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The United States Is Now the Largest Global Crude Oil Producer

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Re: The United States Is Now the Largest Global Crude Oil Producer

#121
post #110

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> They're certainly still obscenely rich, but the power they had over geopolitics via OPEC is effectively gone at this point due to tar sands, renewables, and natural gas. You missed the other significant factor in reducing OPEC political power, horizontal drilling, IE fracking. Almost all the new oil and natural gas in the US is coming from horizontally drilled wells.

Horizontal drilling and fracking are two distinct but related techniques: * "Horizontal drilling" refers to drilling a non-vertical (and often curved) borehole, to reach deposits that aren't directly beneath the wellhead. * Hydraulic Fracturing, "fracking," is the practice of injecting water into a well to crack the rock around the borehole, increasing its permeability. Each can be used independently, but it's the co…

Yea you are correct, but are there any US Oil and gas producers horizontally drilling wells but not hydraulic fracturing the well?

Re: The United States Is Now the Largest Global Crude Oil Producer

#122
post #45

Daniel Yergin is an energy analyst who has written several good books on oil and energy, The Prize and The Quest. The Prize is a history explaning how to got to 1990. And The Quest explains how we got to 2011. By the end of The Quest, you will understand how we got to here. Why Russia is a major natural gas provider to Europe. Why Venezuela's economy is collapsing. Why Saudi Arabia may follow. And mostly importantly,…

Right now the US seems to be using oil exports to weaken other countries, rather than banking the oil and exploiting it when supply starts to dry up. I also think that some methods aren't long-term a good idea. I will second the book recommendations and I will also note that by far the best thing the U.S. can do in the short term is switch to electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles. (And I mean "vehicles" in the broades…

Purchasing an electric vehicles causes more pollution than simply driving your exiting vehicle if it's relatively fuel efficient.

Drive your current car until the wheels fall off and then, if you have to buy a hybrid or electric, try to buy used.

Re: The United States Is Now the Largest Global Crude Oil Producer

#123

Earlier quoted context omitted.

10 cm are already a problem? did I miss some news / tides?

A) It's a foot compared to historical levels, it's 10cm since the 1990s. B) It's a constant problem in Miami where high tide is now above the level of many roads so they've had to jack the roads up several feet more. C) Venice, Italy is routinely flooded because of sea-level rise and it's only getting worse.

ok 30 cm is a lot.

one thing that I don't fully understand yet: there were always storm surges above 2m (?) how come that 50cm sea-rise without any storm surges are already causing problems?

Re: The United States Is Now the Largest Global Crude Oil Producer

#124
post #18

It's been fascinating to watch Saudi influence wane over the last few years as this sinks in as the new reality. We live in a completely different power structure now from 20 years ago. They're certainly still obscenely rich, but the power they had over geopolitics via OPEC is effectively gone at this point due to tar sands, renewables, and natural gas.

This doesn't seem to have stopped them having a war in Yemen with Western assistance.

MICs are only money makers if there is demand for their services.

Re: The United States Is Now the Largest Global Crude Oil Producer

#125
post #24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Most people I talk with in my peer group wouldn't even think of getting an all-electric car (except maybe as a secondary vehicle), due to range anxiety. However, what I think will happen over the next 20 years (with battery improvement, etc) is more and more hybrids and plugin hybrids. For example, see Ford's plans starting in 2020. But the plugin hybrids won't be sold as "fuel efficient", but sold as "more powerful"…

For my part, I'm not anxious about range; price is the main issue. The car purchases over my lifetime have been $5000, $2500, $1, $4000, $11000, $8000, $12000 ... and I have never bought new. I do not see a viable electric vehicle for me. Tesla looks awesome, and I cannot find an affordable one near me. Hell, there are TWO (count 'em, 2) used Model-3's within 20 miles of me, and they're selling for $50,000. LOL and M…

Used Leaf's have come down to the upper end of your price range. Heck, with group buys and all other related discounts, I've seen them for $14k new.

Re: The United States Is Now the Largest Global Crude Oil Producer

#126

It's been fascinating to watch Saudi influence wane over the last few years as this sinks in as the new reality. We live in a completely different power structure now from 20 years ago. They're certainly still obscenely rich, but the power they had over geopolitics via OPEC is effectively gone at this point due to tar sands, renewables, and natural gas.

    We live in a completely different power structure
    now from 20 years ago.
The US has always imported That being said OPEC had some control over the price that oil was traded at, but never the volumes.

Re: The United States Is Now the Largest Global Crude Oil Producer

#127
post #98

Earlier quoted context omitted.

consider the expansion of plug in hybrids, similar to the Volt, Clarity, Prius, and Kona, all extend the viability of the petrol engine. In many cases it moves into the roll of a range extender because its weight combined with fuel is drastically less than what battery technology can accomplish; an example is the Model 3 which has nearly 1100 lbs of batteries for 310 miles. engines directly? variable valve timing wil…

Without abandoning piston engines entirely and going to turbines or something, modern auto engines are approaching maximum practical thermal efficiency for the conditions under which they must operate (being primarily horsepower-oriented rather than torque-oriented). You can get maybe 50% better if you're powering an oil tanker rather than a car, but you're not powering an oil tanker, but rather something that has to…

"This creates a tremendous market incentive for purely electric vehicles."

Can confirm. I bought a used Nissan Leaf two months ago from a dealer (being used it was a small fraction of the $25k Ford). A near-identical car (trim/mileage/colour) is now listed on their site for close to 30% more than I paid.

If we were living in normal times this would make no sense - but the TCO picture is changing that rapidly (owing to oil prices going up and used EVs being so scarce).

Re: The United States Is Now the Largest Global Crude Oil Producer

#128
post #24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Most people I talk with in my peer group wouldn't even think of getting an all-electric car (except maybe as a secondary vehicle), due to range anxiety. However, what I think will happen over the next 20 years (with battery improvement, etc) is more and more hybrids and plugin hybrids. For example, see Ford's plans starting in 2020. But the plugin hybrids won't be sold as "fuel efficient", but sold as "more powerful"…

For my part, I'm not anxious about range; price is the main issue. The car purchases over my lifetime have been $5000, $2500, $1, $4000, $11000, $8000, $12000 ... and I have never bought new. I do not see a viable electric vehicle for me. Tesla looks awesome, and I cannot find an affordable one near me. Hell, there are TWO (count 'em, 2) used Model-3's within 20 miles of me, and they're selling for $50,000. LOL and M…

The Model 3 has only been produced in significant numbers for a few months now. The oldest production unit that exists at all is barely over a year old. This isn’t the sort of situation where you find a bargain on used cars. Give it a few years and there will be a more reasonable used market.

Re: The United States Is Now the Largest Global Crude Oil Producer

#129

i still have the feeling that the next big bust will come from the fracking industry by 2020. The reserves are vastly overestimated, profitability muddled by financially wizardry, and capital flow about to get squeezed as interest rates rise.

Fracking is actually far more resilient to market swings than traditional oil fields/wells. If prices for crude/natural gas drop, you just shutdown the well. Spinning it back up is far faster and cheaper than normal wells.

Re: The United States Is Now the Largest Global Crude Oil Producer

#130
post #110

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Horizontal drilling and fracking are two distinct but related techniques: * "Horizontal drilling" refers to drilling a non-vertical (and often curved) borehole, to reach deposits that aren't directly beneath the wellhead. * Hydraulic Fracturing, "fracking," is the practice of injecting water into a well to crack the rock around the borehole, increasing its permeability. Each can be used independently, but it's the co…

Yea you are correct, but are there any US Oil and gas producers horizontally drilling wells but not hydraulic fracturing the well?

Sure. It all depends on the geology of the particular oilfield the well is tapping, and how much money the well owner is willing to invest in increasing production. Similarly, there are vertical wells that have been fractured.

I don’t have the knowledge to get any more detailed, unfortunately — This is all secondhand from some oil industry software engineers.

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