Earlier quoted context omitted.
I disagree. The most common way to predict payout is to compare to other companies' exit valuations. E.g. "Oh, company X got acquired for $250 million. We do something similar. If I own .025% of the company, I'd make $62,500 if we exited at that valuation. Cool." It's important to be aware of dilution events so that you realize when you accept the offer that your .025% will be more like .008% if you're lucky enough t…
>It's important to be aware of dilution events so that you realize when you accept the offer that your .025% will be more like .008% But you're repeating the same error of prioritizing the wrong thing: dilution. What employees ultimately care about is their wealth calculation: shares_multiplied_by_price . Example of the type of math people actually care about: 0.008% (because dilutions) a $1 billion company is $80k 0…
When you join early stage start-up you know only how much %% of a company is offered to you at the moment, not the future exit value.