Exponential Growth and Covid-19 [video] • Hacker News Board

Re: Exponential Growth and Covid-19 [video]

#131

Post by lobotryas » Mon, Mar 09, 2020, 6:13 PM UTC

lhl wrote: post #14

I've been tracking the coronavirus news for the past few weeks and have found https://www.reddit.com/r/covid19 to be good for tracking the latest scientific/medical publications, and https://www.reddit.com/r/coronavirus for general news. For transmission rates, this team is updating their modeling results often: https://cmmid.github.io/topics/covid19/current-patterns-tran... On twitter, @datagraver is publishing some…

I wonder how the US military is preparing or dealing with Corona. We have multiple active deployments and need to maintain a fairly robust military readiness. Soldiers often live very close together. Imagine an entire regiment being sick and unable to deploy.

Re: Exponential Growth and Covid-19 [video]

#132

Post by yters » Mon, Mar 09, 2020, 8:12 PM UTC

shawabawa3 wrote: post #90

yters wrote: post #22

Seems to have a much lower hospitalized mortality rate than 2017 flu https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.livescience.com/amp/new-cor...

From (probably slightly misremembered) stats I've seen, it has approximately 40x the hospitalisation rate, but only 10x the death rate of flu So yes, lower hospitalised mortality rate but only because so many more people are hospitalised

Do we have an accurate count of cases? For example if most cases are determined based on hospitalization, then the hospitalized death rate is the same as the estimated actual death rate.

I haven't been able to find studies on the hospitalization rate to know.

Re: Exponential Growth and Covid-19 [video]

#133

Post by originalbryan2 » Tue, Mar 10, 2020, 4:50 PM UTC

abootstrapper wrote: post #34

maxerickson wrote: post #13

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why? We're a bunch of paranoid lunatics, primed to avoid each other.

False. We’re a bunch of mostly self centered individualist who don’t like being told what to do and don’t trust facts, ideas, opinions, or people that contradict our preconceived notions.

Word. If I didn't dislike people we could be friends.

Re: Exponential Growth and Covid-19 [video]

#134

Post by vanniv » Tue, Mar 10, 2020, 5:21 PM UTC

vanniv wrote: post #107

DailyHN wrote: post #104

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What does stopping the world economy entail?

In the context of this post: the kind of quarantine where nobody is allowed to venture far from their homes. Where goods can't travel from where they are made to where they could be sold, or worse can't be made because nobody is allowed to leave home to go make them. Where we isolate each country from the others, each state/province/region, each everywhere. Where commerce is effectively ended due to the inability of…

It's been 2 days, and already the food markets are running out.

With no resupply available for weeks at a minimum, people are.going to get mighty hungry.

Funny how quickly the HN crowd cheers for these incredible restrictions on life and freedom, and yet pretend not to favor totalitarianism

Re: Exponential Growth and Covid-19 [video]

#135

Post by vanniv » Wed, Mar 11, 2020, 10:17 PM UTC

microcolonel wrote: post #105

vanniv wrote: post #96

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Italy's quarantine will probably kill many more people than the virus ever could

What's your reasoning on that? I really want to know, since on the face it seems like an absolutely outrageous, borderline random conclusion to draw.

It has been 2 days. Now, all businesses except grocers are closed, and grocers are mostly out of food.

Roads are closed.

People are going to be very, very hungry very, very soon.

Hunger will create desperation, which will create violence, which will quickly dwarf the few thousands of people that covid will kill