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The quiz Daniel Kahneman wants you to fail

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Re: The quiz Daniel Kahneman wants you to fail

#121
post #74
post #70

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I believe paganel is referring exactly to the "sub-optimal decision" part, in the explanation (not the questions themselves). And yes, this quiz seems a load of underspecified cargo-cult horsecrap. I surely hope the original research was of higher quality.

I believe paganel is referring exactly to the "sub-optimal decision" part, in the explanation (not the questions themselves). Can you expand on that? The point of the article is that people will (statistically) get the questions wrong, or at least have biases in their responses. For example, in the first question the grandparent poster may well have had good reasons to answer as they did, but that doesn't discount th…

Sure.

What I meant (and what I believe paganel meant) is not that most people won't get such questions wrong, statistically. They probably will, and the original research probably shows that conclusively.

It's the part of this quiz/post that is supposed to explain why that irks scientifically inclined folks (as manifested many times in this thread :) Here the author missed crucial bits that made the question+explanation originally work, and all that's left is some well-meaning cargo cult nonsense.

Whether it appeared in a sidebar or not is no excuse for getting it wrong imo -- they could have stuck with the original questions if they didn't understand the implications of modifying their premises.

Re: The quiz Daniel Kahneman wants you to fail

#122
post #55

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But I believe it is the duty of the ticket vendor to keep track of who bought tickets. In protest, I would not replace a ticket if I lost it, but if I lost $10 it is completely my responsibility. Is this not rational if I believe I can affect change through the action?

That's an entirely different issue than the one I was responding to. In that case, it would be rational if your actions could reasonably affect change, which in this case I don't think they would. First, I don't see an obvious need for theaters to keep track of who purchased tickets--save the case of online transactions obviously. Granted, the whole example is contrived--but I don't see the utmost need for it. And, e…

Um... if I buy another ticket then I help them. So not buying them denies the sale. So it DOES have a measurable effect.
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