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Preliminary Assessment: Unidentified Aerial Phenomena

dni.gov

121–130 of 244 posts

Re: Preliminary Assessment: Unidentified Aerial Phenomena

#121

I’m surprised nobody has suggested that these phenomenon could be an advanced electronic interference platform and that they may be able to interfere with the computing systems of multiple remote sensing systems at once.

I think that is what was meant by "These observations could be the result of ... spoofing" in the document just released.

Re: Preliminary Assessment: Unidentified Aerial Phenomena

#122
post #103

Just a reminder that Fermi's paradox is no longer a paradox if "they" are already here. ;-) I'm not saying there are little green men in these unidentified aircraft, but if you were part of an interstellar civilization in this galaxy, and you identified there was a life-supporting planet a few light years away, you'd send probes there for sure... wouldn't you? We certainly would, if we had the means.

I don't think anthropomorphizing aliens is a good way to speculate on how they possibly would behave. I really don't have a better system, but I see this tendency in alot of discussions about 'them'. (Disclaimer: I usually play as isolationist in Stellaris)

Re: Preliminary Assessment: Unidentified Aerial Phenomena

#123
post #78

From a first skim, it looks intentionally vague and noncommittal, and in classic form, released on a Friday afternoon to minimize coverage. Also of note: there was no input at all drawn from the CIA, which is the agency most frequently associated with the topic for a variety of reasons, aside from the Air Force. "The majority of UAP data is from U.S. Navy reporting [i.e. not in-the-know] , but efforts are underway to…

Perhaps it is because there is no evidence of nonhuman intelligence visiting and engaging with Earth. I'm not sure who's surprised by this report.

That’s because you’ve only looked on the top side. If you peek over the edge at the bottom you will see.

Re: Preliminary Assessment: Unidentified Aerial Phenomena

#124
post #78

From a first skim, it looks intentionally vague and noncommittal, and in classic form, released on a Friday afternoon to minimize coverage. Also of note: there was no input at all drawn from the CIA, which is the agency most frequently associated with the topic for a variety of reasons, aside from the Air Force. "The majority of UAP data is from U.S. Navy reporting [i.e. not in-the-know] , but efforts are underway to…

> "There is nonhuman intelligence visiting and engaging with Earth. We could not tell you before for national security reasons, but now we can tell you." At least, not without many years of plausibly deniable hints before-hand.

Do you really think that'll be the outcome?

I'd be shocked.

If there is nonhuman intelligence in our solar system, it's orders of magnitude smarter than us, and I'd also wager it's probably by design impossible for us detect.

Re: Preliminary Assessment: Unidentified Aerial Phenomena

#125

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The fact they don't include "just other normal planes" in that list calls into question the quality of this whole document. It really seems like this document was just thrown together with no real intent to get into the weeds on the reports. It does also seem like they are trying so hard to be vague to avoid running afoul of information classification rules. The White House needs to tell them to stop going so overboa…

If they knew it was just another normal plane then it would not be unidentified. They actually identify countless objects every day. This report was not about them.

All the things in that list are like that though, "Airborne Clutter", "Natural Atmospheric Phenomena", etc. If they knew it was one of those it wouldn't be unidentified. It is entirely possible for a plane to be detected but not identified as such, so planes should be possible causes too.

Re: Preliminary Assessment: Unidentified Aerial Phenomena

#126
post #122
post #103

Just a reminder that Fermi's paradox is no longer a paradox if "they" are already here. ;-) I'm not saying there are little green men in these unidentified aircraft, but if you were part of an interstellar civilization in this galaxy, and you identified there was a life-supporting planet a few light years away, you'd send probes there for sure... wouldn't you? We certainly would, if we had the means.

I don't think anthropomorphizing aliens is a good way to speculate on how they possibly would behave. I really don't have a better system, but I see this tendency in alot of discussions about 'them'. (Disclaimer: I usually play as isolationist in Stellaris)

I don't think it's anthropomorphism so much as logical deduction. Our planet's chemical makeup has been advertising its life-supporting properties for millions of years. Lately we've been (perhaps foolishly) advertising ourselves to the galaxy via radio, etc. Surely it would be interesting to other observers in the galaxy.

Perhaps by setting off nuclear weapons, we advertised ourselves as a potential threat, inviting more scrutiny.

Here's an article that discusses this concept in more detail, if you're interested:

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/lets-search-for-a...

Also, Stellaris is a great game for these thought experiments. =)

Re: Preliminary Assessment: Unidentified Aerial Phenomena

#128

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Where to begin? 1) This isn't a recent phenomena. People have been seeing discs in the sky for literally thousands of years. 2) Aircraft can't make 90 degree turns or descend from 80,000 feet to the deck approximately instantly. 3) Groups of extremely highly trained military pilots have seen them, and the video and IR data has been released from these encounters. You can't make 4 people in 2 aircraft hallucinate at t…

> 1) This isn't a recent phenomena. People have been seeing discs in the sky for literally thousands of years. People have reported talking to ghosts and angels for thousands of years too. People's senses and memory is fallible and can lead to misinterpretations and misunderstanding. > 2) Aircraft can't make 90 degree turns or descend from 80,000 feet to the deck approximately instantly. You are assuming that their r…

> but not at the same time.

The initial two F-18's had two people each.

Re: Preliminary Assessment: Unidentified Aerial Phenomena

#129
post #78

From a first skim, it looks intentionally vague and noncommittal, and in classic form, released on a Friday afternoon to minimize coverage. Also of note: there was no input at all drawn from the CIA, which is the agency most frequently associated with the topic for a variety of reasons, aside from the Air Force. "The majority of UAP data is from U.S. Navy reporting [i.e. not in-the-know] , but efforts are underway to…

> "There is nonhuman intelligence visiting and engaging with Earth. We could not tell you before for national security reasons, but now we can tell you." At least, not without many years of plausibly deniable hints before-hand. Do you really think that'll be the outcome? I'd be shocked. If there is nonhuman intelligence in our solar system, it's orders of magnitude smarter than us, and I'd also wager it's probably by…

> I'd also wager it's probably by design impossible for us detect.

Humans are orders of magnitude smarter than dolphins, yet that doesn't prevent humans from experimenting on them.

Re: Preliminary Assessment: Unidentified Aerial Phenomena

#130
post #76

Direct link to the PDF report: https://www.dni.gov/files/ODNI/documents/assessments/Prelima... > "Most of the UAP reported probably do represent physical objects given that a majority of UAP were registered across multiple sensors, to include radar, infrared, electro-optical, weapon seekers, and visual observation." > "Some UAP appeared to remain stationary in winds aloft, move against the wind, maneuver abruptly, or…

80 encounters with multiple sensors. 143 reliable encounters with one sensor (144 minus 1 balloon). RF emission in a few encounters. They could conceive of no explanation for any of them.. They have a lot of data and cannot explain much.

The "multiple sensors" part is important. Anything that has video or radar returns from multiple points is much more interesting than a single-point view. Most illusions break down when observed from multiple widely separated points, like several warships operating together.

So little hard data is being released.

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