Earlier quoted context omitted.
I agree that that's one way it could work, but it seems really unlikely to me that Apple would be willing to lose so much money on a project like this. Some other possibilities that I think are more likely: * Apple has a higher LTV estimate than Tinder for this traffic. * Tinder has less available capital, so they are not able to outbid Apple even though they think that they would still earn lots of money at that pri…
Remember, it's not that much money for Apple especially considering their whole app store business model depends on taking their 30% tax. Maybe we're talking about $50m/yr vs app store revenues of $10b (?) a year (and 70%+ margins per docs in recent court cases). They would absolutely be willing to lose this money if it extended their stranglehold on app developers - it's the same reason they fight tooth and nail in…
I mean, maybe if tinder's margin was less than apples, but that's pretty unlikely.