Earlier quoted context omitted.
I don't think it's ignorant to not invest in something that has a decade long path towards even having a market, much less a large market.
I have seen at least one experiment running a language model or other neural network on (small scale) memory-based computing substrates. That suggests less than 1-2 years to apply them immediately to existing tasks once they are scaled up in terms of compute capacity.
How AlphaChip transformed computer chip design
121–130 of 215 posts
Re: How AlphaChip transformed computer chip design
#122Why do they keep saying "superhuman"? Algorithms are used for these tasks, humans aren't laying out trillions of transistors by hand.
Prior to AlphaChip, macro placement was done manually by human engineers in any production setting. Prior algorithmic methods especially struggled to manage congestion, resulting in chips that weren't manufacturable.
To quote certain popular TV series .... Sorry, are you from the past? Do your "production" chips only have a couple dozen macros or what?
Re: How AlphaChip transformed computer chip design
#123Every generation of chips is used to design next generation. That seems to be the root of exponential growth in Moore's law.
I'd even dare to claim we are already at the point where the growth has stopped, but even then you will only see the effect in a decade or so as there are still many small low-hanging fruits you can fix, but no big improvements.
Re: How AlphaChip transformed computer chip design
#124This work from Google (original Nature paper: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-03544-w ) has been credibly criticized by several researchers in the EDA CAD discipline. These papers are of interest: - A rebuttal by a researcher within Google who wrote this at the same time as the "AlphaChip" work was going on ("Stronger Baselines for Evaluating Deep Reinforcement Learning in Chip Placement"): http://47.190.8…
FD: I have been following this whole thing for a while, and know personally a number of the people involved. The AlphaChip authors address criticism in their addendum, and in a prior statement from the co-lead authors: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-08032-5 , https://www.annagoldie.com/home/statement - The 2023 ISPD paper didn't pre-train at all. This means no learning from experience, for a learning-base…
Re: How AlphaChip transformed computer chip design
#125How far are we from memory-based computing going from research into competitive products? I get the impression that we are already well passed the point where it makes sense to invest very aggressively to scale up experiments with things like memristors. Because they are talking about how many new nuclear reactors they are going to need just for the AI datacenters.
The problem is that the competition (our current von neumann architecture) has billions of dollars of R&D per year invested. Better architectures without the yearly investment train will no longer be better quite quickly. You would need to be 100x to 1000x better in order to pull the investment train onto your tracks. Don’t has been impossible for decades. Even so, I think we will see such a change in my lifetime. AI…
But if you do pay attention to the programming model, they're unusable. You'll see that dozens of these approaches have come and gone, because it's impossible to write software for them.
Re: How AlphaChip transformed computer chip design
#126I'd love a tool like this for PCB design/layout
Re: How AlphaChip transformed computer chip design
#127Re: How AlphaChip transformed computer chip design
#128Questions for those in the know about chip design. How are they measuring the quality of a chip design? Does the metric that Google is reporting make sense? Or is it just something to make themselves look good? Without knowing much, my guess is that “quality” of a chip design is multifaceted and heavily dependent on the use case. That is the ideal chip for a data center would look very different from those for a mobi…
I have not read the latest paper, but their previous work was really unclear about metrics being used. Researchers trying to replicate results had a hard time getting reliable details/benchmarks out of Google. Also, my recollection is that Google did not even compute timing, just wirelength and congestion; i.e. extremely primitive metrics. Floorplanning/placement/synthesis is a billion dollar industry, so if their ap…
https://research.google/pubs/spanner-googles-globally-distri...
or Bigtable?
https://research.google/pubs/bigtable-a-distributed-storage-...
or GFS?
or MapReduce?
or Borg?
or...I think you get the idea.
Re: How AlphaChip transformed computer chip design
#129Earlier quoted context omitted.
They don't. You cannot compare reality (Cadence, Synopsys) with hype (Google).
So you're basically saying that Google should have used existing tools to layout their chip designs, instead of their ML solution, and that these existing tools would have produced even better chips than the ones they are actually manufacturing?