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ARC Prize – a $1M+ competition towards open AGI progress

arcprize.org

121–130 of 351 posts

Re: ARC Prize – a $1M+ competition towards open AGI progress

#121
post #93

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Did he require 9,999 more examples of horses before learning the difference?

In another comment I replied that 3D high fidelity images do end up being thousands of training samples, so the answer is yes.

I'm deeply skeptical that training AI on (effectively) thousands of images of one horse will perform very well at training to recognize horses in general.

Re: ARC Prize – a $1M+ competition towards open AGI progress

#122
post #21

This is super cool. I share Francois' intuition that the presently data-hungry learning paradigm is not only not generalizable but unsustainable: humans do not need 10,000 examples to tell the difference between cats and dogs, and the main reason computers can today is because we have millions of examples. As a result, it may be hard to transfer knowledge to more esoteric domains where data is expensive, rare, and ha…

> humans do not need 10,000 examples to tell the difference between cats and dogs The optimization process that trained the human brain is called evolution, and it took a lot more than 10,000 examples to produce a system that can differentiate cats vs dogs. Put differently, an LLM is pre-trained with very light priors, starting almost from scratch, whereas a human brain is pre-loaded with extremely strong priors.

> The optimization process that trained the human brain is called evolution, and it took a lot more than 10,000 examples to produce a system that can differentiate cats vs dogs.

Asserted without evidence. We have essentially no idea at what point living systems were capable of differentiating cats from dogs (we don't even know for sure which living systems can do this).

Re: ARC Prize – a $1M+ competition towards open AGI progress

#124
post #82

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I’ve always found this kind of puzzle infuriating because it’s way underspecified. You’re not trying to find a pattern, you’re trying to guess what pattern the test writer would expect.

countless of problems in the world are underspecified in exactly this way, that is effectively what common sense reasoning is. Or what Charles Sanders Peirce called abductive reasoning, making a sensible best guess under conditions of uncertainty.

Yes, real-world problems are often underspecified but also they tend to come with much more context, and to be much more interactive. These sorts of problems are deliberately minimal and abstract meaning there's nothing for 'common sense' to work with.

Re: ARC Prize – a $1M+ competition towards open AGI progress

#125

This claim that these tests are easy for humans seems dubious, and so I went looking a bit. Melanie Mitchell chimed in on Chollet's thread and posted their related test [ConceptARC]. In it they question the ease of Chollet's tests: "One limitation on ARC’s usefulness for AI research is that it might be too challenging. Many of the tasks in Chollet’s corpus are difficult even for humans, and the corpus as a whole migh…

I saw Melanie’s post and I am intrigued by an easier AGI suite. I would like some experimenting done by individuals like myself snd smaller organizations.

You actually think that has not been going for 30, 40 or 50 years?

Re: ARC Prize – a $1M+ competition towards open AGI progress

#126

I'm Simon Strandgaard and I participated in ARCathon 2022 (solved 3 tasks) and ARCathon 2023 (solved 8 tasks). I'm collecting data for how humans are solving ARC tasks, and so far collected 4100 interaction histories ( https://github.com/neoneye/ARC-Interactive-History-Dataset ). Besides ARC-AGI, there are other ARC like datasets, these can be tried in my editor ( https://neoneye.github.io/arc/ ). I have made some vi…

"Here is a challenge, designed to be unsolvable or so. We'll give you a bazillion dollars if you complete the challenge, and, in the meantime, we will use your attempts to train an as AI that will be worth the cost!!"

Re: ARC Prize – a $1M+ competition towards open AGI progress

#127

I'm Simon Strandgaard and I participated in ARCathon 2022 (solved 3 tasks) and ARCathon 2023 (solved 8 tasks). I'm collecting data for how humans are solving ARC tasks, and so far collected 4100 interaction histories ( https://github.com/neoneye/ARC-Interactive-History-Dataset ). Besides ARC-AGI, there are other ARC like datasets, these can be tried in my editor ( https://neoneye.github.io/arc/ ). I have made some vi…

The UX of your solution entry is _way_ better than the ARC site itself.

Re: ARC Prize – a $1M+ competition towards open AGI progress

#128

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> humans do not need 10,000 examples to tell the difference between cats and dogs The optimization process that trained the human brain is called evolution, and it took a lot more than 10,000 examples to produce a system that can differentiate cats vs dogs. Put differently, an LLM is pre-trained with very light priors, starting almost from scratch, whereas a human brain is pre-loaded with extremely strong priors.

> The optimization process that trained the human brain is called evolution, and it took a lot more than 10,000 examples to produce a system that can differentiate cats vs dogs. Asserted without evidence. We have essentially no idea at what point living systems were capable of differentiating cats from dogs (we don't even know for sure which living systems can do this).

We know for a fact that cats, dogs, and humans do.

Re: ARC Prize – a $1M+ competition towards open AGI progress

#129
post #53

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> humans do not need 10,000 examples to tell the difference between cats and dogs, I swear, not enough people have kids. Now, is it 10k examples? No, but I think it was on the order of hundreds, if not thousands. One thing kids do is they'll ask for confirmation of their guess. You'll be reading a book you've read 50 times before and the kid will stop you, point at a dog in the book, and ask "dog?" And there is a dev…

> Now, is it 10k examples? No, but I think it was on the order of hundreds, if not thousands. I have kids so I'm presuming I'm allowed to have an opinion here. This is ignoring the fact that babies are not just learning labels, they're learning the whole of language, motion planning, sensory processing, etc. Once they have the basics down concept acquisition time shrinks rapidly and kids can easily learn their new fa…

> This is ignoring the fact that babies are not just learning labels, they're learning the whole of language, motion planning, sensory processing, etc.

Sure, but they learn a lot of labels.

> How many homework questions did your entire calc 1 class have? I'm guessing less than 100

At least 20 to 30 a week, for about 10 weeks of class. Some weeks were more, and I remember plenty of days where we had 20 problems assigned a day.

Indeed, I am a huge fan of "the best way to learn math is to do hundreds upon hundreds of problems", because IMHO some concepts just require massive amounts of repetition.

Re: ARC Prize – a $1M+ competition towards open AGI progress

#130
post #6

I really like the idea of ARC. But to me the problems seem like they require a lot of spatial world knowledge, more than they require abstract reasoning. Shapes overlapping each other, containing each other, slicing up and reassembling pieces, denoising regular geometric shapes, you can call them "core knowledge" but to me it seems like they are more like "things that are intuitive to human visual processing". Would…

I would argue that spatial reasoning encompasses all reasoning. All the things you mentioned have a direct analogue to abstract models and logic we employ and are engrained deeply into language. For example, shapes containing eachother: There are two countries both which lay claim to the same territory. There is a set X that contains Y and there is a set Z that contains Y. In the case that the common overlap is 3D an…

Spatial reasoning is easily isomorphic to many kinds of reasoning - just not all of them. Spatial reasoning in this case also limits the AI to 2 dimensions. I concede that with more dimensions, there will be more isomorphisms.

Is there a number of dimensions that captures all reasoning? I don't know..

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