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Twitter CEO fires two top executives, freezes hiring

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Re: Twitter CEO fires two top executives, freezes hiring

#131
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's my point though. The board accepted the buyout offer. "Hands on the wheel" means keeping the lights on and making sure everything stays stable until the deal closes. Firing the company's product and revenue leads is the opposite of that.

The fact that the stock price is roughly halfway between the pre-Musk price and Musk's bid suggests the market expects roughly a 50% chance the deal will actually go through.

[deleted]

Re: Twitter CEO fires two top executives, freezes hiring

#132
post #68
post #17

Why is Parag making any major changes at this point? What "new vision" is he going to execute in his last few months at the company before Elon comes in and torpedoes it anyways?

Elon Musk has no intention of actually acquiring Twitter. He's just using it as a smoke screen to liquidate a huge amount of Tesla stock. The fact that TWTR is currently trading at a 25% discount to the supposed acquisition price shows I am not the only person in the market who doubts the ultimate consummation of the acquisition.

Interesting thought. But if he doesn't go through with it, he will be on the hook for a $1B penalty. Is that perhaps a selling fee that makes sense for him to pay?

Re: Twitter CEO fires two top executives, freezes hiring

#133

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There is a non-zero probability that Twitter's board is simply calling Musk's bluff. Musk loves attention, but dumping his Tesla holdings to keep getting it may be too much for him.

I wonder if he'll try to renegotiate the deal at a lower price. Given the entire tech sector has fallen precipitously since the first announcement, it wouldn't surprise me if Twitter's board accepts a haircut and does the deal anyway.

It was already a low ball deal.

Knowing Musks shenaningans, it's likely he wanted to sell his Twitter stock but wanted to pump it first with a semi-formal offer. Same he did with Crypto/Tesla.

Not surprising that Twitter board would call the bluff. Even if Musk tries to renegotiate to save face, the Twitter board will look better to shareholders by saying no to even lower offers.

Re: Twitter CEO fires two top executives, freezes hiring

#134
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

He’s being paid millions to keep his hand on the wheel and not be distracted by a deal that may never close.

That's my point though. The board accepted the buyout offer. "Hands on the wheel" means keeping the lights on and making sure everything stays stable until the deal closes. Firing the company's product and revenue leads is the opposite of that.

So there's a few things that could be in play here.

1. The tech market right now is a shit show, Twitter has only been saved from the general market trends because of the Elon offer. Once the Elon offer closes or falls through, Twitter's stock will correct. While Twitter is healthier is the time to get set up for that inevitable correction. The current market is driving fairly drastic action in the Tech Sector, just ignoring it because you're, potentially, a lame-duck CEO would be irresponsible.

2. These firings and changes may have been in the works since Parag took over so this is a course of action that predates the Elon offer.

Re: Twitter CEO fires two top executives, freezes hiring

#135
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's my point though. The board accepted the buyout offer. "Hands on the wheel" means keeping the lights on and making sure everything stays stable until the deal closes. Firing the company's product and revenue leads is the opposite of that.

You're assuming that the deal will definitely close. The deal can still fall apart for a number of reasons. The risk of this happening is far from remote. This is evident from the current stock price of about $46, which is significantly lower than the $54.20 Musk is offering.

Yep. Aside from Musk having the attention span of a 6 month old puppy: the margin loan requires Tesla's stock drop less than 40%, otherwise he has to personally bankroll the Twitter purchase.

Right now it's down 26% this month, more than twice the general market drop, and shows no sign of slowing.

Musk has already started trying to ditch the margin loan.

Re: Twitter CEO fires two top executives, freezes hiring

#136

Growing up outside of the US, I feel kinda cringed when he said he was "INSANELY proud of our collective teams achieved". Such an interesting cultural difference.

What's the issue? Using the adverb "insanely" in a positive light? Or that he's proud?

Re: Twitter CEO fires two top executives, freezes hiring

#137
post #17

Why is Parag making any major changes at this point? What "new vision" is he going to execute in his last few months at the company before Elon comes in and torpedoes it anyways?

I think Parag is making decisions that he sees as inevitable, whether the deal goes through or not. The deal, and all of the discussions that have come from it about the future direction of Twitter, is probably enough of a catalyst for certain changes. Twitter is likely not left unchanged even it falls through.

Re: Twitter CEO fires two top executives, freezes hiring

#138
post #85

> I’m just now learning that Parag fired Kayvon while he was on paternity leave, which is truly awful. > Parag is on his way out too. Why is he firing his product leaders during his lame-duck period? https://twitter.com/CaseyNewton/status/1524790595968901122

Firing while on paternity leave isn't really that bad as long as they give you severance to cover paternity leave plus some extra - which I'm guessing they did since severance packages for higher ups tend to be pretty good. (As compared to no severance or two weeks that many ICs get)

I mean, it's still getting fired heading into a recession shortly after having a kid.

Re: Twitter CEO fires two top executives, freezes hiring

#139
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's my point though. The board accepted the buyout offer. "Hands on the wheel" means keeping the lights on and making sure everything stays stable until the deal closes. Firing the company's product and revenue leads is the opposite of that.

You're assuming that the deal will definitely close. The deal can still fall apart for a number of reasons. The risk of this happening is far from remote. This is evident from the current stock price of about $46, which is significantly lower than the $54.20 Musk is offering.

These mergers never are almost never at parity months before closing. This one isn't even so far a spread, 15% rebate on proposed takeout price. Activision, with an offer from Microsoft for which even Buffett is partaking in the arbitrage, sits at 20%. Even back at the announcement in January, before this market turmoil which can threaten these deals, it traded at a like 14% discount.

With that in mind, special situations are clearly still a valid strategy.

Re: Twitter CEO fires two top executives, freezes hiring

#140

Growing up outside of the US, I feel kinda cringed when he said he was "INSANELY proud of our collective teams achieved". Such an interesting cultural difference.

What's odd about it? Why wouldn't he be proud of his team for successfully building stuff he thought was important to build?
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