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Alphabet Becomes the Most Valuable Public Company in the World

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Re: Alphabet Becomes the Most Valuable Public Company in the World

#131
post #110
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I absolutely agree that comparing Google and apple is silly. But calling Google an "artificial intelligence" company is just feeding another buzzword into the fire.

Google's flagship product is a box that you can type words into, and get relevant texts/references/facts in response. It seems like a textbook example of AI.

Google's flagship product, in the sense of revenue, is the text ad ;-)

Re: Alphabet Becomes the Most Valuable Public Company in the World

#132
post #70
post #50

Interesting that Apple's net profits last quarter was greater than Alphabet's revenue.

Because Apple sells fashion products whereas Alphabet consists of a wide variety of companies with Google itself mostly making money with advertising? Other than having overlapping categories in their product and service portfolio, I have no idea how the two can be compared. I mean, Alphabet has military robots.

Alphabet has failed at military robots: http://m.theregister.co.uk/2015/12/29/us_marines_kill_off_bi...

Re: Alphabet Becomes the Most Valuable Public Company in the World

#133
post #35

The comparisons between Google and Apple aren't as apples-to-apples as everyone in the media seems to think. If we're talking about the future of these companies, and their earning power, they are situating themselves very differently. Apple is really a consumer electronics company, Google is an artificial intelligence company. And investors think more money will be in the future of AI instead of consumer hardware an…

> investors think more money will be in the future of AI instead of consumer hardware and software

No, first you are mistaking a bet on a single company for a bet on an industry. The obvious counterexamples being that there are no shortage of wannabe AI companies valued orders of magnitude lower than Apple, that doesn't mean wall street thinks devices beat ai as an industry gold mine.

Google is valued highly today because they print money today. They print money because of search and advertising. They are really good at this and that's why their market cap exceed's Apple's today.

These prices are not remotely rational. There's no serious investor that thinks Apple is going to shut the lights off inside 7 years which is what the current 'market cap' would tell you.

Re: Alphabet Becomes the Most Valuable Public Company in the World

#134
post #97
post #47

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why? It's obvious that is where they are going.

Calling someone an "X company" means that they make their money from X. There are aspects of AI in targeted advertising, but not enough to call them an AI company rather than an advertising company. It doesn't really matter where they're going- that's what they aspire to be, not what they are. If you judge companies based on their aspirations, you end up judging them based on their most positive and idealistic versio…

I don't know how you can call their self-driving cars anything BUT AI. We live in a pretty jaded world if you don't think that constitutes artificial intelligence. While it may not be a source of revenue yet, we are VERY close to it being one.

Re: Alphabet Becomes the Most Valuable Public Company in the World

#135
post #95

Earlier quoted context omitted.

70% of the revenue and (maybe) 80% of the profit of Apple comes from a single product - the iPhone. Apple themselves have given lower guidance going forward. There is a limit to the number of people buying iPhone at huge margins every year. The total units might continue to grow but not at the current margins and not as frequently. Hard to be bullish unless some other product takes off.

unlike Google, where practically 100% comes from one single product, which is ads. all "other bets" are actually losing money, per their data.

The "other bets" that are (in aggregate) losing money are things that Alphabet does that are not part of Google. While Google is nearly 100% advertising revenue, it has non-advertising revenue streams inside of Google.

And we only know that the "other bets" (non-Google Alphabet operations) are losing money in aggregate, not that all of them are losing money individually.

Re: Alphabet Becomes the Most Valuable Public Company in the World

#136
Apple also started paying quarterly dividends in 2012[1]. Whereas, Google does not pay out dividends[2]. Apple's annualized dividend yield is 2.2% (for comparison, Microsoft's is 2.6%[3]).

[1] http://www.streetinsider.com/dividend_history.php?q=AAPL

[2] http://www.streetinsider.com/dividend_history.php?q=GOOG

[3] http://www.streetinsider.com/dividend_history.php?q=MSFT

Re: Alphabet Becomes the Most Valuable Public Company in the World

#137
post #128

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you add in the same comparison to Facebook's numbers, the valuations look even more puzzling (using the most recent quarter): * Apple's quarterly revenue: $75.9b * Apple's quarterly profit: $18.4b * Apple's market cap: $538.7b * Apple's P/E ratio: 10.24 * Google's quarterly revenue: $21.3b * Google's quarterly profit: $6.8b * Google's market cap: 517.6b (pre-earnings) * Google's P/E ratio: 35.37 (pre-earnings) * F…

Now do Amazon which is a retailer, often running at a loss on the retail side, with a nicely growing Hosting business... but even the margins on the hosting business don't justify Amazon's P/E ratio. I don't think the market is efficient, it has a lot to do with perception. Amazon, for instance, is constantly doing press releases for products, even products that have no future (this is a deliberate strategy near as I…

I have a friend who works at Lab126 with some really interesting stories about the dysfunctional environment there. He's basically one of a handful or so engineers who have more than a 4 year tenure in his division. Their PMs are basically all fresh out of college. After the complete disaster that was the Fire phone, that team and its director got promoted and placed in charge of Lab126. As expected, everything went to shit.

No idea what the rest of the company is like, but internally, Lab126 employees treat it as a stepping stone until their resume or skillset becomes good enough for Apple, Google, etc.

Re: Alphabet Becomes the Most Valuable Public Company in the World

#138
post #90

Out of curiosity, is there a reason Google/Alphabet shouldn't be on the Dow?

Yes. It's because of the idiotic way the Dow formula works. The Dow is a price weighted index. To compute the value of the Dow, you sum the per-share prices of the constituents and divide by a magic divisor. So a $50 move in GOOG (~6.6% change) and a $50 move in AAPL (50% change) would have the exact same impact on the value of the index. The kludgey solution to this problem is just to not incorporate high priced stocks into the index.

Incidentally this is why when you hear anyone quoting the Dow you can tell immediately that they are either clueless or an innumerate moron.

Re: Alphabet Becomes the Most Valuable Public Company in the World

#139
According to Google Finance, it appears that Alphabet has a market capitalization of $517B, which is far different than the $558B quoted in the article. This does not appear to be a temporary fluctuation. https://www.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3AGOOGL

Am I missing something? Based on the current market cap numbers on Google Finance, Apple is still higher than Alphabet.

Re: Alphabet Becomes the Most Valuable Public Company in the World

#140
post #108

People were losing their minds over the fact that iPhone shipments slightly declined. If you look at the year over year growth (excluding the massive bump for iPhone 6), it would show that AAPL is still ahead of the growth curve. See https://imgur.com/vO0kPEy * Apple's quarterly revenue: $75.9bil * Apple's quarterly profit: $18.4bil * Google's quarterly revenue: $21.3bil * Google's quarterly profit: $6.8bil In sheer…

Which pretty much shows that the market value of a company is not based on what they sell today, but on the expectation of what they will sell tomorrow. Does Apple do research in biotech (Alphabet's Calico)? Are they developing drones delivering wireless internet to the world (Google's Skybender)? Do they have an investment arm (Google Ventures)? Did they start an ISP (Google Fiber)? People see Alphabet's increasing…

It's interesting that the market is valuing Apple's ability to innovate in the absence of Steve Jobs at ~zero. Apple trades like a value stock right now; Wall Street assumes that they're a cash cow that is just going to be milked, and unlikely to have any future major hits.

If you (correctly) disagree with this assessment, there may be money to be made here. If you agree with it, well, I understand why Apple wouldn't look very appealing.

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