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OpenAI Charter

blog.openai.com

131–140 of 183 posts

Re: OpenAI Charter

#131
post #108

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Seems very unclear if you could "instruct" true AGI to do something.

Maybe you assume that an AGI would be totally uncontrollable but in this highly speculative exercise I don't think you should assume your position is the only valid one.

First you said it's clear, now you're saying it's highly speculative. Choose one.

Re: OpenAI Charter

#132
post #102
post #79

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> To "avoid enabling uses of AI or AGI that harm humanity or unduly concentrate power" what does one do with an idea or line of research that could potentially harm humanity or unduly concentrate power? Pursue the research and publish its results freely and in their entirety.

I don't think you answered 3pt14159's question. What if you publish the research and nobody who can do anything about it cares?

Then what exactly was the new bad thing introduced by publishing it in the first place?

Re: OpenAI Charter

#133
post #103
post #87

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> See: basically every instance of Goodhart's Law No, I asked for specific examples. This is part of the handwaving I'm talking about. Can you give me something other than the maniacal paperclip optimizer?

YouTube video recommendations, which converge on recommending conspiracy theories and shocking videos to easily manipulated people, especially children. I am not worried about literal paperclip maximizers, but this may be the closest real thing to that parable. The hypothesis isn't that YouTube's recommender system didn't work -- it's that it worked too well at its assigned task of maximizing view time, and we humans…

I think this is probably the most reasonable example I've been given in this thread. However, as you admit this is still very far off from a hypothetical AI hellbent on destroying us while we watch helplessly.

Re: OpenAI Charter

#134
post #74
post #44

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> and destroy the world if she makes a mistake How would the world be destroyed? Does an example work without handwaving about recursive self-improvement and an imperative to optimize extremely literally? Can you give me a play by play of how a newly developed strong AI eradicates the human species quickly and thoroughly without us having any time to react? EDIT: In summation, there have been several downvotes, but t…

> Can you give me a play by play of how a newly developed strong AI eradicates the human species quickly and thoroughly without us having any time to react? Terminator, The Matrix, 2001, I Robot, War Games,

Is there any solid theory that these movie scenarios would play out in the real world?

Frankly, I don't want to even estimate the orders of magnitude of difficulty in seeing AGI come to fruition over ML, so I think you, I, and anybody else reading this has little to worry about.

Re: OpenAI Charter

#135
post #111
post #101

Earlier quoted context omitted.

*She ---but yeah, as a first-order approximation, that's in the vicinity of it. Thanks!

Ok, so this would lead to restricting initial access to strong AI to a few well funded corporate and government groups. Very briefly though, because it's way easier to leak code than to obtain source material and tools to weaponize a deadly virus.

Very briefly though, because it's way easier to leak code than to obtain source material and tools to weaponize a deadly virus.

True, but perhaps AGI would require substantial, non-trivial supercomputing resources as well...

Re: OpenAI Charter

#136
When people look back at this time, I think they are going to contrast the OpenAI camp with the Satoshi camp.

OpenAI is extremely public about what organizations and individuals are involved. Satoshians are pathologically secret, from the founder to the faceless GPU mines around China.

OpenAI is highly selective of who participates; Blockchain is radically open.

OpenAI builds academic theories and models, bitcoin has been buying pizzas it's whole life, paying hackers and pranksters, and making and losing fortunes everyday.

Satoshi left no founding document, never established a charter or code of conduct. OpenAI now apparently considers itself on the mission to save humanity itself.

When AGI comes about, I wonder which one we'll be talking about?

Re: OpenAI Charter

#137

So I have a question. To "avoid enabling uses of AI or AGI that harm humanity or unduly concentrate power" what does one do with an idea or line of research that could potentially harm humanity or unduly concentrate power? The manipulation of social media by foreign actors armed with dumb-AI / automation was an obvious conclusion to many of us well before the Snowden leaks, but what could we do exactly? I remember ha…

>> What is the responsible disclosure process for ideas and research around AI?

Basically, we're so far away from AGI that there's no need to worry about disclosig anything. The recent advances in machine vision and speech processing are impressive, but only in the context of the last 50 years or so. A trully intelligent agent will need much more than this and there doesn't seem to be anyone alive today who knows how to go from where we are to where AGI will be.

In other words, all this is really premature. If we're talking about responsible and regulated use of what you call "dumb AI/automation" on the other hand, then that's a differen tissue. But AGI, currently, is science fiction. You may as well regulate research in time travel, or teleportation.

Re: OpenAI Charter

#138
post #135
post #111

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ok, so this would lead to restricting initial access to strong AI to a few well funded corporate and government groups. Very briefly though, because it's way easier to leak code than to obtain source material and tools to weaponize a deadly virus.

Very briefly though, because it's way easier to leak code than to obtain source material and tools to weaponize a deadly virus. True, but perhaps AGI would require substantial, non-trivial supercomputing resources as well...

Let's say you need 1000 of p3.16xlarge instances to run it (that's 8k of V100 GPUs), that's $25,000/hour. So the launch price is within reach of most US programmers. After launch, a true AGI can probably find a way to stay "alive".

Re: OpenAI Charter

#139

So I have a question. To "avoid enabling uses of AI or AGI that harm humanity or unduly concentrate power" what does one do with an idea or line of research that could potentially harm humanity or unduly concentrate power? The manipulation of social media by foreign actors armed with dumb-AI / automation was an obvious conclusion to many of us well before the Snowden leaks, but what could we do exactly? I remember ha…

>> What is the responsible disclosure process for ideas and research around AI? Basically, we're so far away from AGI that there's no need to worry about disclosig anything. The recent advances in machine vision and speech processing are impressive, but only in the context of the last 50 years or so. A trully intelligent agent will need much more than this and there doesn't seem to be anyone alive today who knows how…

The maluse of AI is a continuum that ends with AGI. If we don't have a process for handling responsible disclosure of dumb AI that could kill millions then why should we expect that a process will be available once AGI is within a reasonable time horizon.

If I have other shit in my head that I'm worried about today who do I tell?

Re: OpenAI Charter

#140
post #119

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The exact details on how to make a Thermonuclear weapon are classified, do you think that is done so improperly?

Are you comparing building a nuclear bomb to running a piece of code?

Well, it depends on the piece of code, doesn't it? How many people can actually run Google's search engine on their own hardware? Assuming they had access to the code.
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