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Long Covid risk falls only slightly after vaccination, study shows

nature.com

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Re: Long Covid risk falls only slightly after vaccination, study shows

#131

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I have taken both jnj and Moderna. But I have to admit that the grandparent has a point. It feels it’s almost heretical to say, but the vaccines were terribly over-sold. In the beginning they were sold as traditional vaccines - prevention against infection not just serious disease. But very soon we saw “breakthrough infections” (not even written about anymore as they are so common) and the goal posts started being mo…

> Public health establishment deserves a D- for their handling of the pandemic starting basically on day 1. D- for clear communication and providing leadership to the public? Definitely! D- for the vaccines though? Definitely not! The vaccines have dramatically reduced the death rate from the disease. The disease mutated to bypass the vaccine -- yet the vaccine still provides a lot of protection despite that. What mo…

Yes agreed

Re: Long Covid risk falls only slightly after vaccination, study shows

#132

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> There were a lot more sudden deaths in football in 2021 than in any other year. That's a claim not supported by your link. Recency bias (and perhaps a greater media and Wiki-editing focus following a player suffering non-fatal cardiac arrest on the pitch in the World Cup) means there are more listed names in 2021. But the article also points out that FIFA investigated 617 deaths over a previous 5 year period, which…

> Recency bias (and perhaps a greater media and Wiki-editing focus following a player suffering non-fatal cardiac arrest on the pitch in the World Cup) means there are more listed names in 2021. My only claim is that Wikipedia catalogues a lot more sudden deaths in Football in 2021. You have repeated possibility #3 of my comment: > 3. No increase in sudden heart failure, but in 2021 we observed and catalogued cases m…

I quoted the claim you actually made. My point is that the 21 footballers Wikipedians identified as dying in 2022 is actually substantially fewer annual deaths than the authoritative source the same Wikipedia page cites as investigating for the period 2014-18, so provides no reason to entertain hypotheses 1 and 2. (Of course it also provides no particular reason to assume actual deaths fell and seek an explanation for that either; there's just enough evidence on that page to confirm Wikipedia "selected" name lists aren't data)

Re: Long Covid risk falls only slightly after vaccination, study shows

#133
post #84

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Then you can look at the excess deaths statistics from the time the pandemic started, but before vaccines became available. It paints a similar picture. A lot more people "than usual" dying in 2020 (before vaccines in US).

And that could have nothing to do at all with the more deadly alpha and delta strains that are now extinct?

"Omicron Deaths in U.S. Exceed Delta’s Peak as Covid-19 Optimism Rises in Europe"

https://www.wsj.com/articles/omicron-deaths-in-u-s-exceed-de...

Re: Long Covid risk falls only slightly after vaccination, study shows

#134
post #57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How do you subtract the number of deaths caused by the vaccine itself?

Excess deaths correlate with covid infection levels — not with vaccination rates. If the vaccine caused excess deaths then we would expect to see that number increasing starting in 2021 — instead deaths have been decreasing, and only went up temporarily during subsequent covid infection waves (and the great majority of those cases unsurprising may bring the unvaccinated). https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanam/arti…

typo from autocorrect:

*and the great majority of those cases unsurprisingly were among the unvaccinated

Re: Long Covid risk falls only slightly after vaccination, study shows

#135
post #35

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The same some people claimed for sportmen especially footballers but the statistics of e.g. FIFA showed the opposite. People only pay more attention to.

Without drawing any conclusions... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_association_footballer... There were a lot more sudden deaths in football in 2021 than in any other year. Could be: 1. Increased sudden heart failure due to Covid 2. Increased sudden heart failure due to vaccines 3. No increase in sudden heart failure, but in 2021 we observed and catalogued cases more meticulously than ever 4. Something else, un…

https://www.reuters.com/article/factcheck-coronavirus-sport-...

https://www.reuters.com/article/factcheck-coronavirus-sport/...

https://www.reuters.com/article/factcheck-coronavirus-fifa/f...

And between 2014-2018 617 footballers died according to FIFA SDR, that's 123 per year. The Wikipedia list is pretty short for that years, because nobody cared to enter them on Wikipedia.

Re: Long Covid risk falls only slightly after vaccination, study shows

#136
post #57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You either believe the statistics, or you don't - but your anecdata is meaningless. The excess mortality figures tell you need to know.

How do you subtract the number of deaths caused by the vaccine itself?

Very easily because in every developed country, vaccine-related illness was tracked with extraordinary care. By last summer in the UK, for example there were 9 investigated cases where vaccination had lead to deaths https://blog.ons.gov.uk/2021/10/04/how-many-people-have-died...

… and yes the ONS is independent of government

Re: Long Covid risk falls only slightly after vaccination, study shows

#137
post #135

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Without drawing any conclusions... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_association_footballer... There were a lot more sudden deaths in football in 2021 than in any other year. Could be: 1. Increased sudden heart failure due to Covid 2. Increased sudden heart failure due to vaccines 3. No increase in sudden heart failure, but in 2021 we observed and catalogued cases more meticulously than ever 4. Something else, un…

https://www.reuters.com/article/factcheck-coronavirus-sport-... https://www.reuters.com/article/factcheck-coronavirus-sport/... https://www.reuters.com/article/factcheck-coronavirus-fifa/f... And between 2014-2018 617 footballers died according to FIFA SDR, that's 123 per year. The Wikipedia list is pretty short for that years, because nobody cared to enter them on Wikipedia.

[deleted]

Re: Long Covid risk falls only slightly after vaccination, study shows

#138
post #56

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What medications cause anxiety and depression?

In the past it's been anything from acne medications to birth control and even anti-depressants. Depression isn't an unusual side-effect at all.

Acutane? I remember having a conversation with my doctor as a teenager about it, and even he wasn't sure about cause and effect.

Does the medication cause depression? Or was the person already depressed due to having acne so bad it needed medical treatment? Either direction seems reasonable to me.

That said, he was careful to who he handed it out to, and we decided against it.

Re: Long Covid risk falls only slightly after vaccination, study shows

#139
post #96

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> There were a lot more sudden deaths in football in 2021 than in any other year. That's a claim not supported by your link. Recency bias (and perhaps a greater media and Wiki-editing focus following a player suffering non-fatal cardiac arrest on the pitch in the World Cup) means there are more listed names in 2021. But the article also points out that FIFA investigated 617 deaths over a previous 5 year period, which…

He gave exactly that as an option: "3. No increase in sudden heart failure, but in 2021 we observed and catalogued cases more meticulously than ever" but I am not sure anymore who is more stupid the anti vaxxer or the vaxx worshipper who will down vote and be against anything that could hint at the vaccines not being perfect.

>There were a lot more sudden deaths in football in 2021 than in any other year.

This is the part that is wrong. There not more sudden deaths in football 2021, there are just more entries on the wiki page for the year 2021. Between 2014 and 2018 617 players died according to the FIFA SDR, but the wiki page is rather short for that years.

Re: Long Covid risk falls only slightly after vaccination, study shows

#140

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Without drawing any conclusions... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_association_footballer... There were a lot more sudden deaths in football in 2021 than in any other year. Could be: 1. Increased sudden heart failure due to Covid 2. Increased sudden heart failure due to vaccines 3. No increase in sudden heart failure, but in 2021 we observed and catalogued cases more meticulously than ever 4. Something else, un…

> There were a lot more sudden deaths in football in 2021 than in any other year. That's a claim not supported by your link. Recency bias (and perhaps a greater media and Wiki-editing focus following a player suffering non-fatal cardiac arrest on the pitch in the World Cup) means there are more listed names in 2021. But the article also points out that FIFA investigated 617 deaths over a previous 5 year period, which…

So you meant there are more entries and not more sudden deaths.
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