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RaidForums gets raided, alleged admin arrested

krebsonsecurity.com

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Re: RaidForums gets raided, alleged admin arrested

#121

Post by Sirened »

layer8 wrote: post #37
RajT88 wrote: post #34

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am always surprised at how often people who know each other randomly run into each other in an airport. I mean, what are the odds? I only had it happen once, but it was nuts. A guy from my previous company I ran into randomly in Frankfurt while I was on my way to India. He lives in California, I live in Chicago. We were on the same flight to Bangalore . Our trips had nothing to do with each other, other than we bot…

It’s probably just a symptom of humans being very bad at estimating odds.

teenagers even less so. He's _twenty one_ and has been running the site since he was thirteen years old.

Re: RaidForums gets raided, alleged admin arrested

#122

Post by Sirened »

Jamie9912 wrote: post #116
paulpauper wrote: post #97

Funny how there are so many logos on the seizure notice . they should have put a McDonald's logo too or maybe a service where a company can pay to have their logo put on there given how much traffic the sized domain probably got

including an anime girl in skimpy clothing

don't want people to get it confused with the other raidforums which is represented by a very chastely dressed anime girl

Re: RaidForums gets raided, alleged admin arrested

#123

Post by nobody9999 »

isk517 wrote: post #92
tyingq wrote: post #72

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>These people tend not to be the brightest. Well, for those that are bright, you don't hear anything at all. So it's hard to characterize all of them. I hear something similar on shows like Dateline about how not-bright the murderers are. Yet only about half of homicides are solved in the US every year.

You only need to be slightly more intelligent than the people trying to track you in order to not get caught. I heard and read enough true crime stories to noticed that successful serial killers and incompetent law enforcement tend to go hand-in-hand.

>You only need to be slightly more intelligent than the people trying to track you in order to not get caught. I heard and read enough true crime stories to noticed that successful serial killers and incompetent law enforcement tend to go hand-in-hand.

There is a caveat to this. As the perpetrator of a crime (what and how stuff is defined as a "crime" is a different discussion), no matter how smart you (think) you are, you have to get it right every single time, in perpetuity

For law "enforcement", they only need to get it right once.

Re: RaidForums gets raided, alleged admin arrested

#124

Post by Sirened »

ceva wrote: post #102

Am just curious how hackforums is still around?

I swear Hackforums is an FBI honeypot for especially stupid criminals. Nothing happens there (remember back in the day someone was talking about stealing from a gamestop and a bunch of people called the store to warn them lol), and anyways anyone who does anything remotely illegal immediately gets arrested.

Re: RaidForums gets raided, alleged admin arrested

#125

Post by kibwen »

bonestamp2 wrote: post #101
paulpauper wrote: post #97

Funny how there are so many logos on the seizure notice . they should have put a McDonald's logo too or maybe a service where a company can pay to have their logo put on there given how much traffic the sized domain probably got

Cyber Security companies might pay to be on there as a sponsor.

This takedown is brought to you by Raid: Shadow Legends.

Re: RaidForums gets raided, alleged admin arrested

#126

Post by AceJohnny2 »

lettergram wrote: post #112
Teandw wrote: post #66

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What doesn't add up?

This admin would have been 14 when this was started. Why now and why him?

1. now he's major and can be tried as such

2. they've had a long time to build a solid case against him (and probably get info on others involved on the site)

3. he actually walked into their hands

Re: RaidForums gets raided, alleged admin arrested

#127

Post by meowface »

PheonixPharts wrote: post #78
meowface wrote: post #3

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not to mention the following paragraph: >“In an attempt to retrieve his items, Coelho called the lead FBI case agent on or around August 2, 2018, and used the email address unrivalled@pm.me to email the agent,” the government’s affidavit states. Investigators found this same address was used to register rf.ws and raid.lol, which Omnipotent announced on the forum would serve as alternative domain names for RaidForums…

> These people tend not to be the brightest. If they were, they'd generally find legitimate employment, A bit of survivorship bias at work here. Criminal activity is more so a function of risk tolerance than intelligence. However getting caught is certainly a function of intelligence. So your impression is that most criminals you read about being apprehended are people that seem to make many stupid mistakes. But this…

You're absolutely right that there is a lot of survivorship bias here. But I think even when controlling for that, my hypothesis is still likely true.

Re: RaidForums gets raided, alleged admin arrested

#128

Post by meowface »

tyingq wrote: post #72
meowface wrote: post #3

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not to mention the following paragraph: >“In an attempt to retrieve his items, Coelho called the lead FBI case agent on or around August 2, 2018, and used the email address unrivalled@pm.me to email the agent,” the government’s affidavit states. Investigators found this same address was used to register rf.ws and raid.lol, which Omnipotent announced on the forum would serve as alternative domain names for RaidForums…

>These people tend not to be the brightest. Well, for those that are bright, you don't hear anything at all. So it's hard to characterize all of them. I hear something similar on shows like Dateline about how not-bright the murderers are. Yet only about half of homicides are solved in the US every year.

There's definitely survivorship bias here. But I think even when accounting for that, there still likely is a correlation.

Also, I'm referring to a certain subset of cybercrime. The kind associated with forums like RaidForums and HackForums and LeakForums.

Re: RaidForums gets raided, alleged admin arrested

#129

Post by nyolfen »

TacticalCoder wrote: post #40
jacquesm wrote: post #2

"Coelho landed on the radar of U.S. authorities in June 2018, when he tried to enter the United States at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport in Atlanta. The government obtained a warrant to search the electronic devices Coelho had in his luggage and found text messages, files and emails showing he was the RaidForums administrator Omnipotent." Not really the sharpest knife in the drawer, to do things like th…

> Coelho landed on the radar of U.S. authorities in June 2018, when he tried to enter the United States at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport in Atlanta. The government obtained a warrant to search the electronic devices Coelho had in his luggage and found text messages, files and emails showing he was the RaidForums administrator Omnipotent I called complete, total and utter bullshit. That's a parallel con…

speaking of parallel construction, did you hear about the mass shooter on the brooklyn subway today? they said they ID'd him because he left his credit card at the scene.

Re: RaidForums gets raided, alleged admin arrested

#130

Post by tzs »

RajT88 wrote: post #34
jacquesm wrote: post #2

"Coelho landed on the radar of U.S. authorities in June 2018, when he tried to enter the United States at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport in Atlanta. The government obtained a warrant to search the electronic devices Coelho had in his luggage and found text messages, files and emails showing he was the RaidForums administrator Omnipotent." Not really the sharpest knife in the drawer, to do things like th…

I am always surprised at how often people who know each other randomly run into each other in an airport. I mean, what are the odds? I only had it happen once, but it was nuts. A guy from my previous company I ran into randomly in Frankfurt while I was on my way to India. He lives in California, I live in Chicago. We were on the same flight to Bangalore . Our trips had nothing to do with each other, other than we bot…

> I am always surprised at how often people who know each other randomly run into each other in an airport.

I'm surprised at how few times I've run into people I know when out and about shopping or doing other normal daily activities.

I live and work in a town with a population of around 11k. Coworkers live in that town, or one about 9 miles away with a population of around 22k, or one with a population of about 41k that is about 20 miles away in the same direction as that second town so the second town is in the middle.

This area has one Best Buy, one Target, one Barnes and Noble, one Walmart Supercenter, one Office Max, one Staples, and one mall all located in the middle town except the Walmart Supercenter which is in the 11k town. There are a few movie theaters but the quality varies a lot and most people I know only go to 2 of them.

In ~20 years these are the only times I've run into people I know which out doing ordinary things:

1. Two times I ran into a coworkers or former coworker at Best Buy.

2. One time at a gas station I saw a coworker getting gas at the same time.

3. One time I ran into a coworker while grocery shopping.

4. One time I ran into my dental hygienist while grocery shopping.

5. One time my doctor was having lunch at the same sandwich shop as me.

I would have thought that in 20 years, with a pool of 2 or 3 dozen coworkers or former coworkers living in the area, I'd run into people I know a lot more often.

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