Earlier quoted context omitted.
Interesting. May I ask why you consider Bayesian updates a “despicable philosophy” ? > It was always something that radically changed how it was that I understood the world around me, something that made my way of thinking about things shift so dramatically that I had to abandon my old ideas. If you have examples, I would much appreciate it, although I do not mean to pry.
>May I ask why you consider Bayesian updates a “despicable philosophy”? For the reason I said in that quote: Bayesian updates require upholding the same structure and considering things in networks of pre-established probabilities. This is very useful for say sportsbetting, or the weather, but in ones day to day life, especially in political circumstances, things often happen that are completely unpredictable because…
Re: Mental Liquidity
#121I understand now, thanks!
You have identified a weakness of Bayesian thinking in daily life i.e. choosing the priors. Since infinite belief updates are not feasible in the real world, two Bayesian thinkers can have completely different beliefs based on their starting priors.