Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Furthermore, if you simplify the case to two prisoners and two boxes, where each is allowed to open one box, the odds of "success" are clearly only 25%. No it's still 50%, because first person opens box 1 and second person opens box 2. They both either live or die together. Three people, 2 chances. Each just guessing independently would be 2/3 chance so the chance for all to win is (2/3)^3 or 30%. But if the first…
No it's still 50%, because first person opens box 1 and second person opens box 2. They both either live or die together. As the problem is stated, the boxes remain where they are and must be reclosed after being opened. There are no other choices to be made, there's no way to retain or communicate any information about a particular prisoner's actions, and there are no order-dependent aspects to the problem. Everybod…
The communication happens before the people go in to open the boxes. In the 2-person 2-box 1-choice example, person 1 says to person 2 "I'll open box 1 and you open box 2".
With person 1 always opening box 1 and person 2 always opening box 2, what do you feel their chances are? List out the permutations and see.