131–140 of 159 posts
2016: NNT warns about tail risks of GMOs https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/770966228965916672?s=20 2019: As predicted, the Genetically Modified Mosquito project has gone wrong with "unforeseen outcomes" https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1172864041016090624?s=20 Sadly this won't stop until there is a Chernobyl-level accident.
Just when you think that 2020 couldn't be more complicated... playing with floridian ecosystems and trophic chains at large scale. If you really want to do this kind of experiments you need to assure that it happens in the context of an stable, responsible government. One able to take countermeasures quick if something fails, and able to deal with two biological emergencies at the same time. One that doesn't claim th…
Typo. Must be: "One that doesn't claim that will noT follow..." obviously.
I must admit that is a badly constructed phrase.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
When this happens for humans, I predict that we would also see parallel development of tests which ensure that a potential mate does not have gene drives in their genome.
You have now re-invented the TV series "Island City" from 1994.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
I think @reedf1 is talking about the long term damage to a population. With the gene drive technology, the modified gene is always inherited. the 750 million number is there to speed up the process. (This my understanding from reading the first few paragraphs from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gene_drive )
How exactly would they inherit the genes if it causes sterility?
A harmful modification that doesn't cause sterility will propagate across generations if the indivuals are able to reproduce.
For example a scenario where we see the symptoms but we don't know that they are caused by a gene modification. And where individuals are still able to live and have children.
And I'm not saying that the tech is bad. I'm sure that people can come up with a lot of good use cases.
2016: NNT warns about tail risks of GMOs https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/770966228965916672?s=20 2019: As predicted, the Genetically Modified Mosquito project has gone wrong with "unforeseen outcomes" https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1172864041016090624?s=20 Sadly this won't stop until there is a Chernobyl-level accident.
Wasn't that retracted? It was speculation, not science. And in fact it didn't happen.
My favorite reading tip when such experiments are reported is Edward Tenner's classic book "Why Things Bite Back: Technology and the Revenge of Unintended Consequences" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Why_Things_Bite_Back
I'm also afraid that the hindsight will be blinding.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
I think @reedf1 is talking about the long term damage to a population. With the gene drive technology, the modified gene is always inherited. the 750 million number is there to speed up the process. (This my understanding from reading the first few paragraphs from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gene_drive )
How exactly would they inherit the genes if it causes sterility?
You could always have a tick box for it on the Tinder profile.