations at the end of the Bronze Age and lowered the world’s overall level of development. Or how the Mongol conquests destroyed Mesopotamian irrigation networks and early organized Chinese societies. Or the Thirty Years’ War that devastated European civilizations. World Wars I and II would have had similar effects if it weren’t…

You don't think the absurdity of drone vs drone economic warfare coupled with the reduction in global energy will reduce the probability of future wars? I actually think it will. Because in the examples you gave, the world was not as connected. But look at what happening now, an economic bleed in one nation is impact the global economy in way that nobody even understands let alone predicts. You wage a war in Iran? al…

That assumes that war will "evolve" into drone vs. drone. I don't think it will. Sure, drones will be used more and more, but there will always be people involved, even if they are "merely" civilians who get caught in the crossfire.

Most wars aren't fought in completely uninhabited areas. Drones will always have people to kill, and their controllers will always aim them at people.

Re: Ukrainian drone holds position for 6 weeks

#138
post #21

We really are trying our best to make Terminator reality aren't we?

Maybe drones will make human soldiers unacceptable in the future.

It's hard to explain without spoilers, but Isaac Asimov's The Feeling of Power (1958) is relevant to this concept of warfare.

Re: Ukrainian drone holds position for 6 weeks

#139
post #83
post #77

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We don't allow? Who doesn't? And what are they going to do about it?

The majority of nations? majority of people on earth? We are going to a multilateral world and to win a war you need secure the appeal of majority. If the majority think your war is illegal they can cut you off from the world economy. It is a distributed consensus-based algorithm, and the young people who are writing those algorithms will shape the future of governance.

Hoho ho. Hardly helped anyone in Bakmut eh?

And hardly how China or India are likely to work too.

That future you seem to think is inevitable is very far from it:

Re: Ukrainian drone holds position for 6 weeks

#140

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> We don't allow genocide, we don't allow colonization and enslavement, at least the majority of nations agree that this is not acceptable Literally all of these things are happening as we type this. What the majority of nations do or do not want is irrelevant.

Think in the future, I speak about a future, and you repeat it is happening, yes of course it is happening today, this tech is just being adopted.

So…. Fantasy?
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