Hacker News Board Hacker News, browsed like a classic message board
Live data from Hacker News

I don't know if my job will still exist in ten years

seangoedecke.com

Post reply on HN
Print view View original

121–130 of 132 posts

Re: I don't know if my job will still exist in ten years

#121

Post by jjmarr »

tavavex wrote: post #115
jjmarr wrote: post #68

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I live in Canada so housing is uniformly expensive unless you live super rural. Best choice would be moving up north and slaving in a mineral mine along with everyone else that lost their jobs. Like the 1920s. I don't see myself being qualified for such a role since I am too short and don't have the physical leverage.

Housing is expensive in Canada, but it's absolutely not uniform. $2500/mo starting is crazy, which city are you sourcing these claims for? I live in a major city (but not Vancouver or Toronto, obviously) and if you're just trying to survive, you can live with roommates for $700-900, possibly less depending on your luck. Apartments, studios and other types of housing for one are about $1500 and up. Then you can go to…

In this theoretical scenario where AI displaces everyone, the only thing with value will be housing and physical necessities, so I think housing prices will go up.

Re: I don't know if my job will still exist in ten years

#122

Post by collingreen »

shermantanktop wrote: post #48
rvz wrote: post #39

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No wonder GitHub is always collapsing every week. Tay.ai, Zoe and Copilot bots being deployed wrecking the platform being unable to fix infrastructure issues whilst the humans are just tweaking all the tiniest issues. They should instead focus on GitHub actions and improving the uptime of the whole platform first before doing anything AI.

Wherever you work, are there embarrassing experiences that your organization ships? If so, why didn’t you personally fix them so that nobody could associate you as an individual with a broken CX? If not, please let me know where to apply, because that sounds like a unicorn organization. Humans in large groups do amazing and crappy things at the same time. Playing gotcha with someone’s resume is a shitty thing to do.

On the other hand the place I work isn't owned by a company with many many billions to throw around, including many billions paid for the platform in question. I agree attacking someone's resume is lame but attacking big corporate prioritization feels valid here to me.

Re: I don't know if my job will still exist in ten years

#123

Post by shermantanktop »

collingreen wrote: post #122
shermantanktop wrote: post #48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Wherever you work, are there embarrassing experiences that your organization ships? If so, why didn’t you personally fix them so that nobody could associate you as an individual with a broken CX? If not, please let me know where to apply, because that sounds like a unicorn organization. Humans in large groups do amazing and crappy things at the same time. Playing gotcha with someone’s resume is a shitty thing to do.

On the other hand the place I work isn't owned by a company with many many billions to throw around, including many billions paid for the platform in question. I agree attacking someone's resume is lame but attacking big corporate prioritization feels valid here to me.

Totally. None of us is as stupid as all of us.

But working in a well-funded company doesn’t make this problem go away. It makes it worse in a lot of ways.

For my org, I’ll be happy to be first in line to criticize some of the notably wrongheaded prioritization decisions.

Re: I don't know if my job will still exist in ten years

#124

Post by dpmitu »

Tade0 wrote: post #88
nishit130 wrote: post #76

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Even if it's "just" a text predictor, it already outperforms the average person in certain domains, particularly software engineering. With all the recent advances in agentic systems like Claude Code and OpenCLAW, these text predictors can iterate and debug faster than the average human. Looking ahead at the next decade, I totally agree with Sean's view here. > I'm a daily user of the most recent Claude and while it'…

These are strong claims and I would want to see equally strong evidence for them. My experience is that it's really darn good at producing text, but it's not a logic engine - it's not designed to be one and even the most recent versions make mistakes which indicate it's not actually thinking.

This is pretty strong evidence to me. https://simonwillison.net/2026/Mar/3/donald-knuth/

Re: I don't know if my job will still exist in ten years

#125

Post by Markoff »

The real question is why do you care? Why you worry today about something which may not happen in the future?

My job most likely won't exist in ten years, do you think I'm worried? You might die in car accident, from heart attack or cancer in those ten years, some lost job is absolutely irrelevant compared to your health, there are and always will be jobs available, just adapt.

We have saying in my country "There were, are and (always) will be the money", which basically means you should not worry too much about money, just find a way to get them when you need them.

I strongly recommend LISTENING to this song - Baz Luhrmann - Everybody's Free To Wear Sunscreen

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sTJ7AzBIJoI

I quote one of the most important part regarding the article (especially 2nd sentence): "Don’t worry about the future; or worry, but know that worrying is as effective as trying to solve an algebra equation by chewing bubblegum. The real troubles in your life are apt to be things that never crossed your worried mind; the kind that blindside you at 4:00 pm on some idle Tuesday."

Re: I don't know if my job will still exist in ten years

#126

Post by orangecoffee »

Juliate wrote: post #81

Guys guys. I do share the sentiment. On the other hand. Unless we have a breakthrough hardware/physical innovation, GenAI in its current forecast is not energy-efficient, cost-efficient, compared to human/deterministic methods. It has shown no capacity so far to « create » in the sense we animals do. And all that, still being: highly subsidized (your subscription does NOT cover the costs of the service as of now, we…

To give you the benefit of doubt - you're not paying attention. The 100$ claude account is profitable inference wise, and performs better than 80% of engineers with upto 5YOE. Architects I speak with want to delegate to this 100$ agent rather than 10000$ engineer.

It is absolutely more cost efficient. Junior engineers are done for.

Re: I don't know if my job will still exist in ten years

#127

Post by rakejake »

sltr wrote: post #96

The article expresses what a lot of us are feeling. I appreciated the read. It conflates purpose with outcome. I don't accept the premise that software's purpose is to "automate away other jobs". That may be an outcome, but software's purpose is to enable completely new possibilities. Think bicycles of the mind. The Apollo guidance computer didn't replace astronauts. It made the missions possible in the first place b…

I agree on principle. But there is going to be a painful transition where people are still reckoning with the new capabilities so I understand where all the fear/sadness is coming from.

Tbf I think the golden days of being a software dev are over even if the AI were to stagnate and never improve. The spectre of AGI is enough for higher ups to demand more output which will in turn require more hours to be put in by devs. A project that required 2 months will now be allotted 3 weeks because "Agentic coding increases productivity".

Re: I don't know if my job will still exist in ten years

#128

Post by MRonErlang »

We forgot two things:

First, this kind of phrasing is repeated again and again since Cobol was launched. A machine code writer said to Grace Hopper: "everyone can write programs!"

Second, as Dijkstra said once "computers are for programmers like telescopes for astronomers", programming isn't about writing lines of code, programming is about knowing how to deal with requirements and putting them to work as a computer program.

Re: I don't know if my job will still exist in ten years

#129

Post by MRonErlang »

rvz wrote: post #39
vishnugupta wrote: post #32

Out of curiosity I checked out the author’s resume and this is their current position. Oh the irony!! I built significant pieces of the Copilot onboarding, purchasing, billing and settings flow. For eight months I headed up the Copilot anti-abuse effort. I then led the launch of GitHub Models, and am now working on other Copilot projects.

No wonder GitHub is always collapsing every week. Tay.ai, Zoe and Copilot bots being deployed wrecking the platform being unable to fix infrastructure issues whilst the humans are just tweaking all the tiniest issues. They should instead focus on GitHub actions and improving the uptime of the whole platform first before doing anything AI.

Maybe they hope Copilot will write a better Actions for them

Re: I don't know if my job will still exist in ten years

#130

Post by MRonErlang »

Tade0 wrote: post #69

> In 2026, I’m not sure the software engineering industry will survive another decade. Due to a text predictor ? I'm a daily user of the most recent Claude and while it's amazing at presenting other people's knowledge and reducing cognitive load by filling in the gaps, it's still just a machine that predicts text and that is a limitation which won't be overcome in this generation of such tools which, including resear…

Yes, maybe in a decade all of the most popular LLM are dropped because lack of income. Only companies that learned how to use their own models and local optimized software using very specific hardware could still run them for very specific tasks
Post reply on HN