Live data from Hacker News

Generative AI is overrated, long live old-school AI

encord.com

131–140 of 192 posts

Re: Generative AI is overrated, long live old-school AI

#131
post #59

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sure, maybe you can use a shell script, but now the AI assistant can write it based on your verbal/text description, and then the assistant can also run it for you after you’ve checked it. What your are saying is: “why use the washing machine, if I my clothes are even cleaner when I wash them myself - I also spend less detergent and less water”. You are free to keep doing your laundry by hand. But I bet most people p…

I think you're fighting an uphill battle because of what you picked to defend here - shell scripts are very easy to write, and I have a hard time imagining a future where someone tells an LLM, "Write me a shell script that runs run_control.py with the speed argument set to one hundred." to get, "./run_control.py --speed 100"

Spoken word into microphone implementation:

Run run control with speed argument 100.

AI: "Scheduling you for a speech therapist session to work on your stutter"

Re: Generative AI is overrated, long live old-school AI

#133
post #127

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That code will eventually fall away. The big thing everyone in this single thread is missing is that AI is a metaheuristic. I wouldn't expect to use AI to run_script.py. That's easy. I'd expect it to look at the business signals and do the work of an intern. To look at metrics and adjust some parameters or notify some people. To quickly come up with and prototype novel ways to glue new things together. To solve brand…

To do the work of an intern an AI must go on Jira, read a ticket, then find the appropriate repositories where code needs to be modified, write tests for its modification, submit for code review, respond to feedback in code review, deploy its changes. It’s not there yet.

This feels achievable in five years.

Re: Generative AI is overrated, long live old-school AI

#134
post #59

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sure, maybe you can use a shell script, but now the AI assistant can write it based on your verbal/text description, and then the assistant can also run it for you after you’ve checked it. What your are saying is: “why use the washing machine, if I my clothes are even cleaner when I wash them myself - I also spend less detergent and less water”. You are free to keep doing your laundry by hand. But I bet most people p…

I think you're fighting an uphill battle because of what you picked to defend here - shell scripts are very easy to write, and I have a hard time imagining a future where someone tells an LLM, "Write me a shell script that runs run_control.py with the speed argument set to one hundred." to get, "./run_control.py --speed 100"

It’s not ‘write me a shell script to run this python code’, it’s ‘okay, the test part looks good, run the print again with the feed speed increased to 100, and make six copies. And Jarvis, throw a little hot-rod red on it.’

Re: Generative AI is overrated, long live old-school AI

#135

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think you're fighting an uphill battle because of what you picked to defend here - shell scripts are very easy to write, and I have a hard time imagining a future where someone tells an LLM, "Write me a shell script that runs run_control.py with the speed argument set to one hundred." to get, "./run_control.py --speed 100"

It’s not ‘write me a shell script to run this python code’, it’s ‘okay, the test part looks good, run the print again with the feed speed increased to 100, and make six copies. And Jarvis, throw a little hot-rod red on it.’

[dead]

Re: Generative AI is overrated, long live old-school AI

#136
post #127

Earlier quoted context omitted.

To do the work of an intern an AI must go on Jira, read a ticket, then find the appropriate repositories where code needs to be modified, write tests for its modification, submit for code review, respond to feedback in code review, deploy its changes. It’s not there yet.

This feels achievable in five years.

[dead]

Re: Generative AI is overrated, long live old-school AI

#137

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Depends how far you take the word 'fundamental', on the one hand yeah most DL systems are trying to predict something, and they generally have some concept of compression built in. But in terms of the steps to curate a dataset, train, test, iterate and actually use the model for a given end goal - they are pretty fundamentally different.

I think the thing is though in Large multi models you give it all the data and test it against everything. And it generally does better across most of the benchmarks.

That depends entirely on the use-case - for example if you wanted to build an AI to operate a self-driving car, just training on unlabelled data scraped from the internet is only going to get you so far. It doesn't learn how to do EVERYTHING (not yet at least).

Re: Generative AI is overrated, long live old-school AI

#138
post #59

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sure, maybe you can use a shell script, but now the AI assistant can write it based on your verbal/text description, and then the assistant can also run it for you after you’ve checked it. What your are saying is: “why use the washing machine, if I my clothes are even cleaner when I wash them myself - I also spend less detergent and less water”. You are free to keep doing your laundry by hand. But I bet most people p…

I think you're fighting an uphill battle because of what you picked to defend here - shell scripts are very easy to write, and I have a hard time imagining a future where someone tells an LLM, "Write me a shell script that runs run_control.py with the speed argument set to one hundred." to get, "./run_control.py --speed 100"

> shell scripts are very easy to write

I've been a developer for a long-ass time, though I don't have super frequent occasion where I find it worthwhile to write a shell script. It comes up occasionally.

In the past 2 weeks I've "written" 4 of them via ChatGPT for 1-off cases I'd have definitely found easier to just perform manually. It's been incredible how much easier it was to just get a working script from a description of the workflow I want.

Usually I'd need to double check some basic things just for the scaffolding, and then, maybe double check some sed parameters too, and in one of these cases look up a whole bunch of stuff for ImageMagick parameters.

Instead I just had a working thing almost instantly. I'm not always on the same type of system either, on my mac I asked for a zsh script but on my windows machine I asked for a powershell script (with which I'd had almost no familiarity). Actually I asked for a batch file first, which worked but I realized I might want to use the script again and I found it rather ugly to read, so I had it do it again as a powershell script which I now have saved.

Sure though, someone won't tell an LLM to write a shell script that just calls a python script. They'd have it make the python script.

Re: Generative AI is overrated, long live old-school AI

#139

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There's about ~10% point improvement left (i.e, from 80% to 90%) before it starts to stagnate. We've seen the same with predictive models benchmarked on ImageNet et. al.

By stagnate, you mean beating humankind at the task, right? :)

We mean beating humankind at the task, swiftly followed by humankind declaring that task wasn't a sign of proper intelligence anyway, and moving it's goalposts to a different field.

Re: Generative AI is overrated, long live old-school AI

#140
post #127

Earlier quoted context omitted.

To do the work of an intern an AI must go on Jira, read a ticket, then find the appropriate repositories where code needs to be modified, write tests for its modification, submit for code review, respond to feedback in code review, deploy its changes. It’s not there yet.

This feels achievable in five years.

It always feels achievable in five years. People were saying exactly this 30 years ago.

Sooner or later it may (or may not) be a true statement, but it's awfully hard for me to say that it's any different right now than it has been before.

Post reply on HN