Just your annual reminder that the Land Value Tax is the Least Evil Tax. Tax "rent"[0] at 85-100%, allow owner-residents to defer LVT taxes owed to time of sale with modest interest. Speculators would be naturally driven out in favor of people actually using the land. [0] - Which is gatekeeping/charging for land (finite natural unimproved resources like space, spectrum, water, wildlife, oil, etc)
I don't see how you could justify it's the 'least evil tax'. In theory the least evil tax is something that doesn't change behaviour. We have a land value tax here in Australia which doesn't apply to owner-residents. That said, most places are excluded.
House prices surpass housing-bubble peak on price-to-rent ratio
131–139 of 139 posts
Re: House prices surpass housing-bubble peak on price-to-rent ratio
#132Just your annual reminder that the Land Value Tax is the Least Evil Tax. Tax "rent"[0] at 85-100%, allow owner-residents to defer LVT taxes owed to time of sale with modest interest. Speculators would be naturally driven out in favor of people actually using the land. [0] - Which is gatekeeping/charging for land (finite natural unimproved resources like space, spectrum, water, wildlife, oil, etc)
Another way would be to simply raise capital gains taxes on land. Making money off of land (as opposed to renting) just doesn't make sense. It's basically Bitcoin with real life consequences.
Re: House prices surpass housing-bubble peak on price-to-rent ratio
#133I wish something is done about these rentiers. Someone I know is amassing a rental property portfolio, while I am struggling to buy my first home. I am not against people making money and getting rich, but it would be nice if it wasn’t so easy to buy up multiple properties simply because they have the cash. There should be all kinds of incentives for first time home buyers. But it should be made very expensive/very p…
242,000 acres sounds big but it isn’t a significant percentage of US farmland. A large farm (in the $1m sales class) is usually above 3,000 acres in size. So Bill has bought less than 100 large farms. There are somewhere around 78,000 US farms in that class making up about 4% of farms and containing 25% of existing farmland. In other words, Bill owns squat. He probably bought those farms as an investment, there’s no…
Seems similar on the west coast where I live now.
By my back of the envelope calculations, 3000 acres of good farmland would cost around 15 million easy.
https://extension.umn.edu/farmland-rent-and-economics/farmla...
Re: House prices surpass housing-bubble peak on price-to-rent ratio
#134Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Along the same lines, Bill Gates owns 242,000 acres of farm land. What for? I don’t know. The point of freedom is that it doesn't matter why he wants it, he's free to buy it if the owner chooses to sell it. There's a chilling implication in your stance that people should need approval for basic freedoms like buying land. That's how you end up with a dictatorship.
That is not at all what I am implying. When you buy that much amount of land, which is a basic human necessity, at minimum the public needs to know what the plans are for those lands, right? If someone buys 5 acres of land, that is a different story, nobody cares. The scale is what making the difference here. Let me ask you another question - recently (2019 I think), Bill bought 14,500 acres of land for 171M in a sin…
Also, that’s nearly 12k per acre for every acre, even the ones you can’t farm. That’s a very good price, hard pressed to find a farmer who wouldn’t sell for that.
Re: House prices surpass housing-bubble peak on price-to-rent ratio
#135Earlier quoted context omitted.
That’s not how rent works. Just because the landlord’s costs go up doesn’t mean rents go up.
Yes, to some extent. The rent is dictated by the market price, which could be a gain or loss for the owner. But if every landlord's costs go up, then everyone's rent probably goes up, since the landlords are competing with each other.
Re: House prices surpass housing-bubble peak on price-to-rent ratio
#136Just your annual reminder that the Land Value Tax is the Least Evil Tax. Tax "rent"[0] at 85-100%, allow owner-residents to defer LVT taxes owed to time of sale with modest interest. Speculators would be naturally driven out in favor of people actually using the land. [0] - Which is gatekeeping/charging for land (finite natural unimproved resources like space, spectrum, water, wildlife, oil, etc)
I don't see how you could justify it's the 'least evil tax'. In theory the least evil tax is something that doesn't change behaviour. We have a land value tax here in Australia which doesn't apply to owner-residents. That said, most places are excluded.
Owner-occupiers do pay land tax in Australia — local council rates are effectively land taxes as they are based on the unimproved value of the land (but they often include stormwater and waste charges as well).
Re: House prices surpass housing-bubble peak on price-to-rent ratio
#137Earlier quoted context omitted.
242,000 acres sounds big but it isn’t a significant percentage of US farmland. A large farm (in the $1m sales class) is usually above 3,000 acres in size. So Bill has bought less than 100 large farms. There are somewhere around 78,000 US farms in that class making up about 4% of farms and containing 25% of existing farmland. In other words, Bill owns squat. He probably bought those farms as an investment, there’s no…
Not sure where you’re getting these numbers from, but where I grew up a million dollars would buy less than 100 acres of good farm land. Seems similar on the west coast where I live now. By my back of the envelope calculations, 3000 acres of good farmland would cost around 15 million easy. https://extension.umn.edu/farmland-rent-and-economics/farmla...
Re: House prices surpass housing-bubble peak on price-to-rent ratio
#138Earlier quoted context omitted.
Ok never ever have housing really prices gone down. Look at any chart of average home prices in the US if you bought a house at any time and waited 10 years you definitely made money. Even in neighborhoods where >50% people were in foreclosure their homes are worth more then ever. If you can find anywhere housing prices are less then in 2008 please say so. The Brexit thing is just guesswork on your part those propert…
Look anywhere in rural areas of high tax states in Great Lakes/Midwest/Northeast, such as southern Illinois or upstate NY. Even homes in CT/NJ away from the urban centers are down in real value, maybe flat or slightly higher in nominal value. Certain regions of the country are hot, certain regions are nowhere near. Even the differences in the regions of the US where house prices are rising exhibit a wide range from m…
You can argue the real/nominal value, but housing cost are a cause of inflation in this regard not an effect, all prices are relative to the price of shelter for individuals.
Re: House prices surpass housing-bubble peak on price-to-rent ratio
#139Earlier quoted context omitted.
> houses have never decreased in value historically Never?
Yes literally never in my lifetime, even after the 2008 recession those same houses are worth more now then ever. Any findings that show house values are "going down" are just sampling errors, or more likely people being purposefully misleading by distorting the trends.
How old are you?
https://www.nytimes.com/1981/08/17/opinion/housing-boom-goes...
1981: > A word to the wise: The great Los Angeles housing boom is over. The real estate price explosion in southern California, which sparked a national boom still continuing elsewhere, has stopped. The bubble that everyone said could never burst has burst. All over Los Angeles and Orange County, home buyers can buy a property for less than it would have cost a year ago
Of course, prices recovered. Just in time for the 1990s!
https://www.forbes.com/sites/johnwake/2018/11/02/the-next-ho...
> In real prices;
Boston didn’t get back to its 1987 peak until 2000 (13 years);
New York didn’t get back to its 1987 peak until 2002 (15 years);
Los Angeles didn’t get back to its 1989 peak until 2002 (13 years);
San Diego didn’t get back to its 1990 peak until 2000 (10 years); and
San Francisco didn’t get back to its 1990 peak until 1999 (9 years).