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India floats the idea of a universal basic income

economist.com

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Re: India floats the idea of a universal basic income

#131
post #130

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Technology adoption != power. Everyone using a cell phone which tracks their position, communication, and behavior, and then feeds them propaganda from a central server is not increasing their ability to fight back. >I would say the success of human beings is by some metrics a success for mice, mammals etc as well.. But, again, as you stated previously, not horses? Seriously, you are moving the goalposts all over the…

The proliferation of smartphones doesn't lead to everyone getting "propaganda from a central server". A smartphone is a personal computing device that enables far more peer-to-peer communication and interactive engagement with the world than the previous mass-media paradigm of the pre-internet age (where a small number of broadcast networks, newspapers and radio stations controlled the minds of the vast majority of t…

> I directly addressed your argument and then I also made an additional argument that your premise is not necessarily true. That's not defined as moving the goalposts.

You've stated or implied:

1. Property rights is the reason that technology is augmenting humans 2. Unified global culture is the reason that technology is augmenting humans 3. Having a genetic legacy is evidence my "premise is not necessarily true"

You are definitely moving the goal posts by #1 and #2.

Also, you've failed to address:

1. Why Neanderthals were augmented despite not having property rights (#1, above) 2. What my premise has to do with genetic legacy. From what I gather, you assume that as long as the people alive today share genetic material with other species, either alive or dead, my premise is inaccurate. Why? 3. What your premise actually is. Are you talking about genetically legacy, or something else? Is all that you are saying is that those alive tomorrow will at least share some DNA from those already dead? Not much of a shocker, is it?

You are being, seemingly intentionally, unclear about many things, as well as bringing up several different threads of thought at once, muddying the conversation.

Re: India floats the idea of a universal basic income

#132
post #71

Forcibly redistributing income from low resource generators to high resource generators creates an incentive for people with fewer resources to have more children than they are capable of supporting. This dynamic will in the long run lead to more people that produce fewer resources. Currently government is redistributing income upward by economic prohibitions (regulatory barriers): http://cepr.net/publications/report…

> But hey, since 40 years of social democracy has failed, let's keep doubling down and giving people more "free" money.

... you mean the countries with the highest quality-of-life measures? The Scandanavian nations, Canada, Australia, NZ, all of which have vibrant economies, high average wages, and strong middle classes?

The US with their pathological fear of their own government is not what I'd use as a particularly characteristic example of social democracy.

Re: India floats the idea of a universal basic income

#133
One reason why the poor stay poor is that they simply don't know how to spend money. Financial literacy doesn't penetrate well into India's rural poor because of the lack of quality education.

Another big problem is the gender inequality prevalent in the nation. This will simply lead to income getting concentrated at the hands of the male head of family. Buying nutritious food (which govt is directly providing as of now) or educating girl child (govt subsidise it as of now) may not be his priorities, not out of malice, but simply because he doesn't know about it.

Superimpose the corruption and caste dynamics, where wealth transfer has to go through a bureaucratic sieve that is dominated by upper caste or privileged Indians. The atrocities we hear from the average govt. office are gruesome because majority of govt employees simply doesn't understand the plight of the poor Indian.

To make an understanding for Indians and others, I will suggest the book "The Feast of Vultures" a book that metes out excellent objective treatment to the state of govt affairs in India. It is penned down by a veteran journalist named Josy Joseph. If we start to appreciate how this huge system that thrive in chaos, you will almost instantaneously pick up why this won't work. I am not going to the objective arguments for UBI even given a perfect system to disburse it. This won't work for India.

Re: India floats the idea of a universal basic income

#134
post #58

I used to think a universal basic income would make sense, especially in developed countries, only for the near future scenario of machines taking ever more jobs. We know that this has always happened in history, and new jobs were always created, but that doesn't mean that the rate of job creation vs destruction will remain the same, forever. What made me change my mind about UBI was to realize that a) human desires…

> b) the more work is done by machines, the richer the population as a whole will be True - as a whole . But as things stand now, the owners of the machines get richer, and the displaced workers get significantly poorer. My concern is this. In ten years time, trucks and taxis will be automated, and vanishingly few truck drivers will be able to retrain as truck computer techs. Truck and taxi driving is the last bastio…

> those that don't kill themselves are going to revolt.

There has already been civil revolting in recent times. The police being shot at during the BLM stuff is what it looks like. The days of organising a 'continental army' and taking the current government head on are long gone (in developed countries, at least). Making an organisation large enough to even start to annoy the US military would be nipped in the bud long before it happens. But there will be lots of small-scale or individual revolting.

The methods of government in the US are not going to change (eg: the Electoral College) because fairer systems would work against the current parties in power, and changing the constitution itself is extremely difficult, even for something as conceptually simple as 'no more alcohol' ('new electoral process' doesn't stand a chance). So, barring massive social disaster, things will carry on as-is. Trump will do a lot of damage to convention and will highlight lots of edge-cases, but the underlying systems will barely move.

There will be revolts, but it's not going to change anything structurally.

Re: India floats the idea of a universal basic income

#136

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You can drive many TVs (~$250), phones (~$150), and sometimes even cars (~$3000) through the regional, situational, quality level, and market timing variations in the prices of housing and healthcare (I've lived in a $600/mo sublet and a $2500/mo 1-bedroom in the same 6-month window; I've gone for years without seeing a doctor, and then had emergency surgery). A direct, fixed cash transfer will never, ever have the p…

The point isn't to demand people not buy tvs with ubi, its just to make sure you can have the bare necessities and little else. If you can also buy a tv, good job. If done right, it should be hard to do that. Basically exactly like how welfare is now, just do that, but without any of the weird requirements that differ state to state. As fir medical care. All insurance should be made redundant. Universal healthcare wo…

> isn't to demand people not buy tvs with ubi, its just to make sure you can have the bare necessities and little else

'little else' = TV in your example, so these amount to the same thing

Because the cost of 'bare necessities' varies by region (housing prices in particular), the only way you'll make this work is if there's a government bureaucracy somewhere that looks at market prices and then calculates some formula that gives you exactly the amount of money it takes to buy X amount of housing, food, etc.

But then you can always turn around and bunk with a friend and then spend it all on luxuries and video games, or secretly move someplace cheaper to live and pocket the extra money. So either you allow people to nakedly game the system, or the government is now in the business of monitoring where normal people live.

Re: India floats the idea of a universal basic income

#137
post #17

In other developed countries, I think universal basic income makes sense, but not in the case of India. India has several systemic problems and a significant portion of the population has little to no education. Any income that can sustain a household without any pressure to grow as people will probably hinder their progress more so than help them. For a country with no lack of problems to solve, they are much better…

I find it amusing that people went from "raising a minimum wage is a bad thing to do" to "unconditionally giving everyone a set amount of money will be the best thing ever".

Re: India floats the idea of a universal basic income

#138
post #50

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Any income that can sustain a household without any pressure to grow as people will probably hinder their progress more so than help them Are you basing this off of any familiarity with poor Indian culture? Why do you expect "free money" to translate into "lesser progress" rather than "progress of their choice"? Here's a different question: Have you learned more through self-directed learning, or other-directed lea…

Most of the poor (and the rich too) here (I mean in India) look at such social programs as nothing more than cash-grabs. I have known people who make money by registering for multiple CNG connections and distributing them to other people in return for full price of the CNG cylinder (the cylinders are subsidised and the subsidy is paid by the government directly into the bank account of the person with whom the connec…

I would venture that the vast majority of people will benefit from a small amount of income compared to the small amount who will take advantage of the system.

Re: India floats the idea of a universal basic income

#139
post #17

In other developed countries, I think universal basic income makes sense, but not in the case of India. India has several systemic problems and a significant portion of the population has little to no education. Any income that can sustain a household without any pressure to grow as people will probably hinder their progress more so than help them. For a country with no lack of problems to solve, they are much better…

>> Any income that can sustain a household without any pressure to grow as people will probably hinder their progress more so than help them.

I disagree. I believe the better place where one should do this is where it's needed the most.

People tend to believe that when given money, others will just sit back and get lazy doing nothing. Matter of fact is you need money to do anything; to give your children a better education, to buy tools to help you at your job, to buy appliances that free your time to have other projects, etc. Do you think these people are comfortable with their lifestyle? Handing them free money, IMO, more than being an excuse to "hinder progress", will be an investment that finally allow them to get over working to "just survive" and into the realm of working to actually ensure their kids are better off than they were.

This is similar to how YC funds startups. Or in fact, how anyone funds startups. No one says "Oh, if we give you a nice economic cushion, that'll probably hinder your progress, you need to be under the constant stress and problem of having no money to really get clever and do cool things." Of course not, that's nuts. You invest money to make money.

Re: India floats the idea of a universal basic income

#140
post #130

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The proliferation of smartphones doesn't lead to everyone getting "propaganda from a central server". A smartphone is a personal computing device that enables far more peer-to-peer communication and interactive engagement with the world than the previous mass-media paradigm of the pre-internet age (where a small number of broadcast networks, newspapers and radio stations controlled the minds of the vast majority of t…

> I directly addressed your argument and then I also made an additional argument that your premise is not necessarily true. That's not defined as moving the goalposts. You've stated or implied: 1. Property rights is the reason that technology is augmenting humans 2. Unified global culture is the reason that technology is augmenting humans 3. Having a genetic legacy is evidence my "premise is not necessarily true" You…

>1. Property rights is the reason that technology is augmenting humans 2. Unified global culture is the reason that technology is augmenting humans 3. Having a genetic legacy is evidence my "premise is not necessarily true"

>You are definitely moving the goal posts by #1 and #2.

That's not moving the goalposts. Please read up on what "moving the goalposts" means because what I'm doing is not that. You're being incredibly intolerant to my arguments, to the point of making wildly false accusations about them to avoid actually addressing the points made.

I thought the link between #1 and #2 was obvious to you, but I guess I need to spell it out. Neanderthals never got access to the technology of humans, because they were not part of their culture. All humans alive today can access all classes of technology from around the world, because we share the same global culture, and moroever, can fully utilize said technology to augment our own abilities, because we have property rights and thus can come to own technological devices. An additional point, which I alluded to, is that the market is driving costs down and thus making technology more widely available over time, which is a very positive trend.

It's only "moving the goalposts" when you ignore the fact that #1 and #2 were responses to different arguments made.

>1. Why Neanderthals were augmented despite not having property rights (#1, above)

You're moving the goalposts! The crux of the debate was not about why technology augmented humans in the distant past. My point was that in the modern age, due to people having property rights, technology is augmenting them. And that wasn't even my central point. My central point is that technology augments humans, and because of this, we don't face a threat of being made obsolete by machines. Are you seriously this oblivious to your own rank hypocrisy?

>2. What my premise has to do with genetic legacy. From what I gather, you assume that as long as the people alive today share genetic material with other species, either alive or dead, my premise is inaccurate. Why?

Because genetic success is one very widely used metric of success. It's the determinant of all biological life afterall. Why wouldn't it be a measure of success?

>3. What your premise actually is. Are you talking about genetically legacy, or something else? Is all that you are saying is that those alive tomorrow will at least share some DNA from those already dead? Not much of a shocker, is it?

Yes I'm talking about genetic legacy, and yes, the success of any human being would be a success for all human beings by this metric. How is that unclear? How is challenging the premise of your argument moving the goalposts?

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